The current study consisted of a large single-institutional cohort of patients presenting with thyroid nodules classified as Bethesda category III or IV, with all patients undergoing a thyroidectomy. We had a real stratification of the risk of malignancy among those individuals, unlike other studies, in which, patients who underwent surgery had specific pre-screenings with inherent selection bias. We identified a 16% rate of malignancy in nodules classified as Bethesda category III, and 17% among those classified as bethesda category IV. When incidental carcinomas were included, these rates nearly doubled. The whole cohort was classified at the time of care under The bethesda system rather than retrospectively reviewed and assigned a category. For both bethesda categories III and IV, papillary carcinoma represented a majority of the malignant neoplasms, with approximately 50% of these being the follicular variant.
The probability of malignancy for each Bethesda category varies widely in the literature, especially for categories III and IV, which have the largest variability (
1,
6,
8,
10-
12). There is also a notable difference in the percentage of patients who had a histopathological follow-up (
4,
6,
8,
10-
17), mainly those with Bethesda category III nodules, with a range of 30% to 90% according to the reviewed data. This is the most controversial cytological category since its use is not uniform across institutions and there is some degree of subjectivity in the distinction between categories III and IV (
10,
11).
Our study demonstrated that the rates of malignancy were almost the same in the patients with thyroid nodules classified as bethesda category III (16.2%) and bethesda category IV (18.1%). When considering the number of nodules, rather than the number of patients, these numbers decreased to 15.7% and 16.8%, respectively. For bethesda category III nodules, we found a malignancy rate higher than the upper limit described by The Bethesda System (an approximation of 5% - 15%) (
2). For Bethesda category IV nodules, the malignancy rate was close to the lower limit anticipated by the system (15% - 30%). However, these numbers are lower than those described in other studies, with specific exceptions, as presented in
Table 1. These findings can be explained by the fact that the whole cohort underwent surgery, rather than just selected patients with the most suspicious nodules based on radiological data. In addition, for Bethesda category IV nodules, where surgical resection is suggested, the rates of histopathological follow-ups were as low as 59% in the reviewed articles (
4,
13,
15). We can also consider the possibility of heterogeneous and subjective interpretation of these categories between different observers in different institutions (
8). Epidemiological and geographical discrepancies must also be considered.
| Reference | Bethesda III | Bethesda IV |
|---|
| Histopathological Follow-Up (N) | % of the Cohort | % Malignancy | Histopathological Follow-Up (N) | % of the Cohort | % Malignancy |
|---|
| Theoharis et al. 2009 | 27 | 30.3 | 48.1 | 102 | 61.4 | 34.3 |
| Jo et al. 2010 | 53 | 50.0 | 17.0 | 177 | 59.4 | 25.4 |
| VanderLaan et al. 2011 | 199 | 38.9 | 43.0 | a | a | a |
| Bongiovanni et al. 2012 | 132 | 53.2 | 14.4 | 698 | 78.8 | 32.1 |
| Mathur et al. 2014 | 255 | 31.6 | 39.0 | a | a | a |
| Ho et al. 2014 | 369 | 68.2 | 37.9 | a | a | a |
| Deniwar et al. 2015 | 65 | 69.0 | 34.0 | 42 | 97.7 | 50.0 |
| Rosario 2014 | 150 | 90.0 | 22.6 | a | a | a |
| De Napoli et al. 2016 | a | a | a | 258 | b | 34.9 |
| Present study | 478 | 100.0 | 15.7 | 137 | 100.0 | 16.8 |
Abbreviation: N, number of thyroid nodules evaluated.
aNot included in the study.
bData not shown.
In a meta-analysis, 25445 thyroid FNAs were reported with a histopathological follow-up in 6362 cases (25%). In the Bethesda category III group, 39% of patients underwent surgical resection, with a 15.9% malignancy rate. In the Bethesda category IV group, 70% of the patients underwent surgery. Among them, 26.1% of the target nodules were neoplastic. The variability in diagnosis was attributed to differences in population characteristics, nodule selection, and classification bias (
2).
VanderLaan et al. reported 512 (10.9% of the cohort) cases as AUS. A repeat FNA was performed in 287 (56.1%) of the nodules after the initial AUS diagnosis, and 199 patients (38.9%) underwent thyroidectomy, with or without repeat FNA. Of the nodules, 43% were malignant. Patients with a histopathological follow-up after AUS diagnosis had a similar rate of malignancy (41%), as did patients who had a later AUS diagnosis (43%). Seven patients with benign cytological diagnosis after an initial bethesda category III classification underwent thyroidectomy and 29% had a final malignant diagnosis. In patients with a histopathological follow-up, there was no statistically significant difference in the rates of malignancy in those with benign aspirate after initial AUS classification compared to those with no repeat aspiration or a repeat bethesda category III diagnosis, indicating that surgery, rather than repeat FNA, may be a more appropriate diagnostic approach for these patients. It is also unclear why a repeat FNA resulting in a benign diagnosis should be more or less reliable than the first AUS/FLUS diagnosis (
6).
