HCC is primarily associated with chronic HBV infection and is recognized as the third most common cause of cancer-related death worldwide (
9). In China, HCC accounts for 50% of all global cancer cases. It also has the fourth highest morbidity rate among various cancers, and its mortality rate is fairly high (
10). HCC should be treated as early as possible after diagnosis. Clinically, treatment of this cancer tends to be individualized, diversified, and integrated with the development of medical technologies, which can remarkably improve the treatment efficacy, whereas risks, such as recurrence, metastasis, infiltration, and poor prognosis after treatment, still exist (
11).
To reduce the mortality rate of patients, it is crucial to seek pretreatment diagnostic methods and indices and enhance the prognostic value for HCC. Generally, CT has a high value in identifying tumors; however, it is not helpful in detecting active residual lesions (
12). The texture feature analysis of tumor CT images includes intensity, texture, shape, and wavelet transform. A pretreatment analysis can provide further information for assessing the prognosis of HCC patients (
13). In this regard, a study revealed that the texture feature analysis of CT images is of a high differential diagnostic value for lung diseases (
14); nevertheless, its prognostic value for HCC patients after treatment has been rarely investigated. Therefore, in the present study, the clinical and texture features of CT images were compared in patients with different prognoses. Also, the risk factors for poor prognosis were analyzed in HCC patients after SABR, and the value of CT texture feature analysis in predicting the poor prognosis of patients was explored to provide clinical evidence for selecting individualized treatment protocols and improving the prognosis of HCC patients in the clinical setting.
Generally, various factors affect the poor prognosis of HCC patients after treatment, and there are many reports available in the literature; however, no thorough explanation has been approved yet. It was reported that age ≤ 40 years is a risk factor for the early recurrence of liver cancer following partial hepatectomy (
15). In this study, age ≤ 40 years was a risk factor for the poor prognosis of HCC patients after SABR. A possible reason for this finding is that patients aged ≤ 40 years are more vulnerable to HBV infection, and chronic HBV infection is closely associated with the occurrence of HCC (
16); these patients have a faster tumor growth, a higher TNM stage, and a higher risk of portal vein tumor thrombus and metastasis.
Regarding gastric cancer, colon cancer, and breast cancer, younger patients usually have a poorer prognosis (
15). AFP, a specific glycoprotein synthesized by the liver in the fetal period, has an extremely low content in the serum of normal adults. Chen et al. (
17) found that the elevation of serum AFP level before surgery was associated with the poor prognosis of HCC patients following transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, which is highly valuable for assessing the patients' prognosis. In this study, a preoperative serum AFP level > 9 ng/mL was a risk factor for the poor prognosis of patients, probably because
AFP gene is reactivated and highly expressed in the serum after the onset of HCC in adults, and the consistently increasing AFP level can stimulate HCC growth, leading to a poor prognosis.
As a frequently used sensitive indicator for the clinical diagnosis of hepatobiliary disease, GGT participates in nucleic acid metabolism, biotransformation, and tumorigenesis and functions as a key enzyme in glutathione catalysis. According to a study by Yang et al. (
18), a high serum level of GGT is an independent risk factor for the postoperative recurrence of HBV-related HCC. In the present study, it was found that a serum GGT level > 60 U/L before surgery was a risk factor for the poor prognosis of patients. This finding may be related to the fact that proliferation of HCC cells increases the serum level of GGT, and a high level of GGT promotes the malignant progression of HCC. Meanwhile, GGT is involved in oxidative stress, jointly causing poor prognosis in HCC patients after SABR.
AST is a kind of enzyme, representing liver injury and liver disease progression in the clinical setting. Gogia et al. (
19) found that an increased serum AST level before surgery was a risk factor for liver failure in liver cancer patients following hepatectomy. Based on the results of this study, a preoperative serum AST level > 40 U/L was a risk factor for the poor prognosis of HCC patients after SABR. To explain this finding, it should be noted that an increased serum AST level increases the cell membrane permeability, which in turn aggravates liver cell injury. Meanwhile, a high AST level is correlated with HBV infection, thereby affecting the patients’ prognosis.
CT, which is an important imaging method for the preoperative assessment of HCC patients, mainly relies on empirical judgment with great subjectivity and limitations. The texture feature analysis of CT images aims to provide more accurate information on pathological changes of tumors through quantitative analysis of CT images, which can help provide individualized, comprehensive, and suitable treatments for HCC patients and improve their prognosis (
20). Zang et al. (
21) found that tumor number ≥ 2, tumor size > 5 cm, and lack of tumor capsule or incomplete capsule were risk factors for the prognosis of HCC patients after hepatectomy, which is consistent with the findings of the present study. Tumor multifocality suggests the multifocal growth or intrahepatic metastasis of the tumor. The risk of microvascular invasion and early recurrence increases as the tumor enlarges, and the lack of fibrous capsule or incomplete fibrous capsule of the tumor does not allow tumor cells to invade the adjacent liver parenchyma, thereby resulting in a poor prognosis.
The study conducted by Zheng et al. (
22) revealed that HCC patients with early recurrence after radical resection had a markedly higher proportion of uneven tumor margins, a higher percentage of portal phase CT value of cancer, and a higher relative washout ratio in the portal phase of cancer compared to those without early recurrence. According to the results of this study, uneven tumor margins, portal phase CT value > 135%, and relative washout ratio > -24% in the portal phase of cancer were the risk factors for a poor prognosis in patients.
The gross morphology of a tumor can be determined based on the tumor margin (smooth or not); an unsmooth tumor margin signifies the invasive growth of the tumor. When the percentage of portal phase CT value of cancer increases, persistent enhancement of the portal vein suggests that both hepatic artery and portal vein supply blood to the liver tumor. In this study, the nomogram prediction model was developed based on the multivariate analysis. It was found that the model had adequate accuracy and validity for assessing the poor prognosis of HCC patients following SABR.
In conclusion, age ≤ 40 years, serum AFP level > 9 ng/mL, GGT level > 60 U/L, AST level > 40 U/L, lesion size > 5 cm, uneven tumor margins, no tumor capsule or incomplete capsule, multiple tumors, portal phase CT value of cancer > 135%, and relative washout ratio > -24% in the portal phase of cancer were the risk factors for poor prognosis in HCC patients following SABR. The examination of the texture features of CT images before SABR has a certain prognostic value for HCC patients and can help select an appropriate treatment protocol. However, this study had some limitations. Some patients may undergo chemotherapy regimens concurrently, affecting their tumor response to SABR. We can exclude the possibility of bias by performing multicenter studies with a larger sample size. Besides, the exact definition of therapeutic response in multifocal HCC is not provided. Finally, pathological grading is not discussed.