MPP is a common respiratory tract infectious disease in clinical practice. Children are at high risk of MPP because their organs are not yet mature, their respiratory and immune systems are not fully developed, and their resistance is relatively weak (
6,
7). Generally, the duration of MPP is 7 - 10 days in patients who receive comprehensive treatment early, with no sequelae and a good prognosis. However, if MPP is not treated promptly, it may progress to SMPP and involve multiple organs and systems, leading to poor outcomes (
8,
9). Therefore, accurate diagnosis and timely intervention are necessary.
At present, the clinical diagnosis of MPP is generally based on a composite reference standard integrating clinical features, imaging findings, and microbiological evidence. In this study, we further standardized this reference framework by clearly distinguishing major and supportive criteria and applying blinded adjudication, thereby enhancing diagnostic consistency and reproducibility. Importantly, the studied biomarkers (CRP, PCT, IgM, and IgG) were not incorporated into the reference standard and were not used in clinical decision-making for MPP classification, minimizing the risk of incorporation and classification bias.
CRP is an acute-phase protein produced by the liver in response to pathogen invasion, tissue damage, and various inflammatory stimuli. Under normal conditions, CRP levels are very low in the blood of healthy individuals. After synthesis is stimulated, CRP levels can increase rapidly and peak at approximately 40 hours. CRP is a highly sensitive, although nonspecific, biomarker of inflammation, tissue damage, and infection (
10). PCT is a protein released during bacterial infection; it is typically undetectable in healthy individuals but is elevated in severe bacterial, fungal, and parasitic infections (
11). Therefore, PCT and CRP measurements can help identify serious bacterial and fungal infections and assess the risk of severe infection. This study found significantly higher serum CRP and PCT levels in the MPP group than in the non-MPP group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified elevated levels of these markers as risk factors for MPP, indicating that serum CRP and PCT are potential adjunctive diagnostic markers for MPP. One possible explanation is that MP, a prokaryotic microorganism without a cell wall, can stimulate lymphocytes, monocytes, and macrophages to secrete inflammatory factors after adhering to host cells and can disrupt the expression of respiratory epithelial growth factors, leading to abnormalities in cellular repair and the development of MPP (
12,
13). As MPP progresses, various inflammatory cytokines are released, and inflammatory cells in the peripheral circulation migrate to the bronchi, lung interstitium, and alveoli, further aggravating inflammation and potentially triggering a systemic inflammatory response, during which peripheral blood PCT may increase significantly (
14). After entering the body, MP can directly damage cell membranes, exposing phosphocholine and CRP-binding sites. This exposure facilitates the transmission of inflammatory signals to the liver through cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-2, IL-8, IL-10, and tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), resulting in substantial CRP production. CRP is less affected by sex, age, anemia, and hyperglobulinemia. Even when the response is weak in children, CRP can increase as infection worsens, making it more responsive than some other acute-phase proteins. Therefore, CRP levels can increase significantly following MP infection and may serve as a marker of the occurrence and progression of MPP (
15).
In MPP caused by MP infection, specific immunoglobulin antibodies are produced, and their levels can be measured clinically to assess the occurrence and progression of MPP (
16,
17). After MP infection, toxic metabolites are released, damaging the host and triggering immune responses. These responses involve cellular immunity mediated by T lymphocytes and cytokines and humoral immunity mediated by B lymphocytes and immunoglobulins (
18,
19). In immunoglobulin-mediated humoral immunity, B lymphocytes proliferate and differentiate to synthesize and secrete specific antibodies. Immunoglobulins synthesized and secreted by plasma cells are globulins that specifically bind antigens and are important immune molecules produced in response to antigenic stimuli such as pathogens (
5,
20). This study found higher IgG and IgM levels in the MPP group than in the non-MPP group and identified these elevated levels as risk factors for MPP. It was speculated that numerous antigenic determinants are activated following MP infection; IgM antibodies are produced first, followed by higher-affinity IgG antibodies through somatic hypermutation and antibody class switching (
21). IgM emerges earliest and reaches its peak at 3 - 4 weeks, reflecting early infection and rapidly binding to the corresponding antigen to provide early immunity. IgG begins to increase later in the course of MPP but is the most abundant immunoglobulin in serum; it can neutralize free exotoxins and regulate phagocytes to exert antiviral and antibacterial effects. Therefore, both IgM and IgG levels increase significantly after MPP develops.
The AUCs of serum CRP, IgM, IgG, PCT, and the combination of all 4 markers for diagnosing MPP were 0.722, 0.764, 0.700, 0.773, and 0.905, respectively, indicating that the combined model demonstrated higher discrimination than any single biomarker in this dataset. The good calibration and stable performance observed in bootstrap validation further support the robustness of the proposed model. These findings suggest that the identified biomarkers may serve as useful adjunctive tools for early risk stratification rather than as standalone diagnostic criteria. Therefore, serum CRP, PCT, IgG, and IgM levels should be monitored in children with suspected MPP, particularly in those with elevated levels of all 4 markers, to support targeted clinical management and improve prognosis.
5.1. Study Limitations
This study has several limitations. First, the sample size was limited, and the sample source was geographically restricted. Second, the study population was limited to children aged 6 - 14 years, which may reduce the representativeness of younger children, older adolescents, and adults. In addition, patients with chronic lung disease, recent antibiotic exposure, or other clinically relevant conditions were excluded, which may have reduced clinical heterogeneity and limited the applicability of the findings to real-world settings. Therefore, the diagnostic performance of the proposed model should be interpreted within this specific population, and caution is warranted when extrapolating the results to broader or more diverse patient groups. Although efforts were made to minimize diagnostic bias through standardized reference criteria and blinded adjudication, residual bias cannot be completely excluded. These limitations may have affected the findings. Future studies should include larger and more diverse samples to validate these findings.
5.2. Conclusions
Serum CRP, IgM, IgG, and PCT levels were significantly increased in patients with MPP, and the combined model showed higher diagnostic discrimination than any single biomarker in this study.