In this prospective study, some CT findings could predict the severity or 60-day mortality of patients with acute PE. According to our findings, an abnormal interventricular septum morphology, an abnormal RVD/LVD ratio, and the contrast medium reflux into the IVC significantly predicted the severity of PE. While the bolus time curve indicators were not significantly prognostic, the pulmonary trunk diameter significantly predicted the 60-day mortality (optimal cutoff value, 33.5 mm; sensitivity, 66.7%; and specificity, 65.4%).
An abnormal interventricular septum morphology (leftward shift) indicates increased pressure on the right side of the heart after severe obstruction of the pulmonary artery (
16). This finding was also a significant predictor of PE severity; however, it was not significantly associated with short-term mortality. Other studies have reported similar findings (
4,
14,
17-
19). The RV dilation has been suggested as a marker of right-sided heart dysfunction (
20). In the current study, the RVD/LVD ratio on transverse sections had a significant positive correlation with the Qanadli score in our patients. However, it was not a significant predictor of 60-day mortality. This finding is consistent with the results of previous studies, which showed that although the RVD/LVD ratio might serve as an indicator of PE severity (
21), it is not a reliable predictor of mortality in stable patients without shock (
22).
The contrast medium reflux into the IVC is another suggested indicator of increased RV pressure (
5). In line with a previous study (
4), the presence of backwash contrast in the IVC was only an indicator of PE severity, but not associated with early mortality in the present study. In two other studies, this indicator was not a reliable prognostic predictor (
23,
24). The only significant predictor of 60-day mortality was the increased pulmonary trunk diameter in our series. The size of the pulmonary trunk is another suggested index for evaluating RV function (
25). Contrary to our findings, Lyhne et al. (
23) did not find the pulmonary trunk diameter to be a robust predictor of PE outcomes. However, in another study by Aviram et al. (
5), a dilated pulmonary trunk was the strongest predictor of high-risk PE among all CT indices.
An acute increase in the pulmonary vascular resistance of patients with PE delays pulmonary artery enhancement; this delay leads to the extension of the test bolus curve (
6). In the present study, however, none of the variables related to the time-intensity curve were found to be of prognostic significance. In this regard, there are scarce and conflicting data in the literature. For example, in a study by Lin et al. (
15) on 71 patients with acute PE, both bolus curve upslope time > 6 seconds and 50% downslope time > 6 seconds predicted PE mortality. In line with our findings, John et al. (
26) concluded that variables which were related to the time-intensity curve were not accurate enough for identifying right ventricular dysfunction in 114 patients with PE. One possible explanation for this inconsistency is that the right ventricular dysfunction is more likely to occur in patients with central PE, in whom the main pulmonary vasculature becomes acutely obstructed (
15). Hemodynamic stability at the time of the study is another factor that may compromise the prognostic performance of CT parameters associated with right ventricular dysfunction (
5).
This study had some limitations, such as the use of non-ECG-gated CT scan, missing concomitant echocardiography for measuring the RV diameter, and excluding unstable patients and those with massive PE. In a recent study, however, Ammari et al. (
27) showed a high correlation between the RVD/LVD measurements by CT and echocardiography. The accuracy and reproducibility of other CT parameters were confirmed in another study (
28); therefore, they were not examined in the present study. Although to achieve the goals of this study, the number of patients was adequate, to perform a survival analysis, a larger sample size is required. By enrolling more patients, we can extend our methodology in future studies. Besides, further studies with a larger sample size may yield higher sensitivity/specificity for major prognostic parameters, such as the pulmonary artery diameter. Another important limitation of the present study is that the diameter of the pulmonary artery might not be a constant parameter and could be associated with variabilities that may be unrelated to PE, such as pulmonary diseases and pulmonary hypertension. We excluded patients with pulmonary hypertension and/or pulmonary disease in this study, while they should be examined in future studies, as well.
In conclusion, an abnormal interventricular septum morphology, CT-derived RVD/LVD ratio, and contrast medium reflux into the IVC were significant predictors of PE severity in hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE. The pulmonary trunk diameter was the only predictor of 60-day mortality. No prognostic role was found for variables related to the time-intensity curve.