1. Background
2. Objectives
3. Methods
3.1. Stage 1
3.1.1. Round 1
3.1.2. Round 2
3.1.3. Round 3
3.2. Stage 2
3.3. Hurdle Model
4. Results
4.1. Findings from Literature Review and Delphi Panel
4.2. Findings from Analysis and Distribution of Selected Socioeconomic Variables of the Samples
4.3. Gamma Regression Estimation Findings
| Total Health Expenditure | Coefficient | Standard Error | Z | P-Value | 95% Confidence Interval | Unadjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficient | 95% Confidence Interval | |||||||
| Income | 0 | 0 | 9. 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0 to 0) |
| Insurance expenditure | 0 | 0 | 10. 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0 to 0) |
| Region | ||||||||
| Urban | -0. 13 | 0. 031 | -2. 91 | 0 | -0. 18 | -0. 06 | -0.16 | (-0.21 to -0.12) |
| Rural | Reference | |||||||
| Gender | ||||||||
| Male | 0. 02 | 0. 09 | 0. 12 | 0. 82 | -0. 16 | 0. 18 | 0.01 | (-0.15 to 0.17) |
| Female | Reference | |||||||
| Chilled below 5 or elderly above 65 | ||||||||
| No | 0. 02 | 0. 05 | 0. 34 | 0. 65 | -0. 01 | 0. 13 | 0.03 | (-0.09 to 0.14) |
| Yes | Reference | |||||||
| Age | ||||||||
| 18 - 30 | -0. 19 | 0. 14 | -1. 23 | 0. 29 | -0. 43 | 0. 09 | -0.12 | (-0.68 to 0.03) |
| 31 - 43 | -0. 11 | 0. 12 | -0. 99 | 0. 13 | -0. 32 | 0. 11 | -0.17 | (-0.27 to 0.27) |
| 44 - 56 | 0. 02 | 0. 15 | 0. 11 | 0. 45 | -0. 19 | 0. 23 | 0.09 | (-0.46 to 0.39) |
| 57 - 69 | 0. 12 | 0. 06 | 1. 01 | 0. 60 | -0. 09 | 0. 29 | 0.19 | (-0.01 to 0.91) |
| 70 - 82 | 0. 09 | 0. 07 | 0. 7 | 0. 86 | -0. 09 | 0. 26 | 0.07 | (-0.08 to 0.21) |
| < 83 | Reference | |||||||
| Employment status | ||||||||
| Employed | -0.26 | 0. 13 | -2. 49 | 0. 01 | -0. 61 | -0. 07 | -0.62 | (-0.11 to -0.73) |
| Unemployed without income | -0.33 | 0. 18 | -1. 41 | 0. 15 | -0. 62 | 0. 10 | -0.29 | (-0.82 to 0.89) |
| Unemployed with income | -0. 65 | 0. 13 | -1. 29 | 0. 02 | -0. 58 | -0. 04 | -0.55 | (-0.61 to 0.03) |
| Student | 0 | (omitted) | - | - | - | - | -0.29 | - |
| Housekeeper | -0. 05 | 0. 19 | -0. 28 | 0. 78 | -0. 42 | 0. 31 | -0.26 | (-0.61 to -0.07) |
| Other | Reference | |||||||
| Marital status | ||||||||
| Married | 0. 49 | 0. 14 | 3. 44 | 0. 00 | 0. 21 | 0. 78 | 0.41 | (0.24 to 0.81) |
| Widow | 0. 41 | 0. 14 | 2. 87 | 0. 00 | 0. 13 | 0. 70 | 0.49 | (0.16 to 0.76) |
| Divorced | 0. 59 | 0. 18 | 3. 21 | 0. 00 | 0. 23 | 0. 96 | 0.74 | (0.16 to 0.91) |
| Single | Reference | |||||||
| Ownership status | ||||||||
