1. Background
2. Objectives
3. Patients and Methods
3.1. General Data
3.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
3.3. Collection of General Data
3.4. CT imaging Methods
3.5. Observation Indices
3.6. Establishment and Validation of the Nomogram Prediction Model
3.7. Statistical Analysis
4. Results
4.1. General Data
| Groups | Good prognosis group (n = 57) | Poor prognosis group (n = 43) | OR (95% CI) | t/χ2 | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (y) | 0.777 (0.767 - 0.788) | 7.648 | 0.006 | ||
| ≤ 40 | 5 (8.77) | 13 (30.23) | - | - | |
| > 40 | 52 (91.23) | 30 (69.77) | - | - | |
| Male/female (n) | 45/12 | 36/7 | 0.200 (0.189 - 0.210) | 0.363 | 0.547 |
| Hepatitis B virus | 38 (66.67) | 34 (79.07) | 0.196 (0.186 - 0.207) | 1.870 | 0.171 |
| Hepatitis C virus | 1 (1.75) | 1 (2.33) | 0.194 (0.184 - 0.205) | 0.041 | 0.840 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 17 (29.82) | 18 (41.86) | 0.197 (0.187 - 0.207) | 1.561 | 0.212 |
| Child-Pugh class | 0.203 (0.192 - 0.213) | 1.310 | 0.252 | ||
| Class A | 53 (92.98) | 37 (86.05) | - | - | |
| Class B | 4 (7.02) | 6 (13.95) | - | - | |
| Serum AFP | 0.196 (0.186 - 0.206) | 4.665 | 0.031 | ||
| ≤ 9 ng/mL | 22 (38.60) | 8 (18.60) | - | - | |
| > 9 ng/mL | 35 (61.40) | 35 (81.40) | - | - | |
| Serum ALT | 0.197 (0.187 - 0.207) | 0.056 | 0.813 | ||
| ≤ 50 U/L | 41 (71.93) | 30 (69.77) | - | - | |
| > 50 U/L | 16 (28.07) | 13 (30.23) | - | - | |
| Serum GGT | 0.195 (0.185 - 0.205) | 7.229 | 0.007 | ||
| ≤ 60 U/L | 46 (80.70) | 24 (55.81) | - | - | |
| > 60 U/L | 11 (19.30) | 19 (44.19) | - | - | |
| Serum AST | 0.198 (0.188 - 0.209) | 4.864 | 0.027 | ||
| ≤ 40 U/L | 39 (68.42) | 20 (46.51) | - | - | |
| > 40 U/L | 18 (31.58) | 23 (53.49) | - | - |
Abbreviations: AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CI, confidence interval; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase; OR, odds ratio.
aValues are expressed as No. (%).
4.2. Texture Features of CT Images
| Groups | Good prognosis group (n = 57) | Poor prognosis group (n = 43) | OR (95%CI) | t/χ2 | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lesion size | 0.202 (0.191 - 0.212) | 7.841 | 0.005 | ||
| ≤ 5 cm | 36 (63.16) | 15 (34.88) | - | - | |
| > 5 cm | 21 (36.84) | 28 (65.12) | - | - | |
| Peritumoral enhancement | 0.204 (0.194 - 0.215) | 0.672 | 0.412 | ||
| Yes | 5 (8.77) | 6 (13.95) | - | - | |
| No | 52 (91.23) | 37 (86.05) | - | - | |
| Tumor margin | 0.192 (0.181 - 0.202) | 11.494 | 0.001 | ||
| Smooth | 34 (59.65) | 11 (25.58) | - | - | |
| Uneven | 23 (40.35) | 32 (74.42) | - | - | |
| Capsule | 0.196 (0.185 - 0.206) | 7.304 | 0.026 | ||
| None | 24 (42.11) | 22 (51.16) | - | - | |
| Incomplete | 15 (26.32) | 17 (39.53) | - | - | |
| Complete | 18 (31.58) | 4 (9.30) | - | - | |
| Tumor number | 0.198 (0.188 - 0.208) | 4.173 | 0.041 | ||
| Single | 48 (84.21) | 29 (67.44) | - | - | |
| Multiple | 9 (15.79) | 14 (32.56) | - | - | |
| Cancer enhancement rate of the arterial phase | 79.42 ± 18.73 | 74.41 ± 16.37 | 0.862 (0.423 - 1.001) | 1.397 | 0.166 |
| Percentage of the arterial phase CT value of cancer | 97.62 ± 21.48 | 104.05 ± 23.64 | 1.014 (0.954 - 1.432) | 1.419 | 0.159 |
| Percentage of the portal phase CT value of cancer | 122.36 ± 22.32 | 150.73 ± 24.35 | 0.825 (0.712 - 0.893) | 6.051 | 0.000 |
| Relative washout ratio in the portal phase of cancer | -29.32 ± 16.47 | -20.58 ± 15.83 | 0.793 (0.862 - 0.975) | 2.671 | 0.009 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
aValues are expressed as No. (%) or (%, x̄ ± s).
Representative CT images of patients in the good prognosis (A and B) and poor prognosis (C and D) groups. A & C, Before treatment; B & D, After treatment. The lesions in the good prognosis group have clear borders, low density, and uniformity. In the poor prognosis group, there are relatively high-density lesions with blurred boundaries.
4.3. Risk Factors for Poor Prognosis of SABR According to the Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis
Risk factors for poor prognosis in patients after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) according to the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Abbreviations: AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CI, confidence interval; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase; OR, odds ratio.
4.4. Analysis of the Clinical Feature Model, CT Image Texture Feature Model, and Joint Model for Poor Prognosis in Patients Following SABR
| Constants and variables | Model I | Model II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | P | β | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | P | |
| Constant | -2.642 | 0.001 | -1.682 | 0.031 | ||
| Age ≤ 40 years | 1.042 | 2.425 (1.739 ~ 3.111) | 0.042 | 0.764 | 1.834 (1.129 ~ 2.539) | 0.032 |
| AFP > 9 ng/mL | 0.873 | 3.148 (2.426 ~ 3.870) | 0.016 | 0.806 | 2.749 (2.028 ~ 3.470) | 0.010 |
| GGT > 60 U/L | 0.902 | 2.745 (2.035 ~ 3.455) | 0.028 | 0.728 | 2.238 (1.464 ~ 3.012) | 0.024 |
| AST > 40 U/L | 0.824 | 2.874 (2.062 ~ 3.686) | 0.024 | 0.742 | 2.702 (1.986 ~ 3.418) | 0.012 |
| Lesion size > 5 cm | - | - | - | 1.231 | 2.893 (2.135 ~ 3.651) | 0.007 |
| Uneven tumor margin | - | - | - | 0.865 | 3.016 (2.245 ~ 3.787) | 0.004 |
| No capsule or incomplete capsule | - | - | - | 0.932 | 3.418 (2.642 ~ 4.194) | < 0.001 |
| Multiple tumors | - | - | - | 1.015 | 3.216 (2.732 ~ 3.700) | 0.001 |
| Percentage of the portal phase CT value of cancer > 135% | - | - | - | 1.142 | 2.645 (1.962 ~ 3.328) | 0.015 |
| Relative washout ratio in the portal phase of cancer > -24% | - | - | - | 0.983 | 2.426 (1.843 ~ 3.081) | 0.021 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; SABR, stereotactic ablative radiotherapy; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase.




