Liver failure is a complex medical emergency that evolves after a catastrophic insult to the liver and its outcome is still the most ominous of all gastroenterologic diseases. Serious complications tend to occur in the course of the disease and further exacerbate the problems. The prognosis mainly depends on the control of inflammation and necrosis of the liver, prevention or treatment of the complications that may arise, and regeneration of hepatocytes during treatment. Based on medical management, the use of ALSS will benefit the survival rate; however, when spontaneous survival is considered possible, liver transplantation is unlikely considered as the last therapeutic option.
It is a routine practice to assess the prognosis of the disease during treatment. The prognostic indices include age, INR, PTA, TBIL, hepatic encephalopathy, AFP, MELD score, and amino acid metabolism and so on (
17,
21-
24); however, there is not a specific indicator to reflect the real situation of liver regeneration yet. The recovery of necrotic liver is closely related to the proliferation and regeneration of hepatocytes. It is possibly associated with telomerase activity because telomerase is a kind of enzyme involving in cell differentiation and proliferation. Sirma et al. (
15) found that
hTERT in hepatocytes was induced during liver regeneration in vivo and hepatocyte proliferation in vitro. Telomerase activity in PBMCs is closely linked to its expression in the liver in patients with HCC (
8,
9). In this study, we found that the levels of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA expression were very low in patients with liver failure before treatment, and the levels were not significantly different between survivors and non-survivors during the early days of treatment. The result is partly similar to the findings of Miura et al. (
13), which showed that the level of serum
hTERT mRNA was lowest in fulminant hepatitis, and was also significantly lower than that in acute hepatitis. However, we found that the median levels in survivors increased with treatment time while those were all lowly expressed in non-survivors during the study period. The results strongly indicated that a patient with an increasing expression of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA during treatment might have a good prognosis.
Among the clinical indices that might influence the outcome, logistic regression analyses showed that the clinical type of liver failure was an independent factor; the survival rate of patients with ACLF was significantly higher than that of patients with CLF (84.4% [38/45] vs. 42.9% [12/28], P < 0.001). Further analysis demonstrated that the median level of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA in patients with ACLF was markedly higher than in patients with CLF. To some extent, this was in accordance with the fact that the hepatocyte proliferation is likely more vigorous in patients with ACLF than with CLF. The reason may partly be due to the difference of hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis between these two clinical types of liver failure. According to the criteria of liver failure classification in Chinese guideline (
19), ACLF occurs in patients with the background of chronic liver diseases while CLF evolves in patients with liver cirrhosis.
In patients with the same clinical type of liver failure, a similar result was found; the median levels of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA expression after 14 days of treatment were significantly higher in survivors than in non-survivors subgroup with ACLF and CLF. In those with different clinical type but the same prognosis, the median level at each study time point was not significantly different between the two subgroups. These results further elucidated the close association between the expression of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA and the prognosis of liver failure. Therefore, the monitoring of
hTERT mRNA expression during treatment of liver failure may help to evaluate the status of hepatocyte regeneration. If the detected sample is liver tissue instead of PBMCs, the result may directly reflect the real situation of liver regeneration; however, to perform liver biopsy for these patients is not feasible. Serum
hTERT mRNA can be detected but the concentration may be disturbed by plasma exchange treatment; on the other hand, the sample from PBMCs is considerably stable and is not easily influenced by endogenous and exogenous factors. Previous studies have shown the involvement of Kupffer cells, resident NK cells, T lymphocytes, interferon-α/-γ, and colony stimulating factor during liver regeneration (
25-
29); therefore, our findings indicated that PBMCs were associated with liver regeneration.
Considering the value of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA in evaluating the prognosis of liver failure, our results showed that the AUC of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA at day 14 had a high predictive value to identify good prognosis and had a much higher sensitivity as well as specificity to predict the outcome with treatment time. It suggested that the monitoring of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA expression could effectively evaluate the prognosis. In addition, our data showed a positive correlation between the levels of serum AFP within 14-28 days after treatment and PBMCs
hTERT mRNA expression at post treatment day 14; this consistent relation further revealed the intrinsic association between liver regeneration and serum AFP as well as PBMCs
hTERT mRNA. However, the AUC of PBMCs
hTERT mRNA at post treatment day 14 had higher prognostic value than serum AFP within 14-28 days after treatment. This is somewhat similar to a previous study that showed serum
hTERT mRNA was superior to serum AFP in diagnosis of HCC (
30).
In conclusion, in this preliminary study, we report for the first time that the expression of PBMCs hTERT mRNA was associated with the prognosis of liver failure; therefore, hTERT mRNA in PBMCs might become a promising candidate as a biomarker for evaluating the outcome of liver failure. Low expression of PBMCs hTERT mRNA through the course of the disease may indicate a bad liver regeneration and a poor prognosis; thus early liver transplantation should be considered in order to improve survival of patients who are incapable of responding to medical treatment. Obviously, this study was just preliminary, the sample size was not large, and the expression of PBMCs hTERT mRNA was detected by relatively quantitative RT-PCR. Hence, further studies with larger sample size and quantitative RT-PCR assay are needed to confirm our findings. At the same time, the intrinsic mechanism between PBMCs hTERT mRNA and liver regeneration remains to be elucidated.