| Real estate and nobles | 0. 79 | 0. 58 | 1. 37 | 0. 171 | -0. 34 | 1. 93 | 0.77 | (-0.33 to 1.93) |
| Real estate | 0. 58 | 0. 61 | 0. 94 | 0. 346 | -0. 62 | 1. 79 | 0.78 | (-0.36 to 1.22) |
| Rent | 0. 77 | 0. 58 | 1. 33 | 0. 183 | -0. 36 | 1. 92 | 0.97 | (-0.24 to 1.38) |
| Mortgage | 0. 85 | 0. 58 | 1. 45 | 0. 146 | -0. 29 | 2. 01 | 0.98 | (-0.79 to 1.92) |
| For service | 1. 02 | 0. 61 | 1. 67 | 0. 096 | -0. 17 | 2. 22 | 0.22 | (-0.34 to 1.39) |
| Free | 0. 66 | 0. 58 | 1. 14 | 0. 255 | -0. 48 | 1. 81 | 0.39 | (-0.94 to 1.92) |
| Other | Reference | |||||||
| Educational status | ||||||||
| Illiterate | 0. 01 | 0. 16 | 0. 08 | 0. 93 | -0. 30 | 0. 32 | 0.68 | (-0.48 to 1.93) |
| Elementary | 0. 28 | 0. 16 | 1. 79 | 0. 07 | -0. 02 | 0. 60 | 0.53 | (0.36 to 1.2) |
| Intermediate | 0. 29 | 0. 16 | 1. 79 | 0. 07 | -0. 02 | 0. 61 | 0.34 | (0.24 to 0.38) |
| Secondary | 0. 71 | 0. 20 | 3. 53 | 0 | 0. 32 | 1. 11 | 0.25 | (0.19 to 0.54) |
| Diploma | 0. 47 | 0. 16 | 2. 89 | 0. 00 | 0. 15 | 0. 8 | 0.46 | (0.34 to 1.3) |
| Post-diploma | 0. 44 | 0. 17 | 2. 52 | 0. 01 | 0. 1 | 0. 8 | 0.31 | (0.24 to 0.92) |
| Bachelor’s | 0. 57 | 0. 17 | 3. 38 | 0. 00 | 0. 24 | 0. 90 | 0.01 | (0.0 to 0.14) |
| Master | 0. 77 | 0. 19 | 4. 16 | 0 | 0. 41 | 1. 14 | 0.87 | (0.4 to 0.99) |
| Ph.D. | 0. 42 | 0. 32 | 1. 33 | 0. 18 | -0. 20 | 1. 05 | 0.74 | (-0.44 to 0.92) |
| Other | Reference | |||||||
| Constant | 13. 76 | 0. 65 | 21 | 0 | 12. 48 | 15. 05 | - | - |
aBIC = -191828. 5.
b Log likelihood = -378943. 9507.
c AIC = 32. 23681.
4.4. Results from the Two-Part Hurdle Model Estimation
| Explanatory Variables | Medical Equipment and Supplies Expenditure | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Hurdle | Second Hurdle | |||||||||||
| Coefficient | SE | z | P-Value > z | Confidence Interval | Coefficient | SE | t | P-Value > t | Confidence Interval | |||
| Region | ||||||||||||
| Urban | Reference | |||||||||||
| Rural | -0. 1131909 | 0. 016543 | -6. 84 | 0 | -0. 1456146 | -0. 0807672 | -710829. 4 | 113066. 4 | -6. 29 | 0 | -932442. 5 | -489216. 2 |
| Gender | ||||||||||||
| Male | Reference | |||||||||||
| Female | -0. 1172563 | 0. 0418278 | -2. 8 | 0. 005 | -0. 1992373 | -0. 0352752 | -530730. 2 | 288444. 1 | -1. 84 | 0. 066 | -1096088 | 34627. 86 |
| Chilled below 5 or elderly above 65 | ||||||||||||
| No | Reference | |||||||||||
| Yes | 0. 0915882 | 0. 0331254 | 2. 76 | 0. 006 | 0. 0266636 | 0. 1565128 | 616178. 6 | 224236. 9 | 2. 75 | 0. 006 | 176668. 4 | 1055689 |
