4.1. Interpretation of the Results
This review suggested that adding XCHD to WM may improve several short-term surrogate outcomes in CHB, including virological response measures and some biochemical indices. These were selected because they are common treatment targets in CHB trials and conform to EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus infection, although they remain surrogate outcomes for long-term clinical benefit (
62). The outcomes are biologically plausible and directionally consistent across many analyses. However, these should be interpreted as exploratory estimates of average effect rather than established evidence of long-term clinical benefit, given that the available trials were generally small, methodologically limited, and most pooled endpoints were surrogate markers rather than patient-important outcomes such as progression to cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, mortality, or quality of life. In addition, because variation in background WM, disease stage, treatment duration, and XCHD modifications was anticipated, pooled effects for highly heterogeneous outcomes were likewise considered exploratory average effects.
Within each trial, both groups received the same background WM, including nucleos(t)ide analogues, interferon-based regimens, immunomodulators, and/or hepatoprotective therapies, but WM varied across trials. Otherwise, since XCHD is a compound preparation, some studies have variations in the core herbal composition, dosage, and compatible interventions, which may also contribute to clinical heterogeneity. Therefore, these reasons may be the source of clinical heterogeneity after merging data from the experimental group and control group. The findings therefore represent XCHD-based therapy, not a single standardized product.
Supplementary Material A7 showed that the cumulative Z-curves for HBV-DNA negativity, HBeAg negativity, ALT, AST, total clinical efficacy, LN, PCIII, and IV-C crossed both the conventional and TSA monitoring boundaries. In most of these analyses, however, boundary crossing occurred before the required information size was reached, suggesting a reduced risk of random error under the prespecified TSA assumptions rather than definitive or high-certainty evidence. By contrast, HA and TBil crossed the conventional threshold but not the TSA monitoring boundary and remained below the required information size, while for HBsAg negativity the accrued sample size was far below the required information size. These outcomes should therefore be considered inconclusive from a TSA perspective. TSA findings were interpreted together with RoB 2, GRADE, publication bias, and clinical heterogeneity.
The reported incidence of adverse events was not higher with XCHD + WM and was numerically lower in the pooled analysis. Even so, adverse events were reported in only 16 of 49 trials, and follow-up was short. Accordingly, the safety findings supported no clear short-term harm signal, but they did not establish long-term comparative safety.
4.2. Mechanistic Evidence
Consistent with prior preclinical research, XCHD appeared to modulate inflammatory and fibrogenic pathways, including NF-κB and TGF-β1, in a manner broadly consistent with the biochemical and fibrosis-marker improvements observed in this review (
63,
64). In animal and cellular models of chronic liver injury, XCHD-based interventions were reported to alleviate oxidative stress, regulate bile-acid and lipid metabolism, and ameliorate steatosis and cholestasis (
65,
66). In addition, XCHD was shown to inhibit TGF-β1-driven hepatic stellate-cell activation, downregulate profibrotic mediators such as HSP47 and collagen I/III, and reduce extracellular-matrix deposition in experimental fibrosis models (
7). Taken together, these mechanistic observations suggested that XCHD might mitigate hepatocellular injury, support antiviral and immune-regulatory activity, and help restore immune–metabolic balance in chronic hepatitis B, thereby providing only tentative mechanistic support for the clinical findings observed in this meta-analysis.
In addition to the primary outcomes, secondary outcomes — including total clinical efficacy, TBil, and fibrosis-related serum markers such as HA, LN, PCIII, and IV-C — were evaluated to provide a broader assessment of treatment benefit. In the included trials, adjunctive XCHD was associated with improvements in these outcomes. However, these findings were accompanied by substantial heterogeneity, and the certainty of evidence for most of these outcomes was low or very low. Moreover, several of these measures were indirect surrogate markers rather than hard clinical endpoints. These findings were therefore best interpreted as signals that warranted further confirmation rather than as definitive evidence of antifibrotic or cholestasis-modifying effects.
Clinically, several trials in CHB patients with liver fibrosis or cirrhosis reported that adding XCHD to conventional therapy reduced serum fibrosis markers, such as HA, LN, and procollagen peptides, and improved liver-function tests and imaging-based fibrosis scores; these findings were broadly consistent with the pattern of TBil and fibrosis-marker improvement observed in our meta-analysis (
67). In animal models of chronic liver injury and parasite-induced fibrosis, XCHD was also reported to reduce serum ALT, bilirubin, and HA, decrease granuloma burden and collagen-rich areas on histology, and ameliorate architectural distortion of the liver, thus suggesting a possible protective effect on fibrogenic remodeling and cholestatic injury (
7). Additional mechanistic studies indicated that key XCHD-related formulations and constituents might modulate extracellular-matrix turnover and hepatic stellate-cell behavior. For example, baicalin and baicalein derived from Scutellaria baicalensis were reported to inhibit PDGF-BB-induced stellate-cell activation and collagen synthesis, whereas XCHD-related formulations were reported to enhance matrix metalloproteinase (MMP-2 and MMP-13) expression and downregulate tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinases (TIMP-1/2), thereby potentially promoting collagen degradation in fibrotic livers (
59). Overall, the mechanistic evidence was broadly compatible with a potential adjunctive role for XCHD.