Additionally, in a cohort of 4827 cytological specimens, 806 were classified as AUS after review in a different study (
10). Among them, 255 patients underwent a thyroidectomy with 39% malignancies. The authors observed that AUS sub-classifications such as the “presence of focal nuclear atypia”, “focal microfollicular proliferation”, “focal Hurthle cell proliferation”, and “others” were associated with malignancy in 54%, 39%, 19%, and 26%, respectively, which are higher risks of malignancy than originally predicted based on The bethesda system. The authors recommended surgical resection for this cytological condition.
In another review of 3080 thyroid FNAs, the malignancy rate in the Bethesda category III group was 17% and 25.4% in the bethesda category IV group (
15). Although, only approximately 50% of the cohort underwent surgery, this is the study with malignancy rates closest to our results.
In the present study, 137 patients with nodules classified as bethesda category III (30%) had carcinomas, including incidental carcinomas, and 39 (8.6%) had follicular adenomas, accounting for at least 176 (38.6%) patients who benefited from surgical treatment. In the bethesda category IV group, 60 (47.2%) patients were in this situation, including the incidental findings. Although most of the cases were microcarcinomas, their oncological evolution is not predictable and a balance between the risk of a potentially delayed diagnosis and an unnecessary operation should be taken into consideration (
7). When incidental carcinomas were included, malignancy rates were similar in the 2 groups of patients (30% and 37.8%, respectively). Among incidental findings (15.1% of the total sample and 47.6% of patients with a malignant diagnosis) we observed that in 52.3% of the cases the carcinoma was identified in the lobe contralateral to the lobe that was aspirated. In addition, in 45.5%, the malignant neoplasia was found exclusively in the contralateral lobe. Only 3 of these lesions were not microcarcinomas. Thus, if total thyroidectomy had not been indicated for these patients, the chances of leaving a carcinomatous lesion were significant. The rate of papillary carcinoma was 96%.
The majority of reports relating cytological to histopathological diagnoses did not consider incidental carcinomas and the data are very heterogeneous regarding these results. Theoharis et al. calculated a 3.6% incidence of incidental carcinomas in an equivalent Bethesda category III and 5.5% in an equivalent Bethesda category IV among 2468 patients who underwent thyroid FNA (30.3% underwent surgical treatment in the first group, and 61.4% in the second group). However, if incidental carcinomas had been included in the study by Ho et al., the cumulative rate of malignancy would have been 57.2% among Bethesda category III nodules. In a cohort of 256 patients who underwent a thyroidectomy due to a benign disease (
18), 11% were diagnosed with incidental carcinomas, similar to our results; 40% had multifocal lesions, and 57.5% were considered microcarcinomas. In another group of 586 patients who underwent thyroidectomies for reasons other than suspicion of cancer, 9.7% were incidental carcinomas, of which 96.5% were microcarcinomas (
19). Among micropapillary carcinomas (incidental or not), a 33.7% rate of multifocality and a 7.4% rate of extrathyroidal extension were observed, similar to our findings. However, lymph node involvement was found in 15.8% (5.5% in incidental carcinomas), while it was observed in 4.6% (5 patients among 108) of our cases of microcarcinomas. The rates of incidental carcinomas and microcarcinomas in the thyroid gland vary across institutions. In addition, papillary microcarcinomas have been described in as many as 35% of autopsy studies, with 47% multifocality (
20). Beyond geographical differences, when considering the large difference in reported prevalence, one must consider the attention to detail required by pathologists identifying microcarcinomas, whose diagnosis depends on millimetric histological sections. The rates of lymph node involvement also depend on appropriate sampling during the surgical procedure, which is not typically done in cases of presumed benign nature.
4.1. Conclusion
This paper provides a more precise correlation of malignancy rates with thyroid nodules classified as Bethesda categories III and IV, especially due to the fact that all patients in the cohort underwent surgical intervention. We observed a 16% rate of malignancy in nodules classified as bethesda category III as well as a 17% rate among those classified as bethesda category IV and found incidental carcinomas in 15% of patients.