| Family size | 0. 0214482 | 0. 0063868 | 3. 36 | 0. 001 | 0. 0089304 | 0. 033966 | 174916. 8 | 43675. 42 | 4 | 0 | 89311. 81 | 260521. 8 |
| Income | 2. 58E-11 | 6. 32E-12 | 4. 09 | 0 | 1. 35E-11 | 3. 82E-11 | 0. 0001777 | 0. 0000431 | 4. 12 | 0 | 0. 0000932 | 0. 0002622 |
| Age | ||||||||||||
| 18 - 30 | Reference | |||||||||||
| 31 - 43 | 0. 150861 | 0. 0404535 | 3. 73 | 0 | 0. 0715737 | 0. 2301483 | 932164. 9 | 279381. 4 | 3. 34 | 0. 001 | 384570 | 1479760 |
| 44 - 56 | 0. 2083121 | 0. 041417 | 5. 03 | 0 | 0. 1271363 | 0. 289488 | 1221422 | 286014. 3 | 4. 27 | 0 | 660826. 1 | 1782017 |
| 57 - 69 | 0. 2144894 | 0. 0443368 | 4. 84 | 0 | 0. 1275909 | 0. 301388 | 1494053 | 305208. 7 | 4. 9 | 0 | 895835. 8 | 2092270 |
| 70 - 82 | 0. 0801141 | 0. 057466 | 1. 39 | 0. 163 | -0. 0325171 | 0. 1927453 | 643432. 4 | 393557. 3 | 1. 63 | 0. 102 | -127950. 3 | 1414815 |
| 83 > | 0. 0347418 | 0. 0718975 | 0. 48 | 0. 629 | -0. 1061746 | 0. 1756583 | 225955. 7 | 495044. 3 | 0. 46 | 0. 648 | -744344. 4 | 1196256 |
| Marital status | ||||||||||||
| Married | Reference | |||||||||||
| Widow | -0. 0143306 | 0. 0438642 | -0. 33 | 0. 744 | -0. 1003028 | 0. 0716415 | -79846. 29 | 301999. 7 | -0. 26 | 0. 791 | -671773. 6 | 512081 |
| Divorced | -0. 0302301 | 0. 0658203 | -0. 46 | 0. 646 | -0. 1592355 | 0. 0987754 | -37874. 85 | 451412. 8 | -0. 08 | 0. 933 | -922655. 9 | 846906. 2 |
| Single | -0. 1346237 | 0. 0742159 | -1. 81 | 0. 07 | -0. 2800841 | 0. 0108367 | -873340. 4 | 514804. 2 | -1. 7 | 0. 09 | -1882370 | 135689. 4 |
| Ownership | ||||||||||||
| Real estate and nobles | Reference | |||||||||||
| Real estate | -0. 0182806 | 0. 1127479 | -0. 16 | 0. 871 | -0. 2392625 | 0. 2027013 | -331201. 1 | 771799. 3 | -0. 43 | 0. 668 | -1843948 | 1181546 |
| Rent | 0. 0536918 | 0. 0267544 | 2. 01 | 0. 045 | 0. 0012541 | 0. 1061295 | 236488. 6 | 181942. 6 | 1. 3 | 0. 194 | -120123. 8 | 593100. 9 |
| Mortgage | 0. 103645 | 0. 0419052 | 2. 47 | 0. 013 | 0. 0215123 | 0. 1857776 | 477288. 3 | 284425. 3 | 1. 68 | 0. 093 | -80192. 72 | 1034769 |
| For service | -0. 0898891 | 0. 0835604 | -1. 08 | 0. 282 | -0. 2536644 | 0. 0738862 | -466203. 4 | 570875. 7 | -0. 82 | 0. 414 | -1585135 | 652728 |
| Free | 0. 003647 | 0. 0303101 | 0. 12 | 0. 904 | -0. 0557598 | 0. 0630537 | -18342. 09 | 207479. 1 | -0. 09 | 0. 93 | -425006. 6 | 388322. 4 |
| Other | -0. 346791 | 0. 306261 | -1. 13 | 0. 257 | -0. 9470514 | 0. 2534695 | -2354942 | 2145621 | -1. 1 | 0. 272 | -6560415 | 1850532 |
| Employment status | ||||||||||||