4.3. Clinical Implications
Subgroup analyses suggested that the adjunctive effects of XCHD plus WM were broadly consistent across most subgroups, and statistically significant subgroup differences were limited to a few outcomes. By treatment duration, studies with treatment courses of ≤ 6 months showed a larger reduction in TBil than those with treatment courses > 6 months (P for interaction = 0.002). This may suggest that bilirubin improvement can be observed within the earlier treatment period. By age, studies with a mean age ≤ 45 years showed a larger relative reduction in adverse events than those with a mean age > 45 years (P for interaction = 0.003). This finding may indicate that any short-term tolerability advantage was more apparent in younger study populations, but it should not be interpreted as evidence of excess harm in older patients. By disease course, studies with a mean disease duration >7 years showed a larger improvement in HBV-DNA negativity (P = 0.002), whereas studies with a mean disease duration ≤ 7 years showed larger reductions in HA (P = 0.04) and LN (P = 0.03). These patterns may reflect differential study-level responses in virological and fibrosis-related surrogate outcomes, but they remain exploratory and are insufficient to support patient-level treatment stratification. Given the multiple comparisons, the substantial heterogeneity of several continuous outcomes, and the low or very low certainty of evidence for many biochemical and fibrosis-related endpoints, these subgroup findings should be regarded as exploratory. Clinically, XCHD may provide short-term improvements in surrogate virological and biochemical endpoints when added to guideline-based WM, but it should not be considered a replacement for established antiviral therapy, and treatment decisions should not be based solely on treatment duration, age, or disease course.
4.4. Strengths
This study integrates a comprehensive meta-analysis with rigorous evidence appraisal to clarify the potential role of XCHD as an adjunct to WM for CHB. Using large-scale aggregated data from randomized trials, the analysis evaluated virological responses, liver biochemistry, fibrosis-related markers, and adverse events, providing an integrated view of both benefits and harms. Prespecified subgroup and sensitivity analyses were applied to probe the robustness of findings across treatment duration, age, and disease course, while RoB 2 and GRADE were used to characterize methodological limitations and certainty. In addition, trial sequential analysis was conducted to assess information size adequacy and confirm the stability of key findings under sparse-data conditions, thereby strengthening inference and highlighting outcomes that remain underpowered.
4.5. Limitations
Several limitations materially restrict confidence in the pooled estimates. First, many included trials inadequately reported random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding, and protocol registration, creating a substantial risk of exaggerated treatment effects. Many trials were relatively small with short treatment and follow-up durations, which constrains inference on longer-term clinical outcomes and late adverse events. Given that all trials were conducted in one country and were mostly small Chinese-language studies, publication bias and selective dissemination may have inflated some pooled benefits, so generalizability to other settings may be limited, and publication bias cannot be fully excluded. Although heterogeneity remained substantial for several continuous outcomes, the direction of effect was generally consistent across studies. We further explored sources of heterogeneity, but due to insufficient data in the included literature, we could only identify these as potential contributing factors of heterogeneity. Sensitivity analyses excluding a small number of influential trials reduced heterogeneity without materially changing the overall direction of the pooled estimates, which supported cautious interpretation of the findings. Additionally, most measures were surrogate markers rather than patient-important endpoints, and GRADE ratings were moderate for some outcomes but low for several key efficacy results.
4.6. Future Perspectives
Given the limited methodological quality and predominance of surrogate endpoints in the current evidence, the next generation of trials on XCHD for CHB should prioritize fewer but higher-quality studies rather than sheer numbers. Large, multicenter RCTs with prospective registration, transparent statistical plans, robust randomization and allocation concealment, blinded outcome assessment, and intention-to-treat analyses are needed to provide more credible effect estimates. Treatment protocols should clearly standardize the core XCHD composition, permitted modifications, dosage form, course length, and background antiviral regimens so that results are comparable across centers and reproducible in clinical practice.
Future research should move beyond short-term virological and biochemical endpoints and instead prioritize long-term, patient-centred outcomes, such as progression to cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver-related and all-cause mortality, together with validated quality-of-life measures. Non-invasive fibrosis indices, elastography findings, and quantitative HBsAg/HBV-DNA trajectories can still be incorporated, but mainly as intermediate surrogates prospectively anchored to these hard clinical events. In parallel, mechanistic and translational studies that integrate pharmacokinetic profiling, focused biomarker panels, and omics-based analyses are needed to elucidate how XCHD influences antiviral immunity, bile-acid and lipid homeostasis, and fibrogenic signalling, and to define the biological or clinical phenotypes of CHB patients most likely to benefit from XCHD as an adjunct to guideline-directed therapy.
4.7. Conclusions
The current evidence suggests that XCHD may have adjunctive short-term benefits for surrogate virological and biochemical outcomes in CHB, without an apparent increase in reported short-term adverse events. However, the evidence base remains limited by high bias risk and heterogeneity. Further large-scale, high-quality RCTs are warranted to validate these findings and assess their long-term clinical benefits.