Neuroblastoma is a cancer that is derived from primordial neural crest cells, which are the precursors of the sympathetic nervous system and the adrenal medulla (
7). Neuroblastoma is the most common extra - cranial solid childhood malignancy and is the third most common childhood tumor after leukemia and brain malignancy. It accounts for approximately 15% of childhood cancer deaths (
8). The common sites of origin of neuroblastoma are the adrenal medulla (35% of cases), the extra - adrenal retroperitoneum (30% - 35%), and the posterior mediastinum (20%). Less common sites include the neck and the pelvis (
9). The median age at diagnosis is 22 months. More than ninety percent of the patients are children aged less than 5 years, and the peak incidence occurs at 2 - 3 years of age. In addition, boys are more often affected than girls (
10,
11). At least half of affected patients present with disseminated disease at the time of diagnosis (
7). Among the patients in our study, the general characteristics of the patients were all compatible with those published in the literature.
In modern oncology, an accurate measurement of tumor volume in vivo has become an important clinical tool in the initial evaluation of tumors, radiotherapy planning and the assessment of patient response to therapy (
12). Moreover, tumor volume had been regarded as a pretreatment prognostic factor in some other cancers (
13-
15). The urine VMA level is known to be elevated in patients with neuroblastoma due to defective catecholamine synthesis and metabolism. Thus, the VMA level has been considered as an evaluator and response indicator in neuroblastoma (
5,
6,
16,
17). However, no previous studies have focused on the relationship between the 24 - hour urine VMA level and initial primary tumor volume in patients with neuroblastoma. In this study, we found a moderate positive correlation between the 24 - hour urine VMA level and the CT
PTV in all groups of patients. This result was in agreement with our expectations. According to the subgroup analysis, the correlation coefficient was higher in the patient group with urine VMA levels > 9.8 mg than in patients with urine VMA levels ≤ 9.8 mg. This may have occurred because although the urine VMA levels were elevated in approximately 90 - 95% of neuroblastoma cases (
18), approximately 5 - 10% patients presented with normal urine VMA levels regardless of the primary tumor sizes. Therefore, in the patient group with lower urine VMA levels, the correlation of urine VMA with the CT
PTV is relatively weaker.
Age is a continuous variable in terms of prognosis, and it has been demonstrated that patients aged younger than 1.5 years are more likely to have a favorable outcome (
11). It has been customary for clinical purposes to use 1.5 years of age as a cut - off point (
19). In our study, although the median CT
PTV in patients who were > 1.5 years of age was obviously larger than that of patients who were ≤ 1.5 years old, this difference was not statistically significant. The reasons for this lack of statistical significance may be the small case number and the extreme values in our study. However, we still perceived this tendency. After thorough analysis of the database, we chose a CT
PTV of 35 cm
3 as the cut - off point. In the subgroup analysis, the median age of the patients with an initial CT
PTV ≥ 35 cm
3 was significantly higher than that of patients with an initial CT
PTV < 35 cm
3. The average age of patients with CT
PTV < 35 cm
3 was 1.47 years, which was close to 1.5 years. This finding may imply that a smaller initial CT
PTV (< 35 cm
3) may be associated with a favorable outcome.
It is recognized that stage 4 disease at diagnosis is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with neuroblastoma. According to the subgroup analysis, the median CTPTV was statistically significantly larger in patients with stage 4 disease than in patients with nonstage 4 disease. This result was also in agreement with our expectations. The patients with advanced stage disease at diagnosis usually had a higher tumor burden. When 35 cm3 was used as the cut - off point for the CTPTV, we found that all fourteen patients with CTPTV ≥ 35 cm3 were diagnosed with stage 4. The positive predictive value was very high (100%), which suggests that a larger initial CTPTV (≥ 35 cm3) might be associated with an advanced tumor stage and that a larger initial CTPTV may indicate a poor clinical prognosis. However, no strong and direct evidence confirmed the relationship of initial primary tumor volume and clinical prognosis. A further study that focuses on this issue is therefore warranted.
Our study had several limitations. First, our study was retrospective, as a number of parameters could not be controlled for in a prospective study. Second, the case number was small, and statistical significance was difficult to achieve in this limited number of patients. Third, we could not evaluate the tumor volume within the bone marrow on CT scan, and we also did not calculate the tumor volume of the distal metastases. Thus, the actual tumor burden was likely underestimated. Finally, owing to lack of radiation, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has a competitive advantage over CT. However, MRI is not yet been used routinely in our children hospital in virtue of time consuming and risk of sedation. CT - assisted tumor volume measurement may be replaced by MRI shortly afterwards.
In conclusion, overall, a moderate positive quantitative correlation was observed between the initial CTPTV and 24 - hour urine VMA level in patients with neuroblastoma. The median CTPTVs were significantly larger in patients with urine VMA > 9.8 mg and in patients who were diagnosed with stage 4. The most effective variable for CTPTV was urine VMA level. When the urine VMA level increase every 1 mg/24 hours, the CTPTV will increase 4.85 cm3. The initial CTPTV ≥ 35 cm3 may be used as a cut - off point for the indication of advanced tumor stage. In the future, a larger trial that measures clinical outcomes is warranted to establish the association between the initial CTPTV and the prognosis of patients with neuroblastoma.