| Employed | 0. 2856 | 0. 1615 | 1. 5100 | 0. 1011 | -0. 0573 | 0. 5223 | -0. 1601 | 3. 0160 | -0. 0501 | 0. 6310 | -3. 1013 | 1. 8014 |
| Unemployed without income | 0. 2741 | 0. 0308 | 3. 0210 | 0. 0050 | 0. 0655 | 0. 3027 | -0. 5175 | 0. 6329 | -0. 2700 | 0. 1095 | -2. 0478 | 0. 8799 |
| Unemployed with income | 1. 2741 | 0. 2158 | 4. 0318 | 0. 1254 | 0. 8974 | 0. 4871 | -0. 1124 | 0. 7895 | -0. 5632 | 0. 0095 | -1. 5631 | 0. 6941 |
| Student | 0. 2741 | 0. 0308 | 3. 0210 | 0. 0050 | 0. 0655 | 0. 3027 | 0. 3654 | 0. 1234 | -0. 3214 | 0. 3563 | 1. 9203 | 0. 2710 |
| Housekeeper | 0. 2741 | 0. 6357 | 6. 2142 | 0. 5103 | 0. 7021 | 0. 4800 | 0. 5175 | 0. 6021 | -0. 7524 | 0. 4030 | 0. 1354 | 0. 4799 |
| Other | Reference | |||||||||||
| Educational status | ||||||||||||
| Illiterate | Reference | |||||||||||
| Elementary | 0. 1711534 | 0. 0253646 | 6. 75 | 0 | 0. 1214396 | 0. 2208672 | 1123124 | 174323. 5 | 6. 44 | 0 | 781445. 8 | 1464803 |
| Intermediate | 0. 2769012 | 0. 0298297 | 9. 28 | 0 | 0. 218436 | 0. 3353664 | 1646081 | 204752. 1 | 8. 04 | 0 | 1244761 | 2047401 |
| Secondary | 0. 4421637 | 0. 0702977 | 6. 29 | 0 | 0. 3043827 | 0. 5799447 | 2717211 | 474073. 9 | 5. 73 | 0 | 1788013 | 3646408 |
| Diploma | 0. 3513737 | 0. 0298557 | 11. 77 | 0 | 0. 2928576 | 0. 4098899 | 2033106 | 204839. 6 | 9. 93 | 0 | 1631615 | 2434597 |
| Post-diploma | 0. 4138134 | 0. 0456204 | 9. 07 | 0 | 0. 324399 | 0. 5032278 | 3161588 | 305138. 1 | 10. 36 | 0 | 2563509 | 3759666 |
| Bachelor’s | 0. 4035432 | 0. 0370399 | 10. 89 | 0 | 0. 3309463 | 0. 4761401 | 2461110 | 252212. 4 | 9. 76 | 0 | 1966768 | 2955453 |
| Master | 0. 3297984 | 0. 0549959 | 6 | 0 | 0. 2220084 | 0. 4375885 | 2203274 | 372119. 3 | 5. 92 | 0 | 1473910 | 2932638 |
| Ph. D. | 0. 401318 | 0. 1402558 | 2. 86 | 0. 004 | 0. 1264216 | 0. 6762143 | 3261912 | 923349. 9 | 3. 53 | 0 | 1452122 | 5071702 |
| Other | 0. 5194176 | 0. 0799026 | 6. 5 | 0 | 0. 3628114 | 0. 6760238 | 2764735 | 539310. 8 | 5. 13 | 0 | 1707672 | 3821799 |
| Insurance Costs | 0. 1589481 | 0. 025201 | 6. 31 | 0 | 0. 109555 | 0. 2083412 | 870874. 9 | 172971. 8 | 5. 03 | 0 | 531845. 7 | 1209904 |
| Constant | -1. 238229 | 0. 0776896 | -15. 94 | 0 | -1. 390497 | -1. 08596 | -9622840 | 539520. 6 | -17. 84 | 0 | -10700000 | -8565365 |
| LR chi2 | 749. 13 | 576. 76 | ||||||||||
| Probability | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Pseudo R2 | 0. 0206 | 0. 0022 | ||||||||||
| Log-likelihood | -17847. 497 | -130001. 2 | ||||||||||