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Predictor Variables for Marathon Race Time in Recreational Female Runners

Author(s):
Wiebke SchmidWiebke Schmid1, Beat KnechtleBeat KnechtleBeat Knechtle ORCID2,*, Patrizia KnechtlePatrizia Knechtle1, Ursula BarandunUrsula Barandun1, Christoph Alexander RstChristoph Alexander Rst2, Thomas RosemannThomas Rosemann2, Romuald LepersRomuald Lepers3
1Gesundheitszentrum St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
2Institute of General Practice and Health Services Research, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
3INSERM U887, University of Undy, Faculty of Sport Sciences, Dijon, France


Asian Journal of Sports Medicine:Vol. 3, issue 2; 90-98
Published online:May 31, 2012
Article type:Research Article
Received:Oct 31, 2011
Accepted:Dec 28, 2011
How to Cite:Wiebke SchmidBeat KnechtlePatrizia KnechtleUrsula BarandunChristoph Alexander RstThomas RosemannRomuald Leperset al.Predictor Variables for Marathon Race Time in Recreational Female Runners.Asian J Sports Med.3(2):34704.https://doi.org/10.5812/asjsm.34704.

Abstract

Purpose:

We intended to determine predictor variables of anthropometry and training for marathon race time in recreational female runners in order to predict marathon race time for future novice female runners.

Methods:

Anthropometric characteristics such as body mass, body height, body mass index, circumferences of limbs, thicknesses of skin-folds and body fat as well as training variables such as volume and speed in running training were related to marathon race time using bi- and multi-variate analysis in 29 female runners.

Results:

The marathoners completed the marathon distance within 251 (26) min, running at a speed of 10.2 (1.1) km/h. Body mass (r=0.37), body mass index (r=0.46), the circumferences of thigh (r=0.51) and calf (r=0.41), the skin-fold thicknesses of front thigh (r=0.38) and of medial calf (r=0.40), the sum of eight skin-folds (r=0.44) and body fat percentage (r=0.41) were related to marathon race time. For the variables of training, maximal distance ran per week (r=? 0.38), number of running training sessions per week (r=? 0.46) and the speed of the training sessions (r= ? 0.60) were related to marathon race time. In the multi-variate analysis, the circumference of calf (P=0.02) and the speed of the training sessions (P=0.0014) were related to marathon race time. Marathon race time might be partially (r2=0.50) predicted by the following equation: Race time (min)=184.4 + 5.0 x (circumference calf, cm) 11.9 x (speed in running during training, km/h) for recreational female marathoners.

Conclusions:

Variables of both anthropometry and training were related to marathon race time in recreational female marathoners and cannot be reduced to one single predictor variable. For practical applications, a low circumference of calf and a high running speed in training are associated with a fast marathon race time in recreational female runners.

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