This retrospective study aimed at determining the various clinical and biochemical predictors of in-hospital mortality in this
group of preexisting CKD patients on maintenance hemodialysis infected with the COVID-19 virus. All patients underwent hemodialysis during the hospital stay; as for the modality, a majority of the patients received intermittent hemodialysis (IHD) treatment, and only a few of them underwent sustained low-efficiency daily dialysis (SLEDD). None of the patients from both waves received continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). The data obtained from the 35 patients from the first wave of COVID-19 were analyzed because there were only 5 CKD patients from the second wave. A recent retrospective analysis from Indian ICUs during both waves of the pandemic also observed a similar trend, with a significantly lesser number of patients with pre-existing renal dysfunction during the second wave with a corresponding lesser need for hemodialysis (
6). The number of patients undergoing dialysis for AKI (non-CKD) were higher in the second wave compared with that in the first wave (68.4 % [13 out of 19 patients] versus 18.6% [8 out of 43 patients], respectively). The obtained data revealed that most patients were middle-aged, with a median (IQR) age of 51 (IQR, 43 - 64) years, and with one or more co-morbidities plus CKD that had predisposed them to a higher risk of severe viral infection. More than 50% of the patients (57.2%) presented with moderate to severe disease whose most reported symptoms were shortness of breath (62.9%), fever (54.3%), and cough (45.7%) requiring a treatment with oxygen support via a variety of oxygen delivery devices at admission. Thus, the symptoms of presentation in this patient cohort were not different than the symptomatic presentation in the general population; there was also no significant difference between survivors and non-survivors in terms of symptomatology. A high baseline level of inflammatory markers like CRP, IL6, PCT, ferritin, and LDH was observed in majority of the patients. Moreover, 75% of the patients presenting with severe disease at admission died, 6 of whom required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) during ICU stay. A significantly elevated TLC, NLR, IL-6, PCT, serum fibrinogen, blood urea, SGOT, as well as a significantly low absolute lymphocyte count, and albumin level were found in patients who had experienced unfavorable outcomes. These findings suggested that a low albumin level, coagulation abnormalities, severe inflammation, and deteriorating renal function increased the risk of mortality in these patients. A similar trend of the raised inflammatory markers and high blood urea levels were observed in patients with unfavorable outcomes in the second wave, although the data were not analyzed further due to the very small sample size (5 patients only). A mortality of 23% was observed in our patients, which corresponded to the similar mortality range of 16 - 32% reported for a similar group of patients in several recent studies (
2-
5). The complication of severe COVID-19 disease leading to ARDS with or without multiorgan dysfunction (MOD) was the cause of mortality in all the patients, which was consistent with the observation reported by other previous studies (
7-
9).
The patients with CKD on maintenance dialysis have an impaired immune function (
10). The elevation of the inflammatory markers’ levels has suggested that they induce an immunological response against the coronavirus infection, and the cytokines play a key role in its immunopathology (
11). A high CRP level is associated with worse outcomes (
2-
5,
7,
12), and a similar finding in our study supported the evidence although there was no significant elevation in non-survivors. The elevations in IL-6 and PCT were also associated with in-hospital death in infected patients (
3,
13,
14). The role of IL-6 and CRP as predictors of all-cause mortality in dialysis patients had already been highlighted in previous studies (
3,
15-
17). Thus CRP, IL-6, and procalcitonin levels may have helped to predict the progression of the infection severity in CKD patients on maintenance dialysis.
Regarding coagulation abnormalities, elevated fibrinogen, D-dimer was observed in a majority of our patients, with a significant elevation of fibrinogen in non-survivors. The presence of coagulation abnormalities has been well established by previous studies on patients with COVID-19 (
3,
9,
18). Thus, coagulation abnormalities had a higher incident rate in CKD patients on maintenance dialysis, and a significant derangement was associated with poor outcomes. Other laboratory parameters like increased TLC, NLR, and lymphocytopenia are also associated with poor outcomes (
3-
5,
7). Similar findings were also observed in our study, indicating that TLC, and NLR was significantly elevated in the in-hospital mortality group. According to the results from routine investigations, baseline high blood urea, SGOT, and potassium levels were associated with higher mortality in this group of patients (
2,
5), which were in agreement with our findings. A low albumin level was also associated with poor outcomes in these patients (
2-
5), which was also consistent with one of our significant findings.
Our study faced some limitations. First, a small sample size was used in our study, and, therefore, the findings of our study may not be generalizable to the whole population of CKD patients on maintenance dialysis. Although our observations were consistent with the findings of similar studies conducted elsewhere in the world, a few prognostic factors were unique in this group of patients. Second, the retrospective data retrieval may have been affected by the bias inherent to data selection. Third, the number of CKD patients undergoing dialysis in the second wave of COVID-19 was very small. Therefore, the clinical characteristics and outcomes of the first and second waves were not compared, and no definite conclusion was drawn about this aspect. This particular group of patients has been studied in the literature mainly retrospectively; therefore, similar studies with a prospective design with an appropriate sample size should be conducted in the future to provide a more reasonable interpretation and to prove that the observed prognostic factors are valid.
5.1. Conclusions
Our findings and the available literature to date lead us to conclude that CKD patients on maintenance hemodialysis are more susceptible to severe disease following infection with Coronavirus due to the presence of multiple co-morbidities, frailty, and aging. In-hospital mortality or poor outcomes are associated with several clinical factors such as older age, severe disease at presentation, need of oxygen and respiratory support, and baseline biochemical parameters such as elevated inflammatory markers, IL-6, PCT, fibrinogen level, and low albumin level. These clinical & biochemical parameters can serve as predictors of in-hospital mortality or poor outcomes in this group of patients infected with COVID-19.