Evaluation of the epidemiological pattern of COVID-19 applying basic reproduction number: An educational review article

References

• 1.
  Zu ZY, Jiang MD, Xu PP, Chen W, Ni QQ, Lu GM, Zhang LJ. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a perspective from China. Radiology 2020; 200490.
• 2.
  MacKenzie D. Covid-19 goes global. Elsevier; 2020.
• 3.
  Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, Situation Report-86 WHO; 2020 [March 8]; Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019.
• 4.
  Tuite AR, Bogoch I, Sherbo R, Watts A, Fisman DN, Khan K. Estimation of COVID-2019 burden and potential for international dissemination of infection from Iran. Med Rxiv 2020.
• 5.
  Chen D, Zhou T. Control Efficacy on COVID-19. ArXiv preprint arXiv: 200300305 2020.
• 6.
  Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, Robins JM, Ma S, James L, et al. Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 2003; 300: 1966-1970.
• 7.
  Lipsitch M, Swerdlow DL, Finelli L. Defining the epidemiology of Covid-19-studies needed. N E J Med 2020; 382: 1194-1196.
• 8.
  Gilbert M, Pullano G, Pinotti F, Valdano E, Poletto C, Bolle PY, et al. Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study. The Lancet 2020; 395: 871-877.
• 9.
  Peng L, Yang W, Zhang D, Zhuge C, Hong L. Epidemic analysis of COVID-19 in China by dynamical modeling. arXiv preprint arXiv:200206563 2020.
• 10.
  Castillo-Chavez C, Feng Z, Huang W. On the computation of ro and its role on. Mathematical approaches for emerging and reemerging infectious diseases: an introduction. 2002; 1: 229.
• 11.
  Blackwood JC, Childs LM. An introduction to compartmental modeling for the budding infectious disease modeler. Lett Biomath 2018; 5: 195-221.
• 12.
  Chen S, Yang J, Yang W, Wang C, Brnighausen T. COVID-19 control in China during mass population movements at New Year. The Lancet 2020; 395: 764-766.
• 13.
  Giesecke J. Modern infectious dsisease epidemiology. second ed. London: Arnold; 2002.
• 14.
  Choi S, Ki M. Estimating the reproductive number and the outbreak size of Novel Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using mathematical model in Republic of Korea. Epidemiol Health 2020; e2020011.
• 15.
  Cao Z, Zhang Q, Lu X, Pfeiffer D, Jia Z, Song H, Zeng DD. Estimating the effective reproduction number of the 2019-nCoV in China. medRxiv 2020.
• 16.
  Lauer SA, Grantz KH, Bi Q, Jones FK, Zheng Q, Meredith HR, et al. The incubation period of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from publicly reported confirmed cases: estimation and application. Ann Internal Med 2020.
• 17.
  Liu Y, Yan LM, Wan L, Xiang TX, Le A, Liu JM, et al. Viral dynamics in mild and severe cases of COVID-19. The Lancet Infec Dis 2020.
• 18.
  Ferguson N, Laydon D, Nedjati Gilani G, Imai N, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, et al. Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand. 2020.
• 19.
  Colson P, Rolain JM, Lagier JC, Brouqui P, Raoult D. Chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine as available weapons to fight COVID-19. Int J Antimicrob Agents 2020; 105932.
• 20.
  Zhou D, Dai SM, Tong Q. COVID-19: a recommendation to examine the effect of hydroxychloroquine in preventing infection and progression. J Antimicrob Chem 2020.
• 21.
  Zhang S, Diao M, Yu W, Pei L, Lin Z, Chen D. Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess Cruise ship: A data-driven analysis. Int J Infect Dis 2020; 93: 201-204.
• 22.
  Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, Wang X, Zhou L, Tong Y, et al. Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia. N Eng J Med 2020.
• 23.
  Liu T, Hu J, Kang M, Lin L, Zhong H, Xiao J, He G, Song T, Huang Q, Rong Z. Transmission dynamics of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). 2020.
• 24.
  Abbott S, Hellewell J, Munday J, Funk S, group Cnw. The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis. Well Open Res 2020; 5: 17.
• 25.
  Kucharski AJ, Russell TW, Diamond C, Liu Y, Edmunds J, Funk S, et al. Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis 2020.
• 26.
  Sanche S, Lin YT, Xu C, Romero-Severson E, Hengartner NW, Ke R. The novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is highly contagious and more infectious than initially estimated. arXiv preprint arXiv:200203268 2020.
• 27.
  Alimohamadi Y, Taghdir M, Sepandi M. The estimate of the basic reproduction number for novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Prevent Med Public Health 2020.
• 28.
  Stein RA. Super-spreaders in infectious diseases. Int J Infect Dis 2011; 15: e510-e513.
• 29.
  Hilton J, Keeling MJ. Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices. medRxiv 2020.
• 30.
  Shao N, Cheng J, Chen W. The reproductive number R0 of COVID-19 based on estimate of a statistical time delay dynamical system. medRxiv 2020.
• 31.
  Conyn-van Spaendonck MA, De Melker HE, Abbink F, Elzinga-Gholizadea N, Kimman TG, van Loon T. Immunity to poliomyelitis in The Netherlands. Am J Epidemiol 2001; 153: 207-214.
• 32.
  Fine P, Eames K, Heymann DL. "Herd immunity": a rough guide. Clin Infect Dis 2011; 52: 911-916.
• 33.
  Plans P, Torner N, Godoy P, Jane M. Lack of herd immunity against measles in individuals aged 35 years could explain re-emergence of measles in Catalonia (Spain). Int J Infect Dis 2014; 18: 81-83.
• 34.
  Murdoch DR, French NP. COVID-19: another infectious disease emerging at the animal-human interface. N Zealand Med J 2020; 133: 12.
• 35.
  Ahmed SF, Quadeer AA, McKay MR. Preliminary identification of potential vaccine targets for the COVID-19 coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) based on SARS-CoV immunological studies. Viruses 2020; 12: 254.
• 36.
  Hellewell J, Abbott S, Gimma A, Bosse NI, Jarvis CI, Russell TW, et al. Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. The Lancet Global Health 2020.
• 37.
  Mukhtar F, Mukhtar N. Coronavirus (Covid-19): let's prevent not panic. J Ayub Med College Abbottabad 2020; 32##.