Current treatment strategies for patients with borderline resectable metastasis include neoadjuvant chemotherapy (
14,
15), in which classical cytotoxic drugs, such as oxaliplatin or irinotecan, are used. These cytotoxic drugs can enhance overall survival in patients with resectable metastases by up to 63.7 months (95% CI: 52.7 - 87.3) compared to 55 months with surgery alone (95% CI: 41.9 - 79.4) (
16,
17). The new strategies also incorporate monoclonal antibodies, such as cetuximab or bevacizumab, which do not reduce the size of the metastases but have a stabilizing effect on them, leading to the question “which is the best method to establish the radiological response” (
18,
19).
In our study, both mRECIST and EASL failed to identify patients in whom no histological response occurred (TRG 4 and TRG 5), overestimating the effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. In our analysis, the RECIST 1.1 criteria were an independent prognostic factor, and the HR values increased as the prognosis worsened. When analyzing the behavior of mRECIST and EASL, the HR value did not increase as the radiological response worsened, nor did these criteria reach statistical significance.
One explanation for the poor performance of the mRECIST and EASL criteria may lie in the very nature of the tumor itself. Unlike hepatocellular carcinoma, CRC metastasis is hypodense respecting the rest of the hepatic parenchyma, while hepatocellular carcinoma is a hypervascular tumor (
20). Thus, CRC metastases are visible, especially in the portal phase, thus remaining less contrasted in CT images of the viable tumor portion, which makes analysis difficult (
21).
In our study, patients who received monoclonal antibodies were also treated with classical cytotoxic drugs, whose effect on metastasis is homogeneous and induces size reductions (
22). These factors favor the RECIST 1.1 analysis method over the mRECIST and EASL methods (
19). When comparing the γ values, again, the RECIST 1.1 criteria indicated a greater association with the histological response than the mRECIST and EASL criteria. The mRECIST and EASL approaches overestimated the histological response, leading to poorer survival.
Regarding the histological response, the criteria proposed by Rubbia-Brandt did not reach statistical significance in our analysis (P = 0.051). When analyzing survival, the risk increased as the pathological response of the patients worsened; there is indeed an inversion between TRG 2 and 3, which is due to the laxity of the criteria in both categories proposed in the work of Rubbia-Brandt himself (
11), since categories TRG 1, 4, and 5 have clear differentiating elements, such as the absence of tumor cells or the presence of necrosis. In contrast, TRGs 2 and 3 share the same characteristics, namely, fibrosis and few tumor cells, and are only differentiated by the proportion between the two characteristics, without determining the specific values.
Age, unlike other demographic prognostic factors, such as sex, can influence the survival of patients with CRC liver metastasis, and this was reflected in our analysis, which considered age to be an independent prognostic factor. Advanced age can be associated with a high operative risk and the presence of a greater number of postoperative complications (
23). Additionally, the origin of the primary tumor was also an independent prognostic factor. As known, CRC does not constitute a single tumor type, and the disease evolution differs between tumors originating in the proximal (right) and the distal (left, rectum) portions of the colon. Depending on the location, different molecular and histological characteristics are identified (
24), which should also be taken into account when developing chemotherapy treatment regimens.
If a correlation was demonstrated between the response to neoadjuvant treatment and overall survival, it would be possible to establish more efficient clinical trials to evaluate the action of new neoadjuvant therapies. A clear correlation would also allow the completion of adjuvant treatment in those cases with a poor histological response, to prolong the survival of patients. The demonstration of an association between the radiological and histological responses would allow unnecessary surgeries to be avoided in patients with a poor response.
Some oncological treatments, such as monoclonal antibodies, immunotherapy, or loco-regional treatment, are effective despite producing an atypical response. In patients with this type of treatment, the methods used to evaluate the radiological response based on size, such as the RECIST 1.1 criteria, show limitations because they underestimate the real response of the metastases (
18). Akinwande et al. (
21) compared the results offered by RECIST 1.1, mRECIST, and EASL in CRCliver metastases that had been treated with loco-regional therapy. These authors concluded that the determination of the mRECIST and EASL criteria presented a challenge in the case of CRC liver metastases because they are hypovascular lesions, unlike those in hepatocellular carcinoma, where both methods have demonstrated their superiority compared to the RECIST 1.1 criteria. This characteristic makes it difficult to visualize the viable tumor area. Moreover, these factors demonstrate that the RECIST 1.1 criteria rank better survival as a function of the type of radiological response and are an independent prognostic factor.
In 1996, Bismuth et al. (
25) reported for the first time that neoadjuvant chemotherapy with oxaliplatin plus 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin allowed for the conversion of the initial unresectable liver metastases into resectable metastases, leading to a 40% increase in five-year survival. The addition of cetuximab to chemotherapy regimens such as FOLFIRI or FOLFOX has been shown to increase the response rate and prolong disease-free survival and overall survival as long as the metastases have the wild-type phenotype of the KRAS oncogene (
26-
28). In our study, we did not observe differences in the overall survival between patients undergoing neoadjuvant treatment using only classic cytotoxic drugs and patients undergoing treatment with those drugs combined with monoclonal antibodies. This result may occur due to the lack of information on whether patients have the wild-type KRAS oncogene given that mutations in this gene are associated with a poor response to cetuximab (
29).
Concerning the limitations of our study, in addition to being a retrospective study, there was no homogeneity in the type of neoadjuvant therapy administered, the sample was small, and the study produced only 66 effects (66 deaths), which could lead to instability in the Cox regression analysis results. A decrease in the number of variables to be analyzed would offer, among other things, significant results about the degree of tumor regression.
In conclusion, as new chemotherapeutic regimens are developing, radiological changes differ from those seen when using classic cytotoxic drugs. Radiological biomarkers have proven to be useful to assess other tumors like hepatocarcinoma; however, they have not been tested before in CRC liver metastases treated with systemic chemotherapy.
The use of the RECIST 1.1 criteria is proposed as the ideal radiological analysis method for studying CRC liver metastases treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy compared with the other methods that are based on functional imaging markers.