This study was conducted during the months of January to April and October to December in 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010. Daily and hourly meteorological data and hourly PM
10 and PM
2.5 concentrations were obtained from the Hengchun station operated by the Taiwan CWB and from the Hengchun air quality monitoring site operated by the Taiwan EPA. Hourly concentrations of PM
2.5-10 were derived by subtracting the hourly PM
2.5 concentrations from the hourly PM
10 concentrations. An LW day was defined as a day, during which the daily instantaneous wind direction was north-easterly or north and north-easterly and the wind speed exceeded 15 m/s (
10), as recorded at the Hengchun station.
The air temperature perceived by humans is influenced by the surface wind speed and relative humidity. In 2001, Canada and the United States developed the current wind-chill index, which can estimate the degree of coldness perceived by humans (
28). Due to the effects of wind, people may feel significantly colder than what they might have felt based on the actual temperature alone. This index is applied when the temperatures are at or less than 10°C and wind speeds are above 4.8 km/hour (
29). However, in this study, the study area was a tropical climate region, where the mean air temperature in the coldest month was greater than 18°C. Therefore, in comparison with the current wind-chill index, the Australian apparent temperature was more useful for the present study. Equations 1 and the formulas used for the Australian apparent temperature (
30), were used in identifying the thermal comfort level (
31,
32). In this study, solar radiation was not considered in the formula because of the presence of trees and other devices, which provide cover in the tropical area and make the value of perceived temperature different from the evaluated values.
where AT is the Australian apparent temperature, Ts is the surface air temperature (°C), WS is the surface wind speed (m/s), RH is the relative humidity (%), and e is the vapour pressure.
The current research used the International Classification of Diseases (Ninth Revision) Clinical Modification codes (ICD-9-CM) for hospital admissions data. Data on hospital admissions for the following diseases were obtained from the National Health Insurance Program, operated by the Taiwan National Bureau for Central Health Insurance (BNHI): asthma (ICD-9-CM, 493), cerebrovascular diseases (ICD-9-CM, 430 - 437), circulatory diseases (ICD-9-CM, 390-459), respiratory diseases (ICD-9-CM, 460 - 519), respiratory diseases-influenza (ICD-9-CM, 487), and stroke (ICD-9-CM, 430 - 434). To determine the number of admissions for respiratory diseases other than influenza, the number of admissions for respiratory diseases-influenza (ICD-9-CM, 487) was subtracted from the number of admissions for respiratory diseases (ICD-9-CM, 460 - 519). The National Health Insurance Program provides most of the health insurance in Taiwan (99.6%); therefore, the admissions data was highly representative (
33). Four age groups for hospital and clinic admissions data were studied: zero to four: Infants, five to fourteen: Children, 15 to 64: Adults, and > 65: Elderly.
In this study, in order to determine the relationship between respiratory and cardiovascular diseases admissions and the weather and the relationship between disease admissions and PM (PM
2.5 and PM
2.5 - 10) concentrations, the researchers applied the Poisson regression, which is suitable for non-negative integer values of the dependent variables (
34). Equation 3 shows the Poisson regression model:
where yi indicates the daily number of disease admissions and the subscript i indicates the number of observation days (i = 1, 2, …, n). Variable x indicates parameters, such as daily mean air temperature (°C), daily mean wind speed (m/s), daily instantaneous maximum wind speed (m/s), Australian apparent temperature, Asian dust storm (ADS), LW, PM2.5-10 (μg/m3), PM2.5 (μg/m3), weekends, and mondays. The subscript k indicates the number of variables. In this model, y is a log-linear function of variable x.
The parametric method (z-test) for a one-tailed test was used for comparing parameter values recorded on the LW and non-LW days. Equation 4 was generally employed to test the differences between the means of two large independent samples (
35,
36):
Where the subscript is one for non-LW days and two for LW days, and are the means of the parameters from sample sub-groups, µ1 and µ2 are the means of the parameters from total populations, S1 and S2 are the standard deviations of each sub-group, and n1 and n2 are the number of samples.
The null hypothesis, Ho, was that an insignificant increase in a parameter that existed on the LW days. The alternative hypothesis, H1, was that a significant increase in a parameter existed on LW days. If the z value fell in the rejection region, the researchers rejected the null hypothesis at α with 95% confidence.