The purpose of the current study was to utilize Bayesian analysis to determine the prevalence of COVID-related CDs and their sociodemographic and health inequality predictors among individuals who recovered from COVID-19. Based on the results of the present study, COVID-related CDs were observed in less than half (27%) of the COVID-19-recovered individuals. However, the frequency and severity of COVID-related CDs among the participants varied widely based on different factors and variables. A similar study was conducted by Miskowiak et al. in 2021 to investigate the frequency of COVID-related CDs after discharge from the hospital. The results were statistically different from the present study and indicated a frequency of 59 to 65% of CDs among the participants (
29). Therefore, it can be concluded that the frequency of CDs was not consistent across all studies due to various methodological and demographic factors. In this context, a review study conducted by Daroische et al. in 2021 aimed to investigate the frequency of CDs even after COVID-19 recovery. The results indicated a prevalence of CDs ranging from 15 to 80% among COVID-19-recovered individuals (
11). Therefore, the results of the proposed study can align with a wide spectrum of findings in the existing literature.
In the present study, individuals with post-COVID-related CDs were significantly older, had lower minimum levels of SaO
2, and had more hospitalization days than those without CDs (P = 0.0001). In this regard, a study conducted by Sreevalsan-Nair et al. revealed that a longer length of in-hospital stay was correlated with a higher susceptibility to various COVID-related complications among COVID-19-recovered patients (P < 0.05) (
30). Furthermore, another study conducted by Liu et al. in 2021 to evaluate post-infection CDs among elderly patients with COVID-19 indicated that older age and more severe COVID-related CDs were correlated with each other (P < 0.05) (
31). Eventually, as stated by Su et al, “lower SaO
2 is associated with a higher risk of CDs” (P < 0.05) (
32). Therefore, the results of the aforementioned studies align with the findings of the current study.
Moreover, the variations in the prevalence of CDs among the individuals in the present research were considerable, likely due to the diversity of hospitals. As previously indicated, hospitals A, B, and C are located in Tehran’s three northern, central, and southern regions, respectively, and exhibit significant socioeconomic disparities. In other words, as one moves from Tehran’s northern to southern regions, socioeconomic status tends to deteriorate, making it harder for individuals in the southern regions to access healthcare. Consequently, these socioeconomic disparities can potentially impact their cognitive health. However, contrary to this expectation, the prevalence of CDs among individuals covered by hospital A (located in the northern region of Tehran) was surprisingly higher at 38% than the other hospitals (P = 0.001). Therefore, it can be concluded that other factors might be contributing to these conflicting results. For instance, as hospital A is a public hospital, most of the covered patients come from middle- or low-economic backgrounds, regardless of the regional economic conditions. Accordingly, based on a study by Alonso-Lana et al. in 2020, low socioeconomic status was associated with a higher vulnerability to CDs among individuals with COVID-19 (P < 0.05) (
33).
Another significant finding was the higher prevalence of CDs among individuals for whom 12 to 18 months had elapsed since the onset of their COVID-19. According to the results of Avila-Villanueva et al.’s study in 2022, chronic psychological disturbances can trigger CDs (
34). Therefore, it can be concluded that individuals in the groups with 3 to 6 months and 6 to 12 months since the onset of their COVID-19 have not had as much time as the third group (12 to 18 months) to be affected by the long-term consequences of COVID-related psychological disturbances that might lead to CDs.
In the present study, COVID-related CDs were correlated with PTSD, OCD, anxiety, and stress disorders. Coronavirus disease 2019-related CDs were more prevalent among individuals who were suffering from these mentioned disorders simultaneously, although the associations were not statistically significant (P > 0.05). However, based on Bayesian analysis, significant associations were observed between CDs and PTSD (BF = 0.04, P = 0.02), CDs and older age (BF = 0.0001, P = 0.0001), CDs and hospital A (BF = 0.03, P = 0.001), CDs and a lower level of SaO2 (BF = 0.01, P = 0.0001), and finally, CDs and more hospitalization days (BF = 0.001, P = 0.0001). These factors might significantly predict the development of CDs following a COVID-19 infection.
Moreover, Mattioli et al.’s study conducted in 2021, which investigated COVID-19-related neurological and cognitive sequelae 4 months after recovery, reported a significant correlation between the presence of CDs and depression (P = 0.007, r = 0.03), the presence of CDs and anxiety (P = 0.009, r = 0.04), and the presence of CDs and stress (P = 0.04, r = 0.02) (
14). Additionally, according to Riaz et al.’s study in 2021, correlations between the presence of CDs and depression (P = 0.0001, r = 0.61), the presence of CDs and anxiety (P = 0.0001, r = 0.64), and the presence of CDs and stress (P = 0.0001, r = 0.55) were reported (
35). Therefore, based on the results of these studies, despite differences in methodology (the absence of similar studies with Bayesian analysis), their primary reported results and correlations are approximately consistent with the findings of the present study.
5.1. Limitations
The present study, similar to any research, had several limitations. One notable limitation was the study’s limited sample size in each urban region. Additionally, only 339 out of the 1103 potential participants completed the entire questionnaire. It is reasonable to assume that more individuals might have developed symptoms of CDs as a consequence. The generalizability of the obtained data on COVID-19-recovered individuals was constrained by the aforementioned limitation, which was a result of the ethical rules governing voluntary participation in the study.
5.2. Conclusions
In conclusion, CDs were observed among less than half of the COVID-19-recovered individuals. The prevalence of CDs was higher among individuals who were older, had lower levels of SaO2, had 12 to 18 months elapsed since the onset of COVID-19, were covered by hospital A, had more hospitalization days, and had comorbid disorders, such as OCD, anxiety, and stress. Finally, there were significant associations and predictive relationships between CDs and PTSD, older age, hospitalization in hospital A, lower SaO2 levels, and more hospital days.