In this prospective study conducted on Iranian adults without type 2 diabetes, greater adherence to the MedDiet was not associated with either lower MetS components or lower incidence of metabolic abnormalities, after 3 years of follow-up. In addition, we did not find any significant associations between the two scores used to assess adherence to this pattern and the 3-year MetS incidence, after adjusting for potential confounders.
Previous prospective studies consistently report an inverse association between adherence to the MedDiet and MetS incidence, though the strength of the association was varied (
7-
9). However, previous findings on the association between MedDiet and MetS components have been contradictory (
7-
9,
11,
12). In a Spanish population, adherence to the MedDiet according to MDS was related to 80% lower risk of MetS after a 6-year follow-up, but the score was only related to WC (mean difference between the highest and lowest tertiles: 0.5 cm, p-trend: 0.04) (
7). In a USA population, participants with higher adherence to the MedDiet according to the Mediterranean style-dietary pattern score (MSDPS) had lowest cumulative incidence of MetS over 7 years of follow-up. In that study, WC, FPG, TG and HDL-C were significantly related to the MSDPS (
8). The last prospective study conducted among French adults showed that higher adherence to the MedDiet was associated with 50% and 53% lower MetS incident after 6 years of follow-up based on MDS score and a revised Mediterranean score (MED) respectively, while according to the MSDPS the inverse association became non-significant after adjusting for potential confounders (
9). While MSDP was related to most MetS components in a USA population, this index in the French study was related only to HDL-C. However, MED score was associated to WC, SBP, TG and HDL-C (
9). Some discrepancies between the studies could be due to the score used to evaluate adherence to the MedDiet that can affect strength and the significance of the associations (
6,
26). A previous prospective study conducted in the TLGS also found no significant association between MDS and WC after 6.7 years of follow-up (
27).
Different indexes were developed to assess the adherence to the MedDiet with varying in the components included, the weight given to each component and the scoring system used (
26). Using MDS as suggested by Trichopoulou et al. (
20) with some modification, 48.5% of our participants had the highest degree of adherence (Tertile 3). Since the scoring system for calculating MDS is based on sample-specific median consumption, we considered the absolute values for each component as proposed by Sofi et al. in the second scoring of the MedDiet (
22). According to Sofi et al., the actual amounts for each food component should be consumed to describe adherence to the MedDiet (
22). Based on the score, only 24.5% of our participants had the highest adherence. Adherence to the MedDiet increased with age in both the scores used. Intakes of energy, macronutrients and nutrients across the tertiles of the diet scores were different, because calculation of the first score was based on energy-adjusted median of each component, while for Sofi-MDS, absolute values were used. None of these two scores was associated with MetS and its components in our study, which could suggest that something beyond quantitative differences in the intakes of each component in our population, compared to the Mediterranean countries, may lead to non-significant associations observed in our study between the pattern and MetS.
Cereals as a beneficial food item include both refined and whole cereals in determination of the degree adherence to the MedDiet, although in the traditional MedDiet, cereals were largely unrefined. The effects of refined- and whole-cereals on health may be distinct and this is one of the concerns about using the MedDiet scores (
28,
29). More than 90% of our population met the proposed values intake of cereals according to the Sofi-MDS. However, in an Iranian population, white rice and refined cereals constituted the major part of daily cereals consumption. Previous studies on the association between white rice and MetS provided inconsistent findings despite most investigations suggesting an increased risk of developing diabetes and cardio metabolic risk factors with increasing rice consumption (
30). However, the non-significant association of white rice consumption and the risk of MetS in Iranian participants on high-fiber diet suggest that the possible adverse effects of white rice on metabolic outcomes could be, in part, due to low consumption of fruit and vegetable intake (
30).
The daily median intake of fish in our population was lower than the median intake in a Greek population (6.4 vs. 18.8 g/day for female; 7.1 vs. 23.7 g/day for male). According to Sofi-MDS, 31.2% of women and 24.6% of men consumed the highest value intake of fish and seafood. In addition to variation in quantity of fish intake, differences in the type of fish consumed and the way of cooking between the Mediterranean and non-Mediterranean countries can affect the amount of n-3 PUFA intake (
10). In Mediterranean countries, frying fish with olive oil, especially virgin olive oil, is the most common way of preparing fish, which has been found to increase the nutritional benefits of fish because of the absorption of antioxidants phenolics, terpenic acids and vitamin E. In Iran, frying fish with sunflower or corn oil is the most common method of preparing fish, which has been shown to reduce n-3 and increase n-6 fatty acid content of fish (10).
While using olive oil for cooking and salad dressing daily is common in the Mediterranean countries, few people in Iran consume olive oil. Therefore, we considered the ratio of unsaturated fat to SFA instead of median intake of olive oil in the first score (
21). However, because of high consumption of other vegetable oils, including sunflower and corn oils for cooking in Iran, there is higher consumption of PUFA, especially n-6 than n-3 PUFA and MUFA. According to the second score, Sofi-MDS, only 4.8% of our participants were categorized as daily users of olive oil and those whose intake of olive oil was still low with a mean consumption of 18 g/day. Therefore, most of MUFA intake in our populations is from animal fat rather than olive oil. Olive oil, especially virgin olive oil, as a key component of the MedDiet has a fundamental effect on prevention of chronic diseases because of not only high content of MUFA, but also existence of its nonsaponifiable fraction (
10).
It has been well explained by Hoffman and Gerber that nutritional benefits or detriments that different populations receive from consuming each component of the MedDiet can vary and cannot be assessed simply by absolute levels of their consumptions (
10). Differences in availability of foods, preferences for eating of foods in each food groups, processing and preparation of foods that influence the composition of a food between the Mediterranean and non-Mediterranean countries can also affect the overall health benefits of the MedDiet in non-Mediterranean countries (
10). Most extensive epidemiological evidence supporting the beneficial effects of the MedDiet has been documented in the Mediterranean countries (
5,
6). In addition, according to the results of a meta-analysis, the effect of the MedDiet on metabolic syndrome and its components has been more prominent in Mediterranean countries (
5). Therefore, it seems that the protective effect of the MedDiet against chronic diseases could be attributed to the diet and other eating behaviors such as the time of eating, the order of courses in each meal and the meal patterns or other potentially confounders such as genetics and sun exposure (
10,
31).
In this study, we adjusted for BMI change over 3 years follow-up to control the confounding effect of change in BMI on the associations between MedDiet and MetS incidence. However, BMI change is likely to mediate the effect of MedDiet on MetS incidence. Some previous studies suggested an inverse association between MedDiet and the risk of MetS independent of BMI and BMI change over time (
8,
9). However, in this study we could not find any significant associations before (age and sex adjusted model) and after adjustment for BMI change.
Prospective design, using recently proposed index considering the absolute amount of each food components in addition to calculating the score according to the sex-specific median intake to ascertain conformity to the MedDiet, and using an FFQ specially developed and validated in our population are strengths of our study. However, our study had some limitations that may explain lack of association. First, scoring participants according to the MedDiet in an Iranian population might be inefficient, because the dietary patterns are very different from those living in Mediterranean countries. Another limitation was possible concerns about using an FFQ to measure food consumption, which may increase the possibility of overestimation in consumption of healthy food items and underestimation in consumption of unhealthy food items (
31).
In conclusion, we could not find any significant associations between adherence to the MedDiet, according to MDS and Sofi-MDS and MetS components and MetS incidence after 3 years of follow-up in an Iranian population. More studies in non-Mediterranean countries are needed to investigate the applicability of the MedDiet and its benefits to the prevention of metabolic abnormalities.