In the present study, 19 (8.02%) neonates were suffering from NEC. According to the findings, the probiotic prophylaxis duration was associated with risk of NEC after adjusting for gestational age, duration of empirical antibiotic use, RBC transfusion, and late-onset sepsis. The probiotic prophylaxis duration had ROC of 0.870, and ideal cutoff of 10.5 days, and sensitivity and specificity of 0.844 and 0.895, respectively.
It is well accepted that probiotics prophylaxis reduces the incidence of NEC. Robertson et al. (
17) found out that the NEC rates decrease from 7.5 to 3.1% in a routine probiotic administration cycle. Jiao et al. (
18) concluded that using a mixture of probiotics (namely
Bifidobacterium and
Lactobacillus) reduces the NEC risk (OR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.25 - 0.80, P = 0.007). Olsen et al. (
19) performed a meta-analysis addressing 12 studies on 10,800 premature neonates (5,144 persons receiving prophylactic probiotics and 5,656 cases in control groups). They documented the significantly lower NEC incidence (OR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.39 - 0.78; P = 0.0006) and mortality (OR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.61 - 0.85; P < 0.0001) rates in the probiotics group. These findings were consistent with those of the present study.
Regarding the probiotic prophylaxis duration for VLBW neonates, no specific recommendation was put forth. Guthmann et al. (
20) conducted a retrospective study and noticed that the effect of the short-term administration of probiotic prophylaxis for 10 - 14 days was not different from that of their long-term administration. Janvier et al. (
21) carried out a cohort study in which they administrated a probiotic mixture from the first feed to the 34th weeks. According to their findings, the probiotic administration was a protective factor (OR = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.26 - 0.98). Shashidhar et al. (
22) conducted a randomized controlled trial and found the lower incidence of NEC in the probiotic group (4 vs. 12%) receiving probiotic formulation as long as they discharged. The probiotic prophylaxis duration in these studies was not completely similar to that in our research. In the present study, we found that probiotic prophylaxis application > 10.5 days decreased the NEC risk. Accordingly, future researchers are recommended to detect which course of probiotic prophylaxis should be selected, and how extended probiotic prophylaxis should be adopted.
In this study, it was hypothesized that the inconsistencies in the probiotic prophylaxis duration in previous studies might be caused by the usage of empirical antibiotics since the preliminary empirical antibiotic use was correlated with the NEC risk in the present study. Neonates with prolonged empirical antibiotic use had low microbiota diversity. Similarly, Greenwood et al. (
23) reported that exposure to antibiotics (5 - 7 days) during the first postnatal week results in a lower variety in the second and third week of life and that
Enterobacter spp. is more noticed. Zhu et al. (
24) noticed a decrease in microbiota diversity and an increase in pathogenic bacteria after seven days of antibiotic therapy. In our study, the empirical antibiotic use in the non-NEC group (3.45 days) was shorter than that of the NEC group (5.74 days). This difference might be a reason for prolonged antibiotic use (≥ 5 days) to disrupt the preterm microbiota in the NEC group. Meanwhile, the probiotic prophylaxis in the non-NEC group (16.76 days) was longer than that in the NEC group (8.95 days). In other words, its duration in the non-NEC group was about twice as long as the NEC group. In this regard, prolonged antibiotic use might have aggravated the microbiota disorder; however, insufficient probiotic prophylaxis could not alter such a condition. This would lead to an increase in pathogenic bacteria, thereby promoting the incidence of NEC.
There was no consensus on probiotic prophylaxis protecting from NEC. The potential mechanism of probiotic action in the gastrointestinal tract included up-regulation of protective genes (
25), down-regulation of pro-inflammatory gene expression and TLR-4 signal (
8,
26), barrier maturation support (
27), and cellular immunity regulation (
28). For example, since the TLR-4 signal plays a central role in the pathogenesis of NEC, the probiotic prophylaxis may pose a protective effect by inhibiting the signal pathways. Previous studies have suggested that Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR-4), stimulated by bacterial products such as lipopolysaccharide (LPS), up-regulates the downstream pro-inflammatory immunological response (
29). Bacterial translocation was defined as the passage of bacteria or pathogens through the intestinal barrier into a normally-sterile site. Lack of bacterial diversity and delayed anaerobic bacterial colonization may predispose preterm infants to disease development (
30). Probiotics enhance the mucosal barrier, thereby hindering the migration of bacteria and other pathogenic factors (
31). Furthermore, an increase in the number of beneficial bacteria such as
Bifidobacterium and
Lactobacillus inhibits the growth of pathogenic bacteria and up-regulates the immune response. Probiotic prophylaxis may down-regulate the expressions of TLR-4 and other factors mediating a hyper-reactive state in response to microorganism colonization (
3). The effective probiotic prophylaxis in our study increased the frequency of beneficial bacteria and decreased the frequency of pathogenic bacteria. This, in turn, would down-regulate TLR-4 signals and inhibit bacterial translocation. In this regard, the protective mechanism of probiotic prophylaxis against NEC is not crystal clear and needs further investigation.
This retrospective study had some limitations. First, it was a single-center study, as such the extrapolation of the research results was limited. Second, only 237 VLBW preterm neonates with 19 NEC infants were included in the study; hence, the statistical power was not acceptable. Finally, the underlying biological mechanisms need to be explored in future studies.
The present study concluded that probiotic prophylaxis decreases the NEC risk in neonates, and that the probiotic prophylaxis > 10.5 days might be considered as an adequate duration.