For both NAFLD patients and healthy controls, the majority of participants (93.8%) had normal or mild liver fibrosis, which was assessed using ARFI as the standard reference. NAFLD patients had higher BMI, waist circumference, glucose, HbA1c, and triglyceride than healthy controls. The M2BPGi levels among the groups of F0, F1, or F ≥ 2 were significantly different, and there was a direct correlation between M2BPGi and the severity of liver fibrosis (P = 0.027). Furthermore, the M2BPGi levels were correlated with ARFI, APRI, and FIB-4 scores. In addition, the serum M2BPGi level could predict mild (F1) or significant (F2) liver fibrosis using the AUC method, suggesting a surrogate marker to differentiate between normal, mild, or significant fibrosis.
In previous studies, M2BPGi could predict NASH and liver fibrosis in biopsy-proven NAFLD patients (
4,
10,
15-
17). Although liver biopsy is the gold standard to precisely diagnose NASH, fibrosis is not always uniformly distributed in the liver, and biopsy specimens only represented approximately 1/50000 of the liver (
18). A systematic review and meta-analysis revealed that ARFI elastography could exert satisfactory diagnostic performance in staging non-viral hepatic fibrosis, especially in advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, and was modestly accurate in detecting significant fibrosis for NAFLD patients (
19,
20). Furthermore, since ARFI is incorporated into conventional ultrasonography, the complications of chronic liver disease, such as ascites or hepatocellular carcinoma, could be assessed simultaneously (
21). However, the machine of ARFI is expensive and often is not available at the local medical department (
4). On the other hand, the cost of ARFI is about 50 US$, and M2BPGi costs about 17 US$ in our country. Although transient elastography can assess the severity of liver fibrosis, it displays reduced applicability in obese and NAFLD patients. The magnetic resonance elastography is expensive and remains understudied in NAFLD patients. Therefore, the diagnostic performance of M2BPGi was evaluated in order to assess the liver fibrosis in NAFLD patients using ARFI as the standard reference. Our report demonstrated that M2BPGi is positively correlated with ARFI value. M2BPGi was significantly elevated stepwise with liver fibrosis progression in NAFLD patients, as has been reported previously (
4,
10,
15-
17). To the best of our knowledge, there was no data about the diagnostic ability of M2BPGi using ARFI as the standard reference to determine liver fibrosis stages.
APRI and FIB-4 were initially developed to diagnose significant or advanced liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C, subsequently refined for the NAFLD patients (
22). The scores are easily calculated, affordable, and just using routine clinical and laboratory parameters. Although the ability of differentiation between adjacent fibrotic stages, especially among normal, mild, and significant liver fibrosis, was limited, they were allowed to screen NAFLD patients and make risk stratification for liver-related mortality (
23,
24).
In a previous study on 134 biopsy-proven NASH patients, the FIB-4 score and serum M2BPGi levels could predict advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis rather than APRI. In addition, only the M2BPGi test could predict significant fibrosis (
15). Another study on 165 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients confirmed the diagnostic accuracy of M2BPGi, APRI, and FIB-4 scores in assessing significant liver fibrosis (F ≥ 2) (
16). Our study found the correlation between M2BPGi and APRI or between M2BPGi and FIB-4 scores. Furthermore, the M2BPGi could predict mild (F ≥ 1) or significant liver fibrosis (F ≥ 2) of NAFLD patients, suggesting a surrogate marker to differentiate among normal, mild, and significant fibrosis of NAFLD patients.
The mean serum M2BPGi levels in NAFLD cases were 0.62 - 0.71, 0.7 - 1.17, 1.2 - 1.57, and 1.6 - 2.96 for histological fibrosis stages of 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively (
4). Our cut-off value for mild (F ≥ 1) and significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) is mildly lower than previous studies (
4,
10,
15-
17). Further studies with the meta-analysis design are needed to establish the final cut-off values for NAFLD patients in diagnosing significant, advanced fibrosis, or cirrhosis.
It is necessary to mention some limitations and biases of our study. Although serum M2BPGi levels were increasing with liver fibrosis progression, the cut-off values for different stages of liver fibrosis varied depending on the etiology of underlying liver disease. Since our study population included NAFLD patients and healthy controls with the exclusion of other known causes of chronic hepatitis, we benefited from the advantage of assessing its diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis in NAFLD patients. Second, previously applied non-invasive markers have limitations in differentiation between normal and mild liver fibrosis. Our study found that the M2BPGi levels could differentiate mild or significant liver fibrosis from no fibrosis. However, some limitations should also be addressed. First, the gold standard to assess the stages of liver fibrosis is liver biopsy, not ARFI. Second, the sample size for significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) was relatively small in this study population. Third, the AUC of the M2BPGi test was 0.58 for F ≥ 1. The low score may be due to either relatively milder liver fibrosis in this population or originally minor difference between F0 and F ≥ 1 groups.
In summary, the serum M2BPGi levels correlate with ARFI, APRI, and FIB-4 scores, according to the findings of the present study that was carried out on both NAFLD patients and healthy controls. Furthermore, the levels of M2BPGi could predict mild (F ≥ 1) or significant liver fibrosis (F ≥ 2) in NAFLD patients, suggesting a surrogate marker to differentiate between normal, mild, and significant fibrosis in NAFLD patients. The cut-off value of M2BPGi was 0.58 for mild liver fibrosis and 0.68 for significant liver fibrosis. Nevertheless, further studies are needed to extend our knowledge about whether the M2BPGi test can predict the overall survival, the risk of liver-related complications, or hepatocellular carcinoma development.