There have been several reports regarding the prevalence of CCHF in Iran (
1-
4). However, it is necessary to calculate the disease incidence and trends in provinces with high rates of infection. This information provides a better idea and awareness regarding this disease’s prevalence, and will better illustrate the efficiency of the organizations involved in disease prevention and surveillance programs. Khuzestan province has been ranked as one of the most heavily-infected provinces (
4) with seven cases in 2003, of which five led to death. Following this outbreak, the disease demonstrated a downward trend from 2004 until 2008, as there were no reported cases in 2007 and 2008. However, an upward trend was noted again in 2009 and 2010, with seven probable cases reported in 2010; four cases were serologically confirmed and two of them eventually died. The disease followed the same downward trend in Iran from 2000 to 2009 (
4), but it followed an upward trend in Turkey during 2002 - 2007 (150 cases in 2002 - 2003 compared to 717 in 2007). In Iran, the highest disease prevalence occurred in 2002 and 2008, with 111 and 120 confirmed cases, respectively; of these, 14 and 19 patients died (
3). There were no reported cases in Khuzestan province in 2008.
In this epidemiological survey of Khuzestan province, 42 probable CCHF cases were reported from 1999 to 2015, of which 64.3% were from urban areas and 35.7% were from rural areas. The male:female ratio was 1.3:1.0 and the case-fatality ratio was calculated to be 28.6% (12/42) during this time period. In a similar epidemiological survey of CCHF in Turkey during 2002 - 2007, 1,820 CCHF cases were reported and the fatality ratio was calculated to be 5% (92/1820), of which 69.4% of patients were from rural areas and the male:female ratio was 1.13:1.00 (
8). In Iran, 1,638 probable CCHF cases were collected from different provinces from June 2000 until December 2009, of which 635 were confirmed and 89 died (
4). Therefore, the fatality ratio was calculated to be 5.4% in Iran during this time period. This ratio has a wide range, 2% - 80%, in different countries (
11).
The case-fatality ratio was 28.6% among 38 persons in Mauritania infected with CCHF virus from February to August 2003. The first patient was a young woman who became ill shortly after butchering a goat; she transmitted the infection to 15 hospital health workers and four members of her family (
12). In an assessment of patients with CCHF symptoms referred to the Amir-Almoemenin hospital of Zabol county, Sistan- Baluchestan province, southeast Iran, during 2003 - 2005, a total of 65 patients were enrolled. Of them, 52 (80%) were male and 13 (20%) were female. Five patients died (mortality rate 8%). The signs and symptoms included fever (98.4%), headache (80%), myalgia (72.3%), nausea and vomiting (60%), abdominal pain (49.2%), skin rash (13.8%), and splenomegaly (4%). Laboratory findings included thrombocytopenia (100%), leukopenia (70.7%), and anemia (20%) (
13).
During the first half of 2009 in Khorasan Razavi province, 13 patients suffered from CCHF, which confirmed the upward trend of the disease compared to the same time in previous years. Four patients were health workers, four were butchers, and the others were farmers (
10). In another epidemiological survey from Birjand county, Khorasan province, Iran, a total of 32 probable CCHF patients were hospitalized during 2011 and 2012. Of these, 10 were serologically confirmed. The highest-risk age group was 45 - 50 years. Forty percent of the patients were men and 60% were women. In terms of occupation, 48% of the patients had direct contact with livestock and 70% were from rural areas. In 85% of the cases, the patients had experienced direct contact with livestock and fresh meat. Fever and bleeding were the most common clinical symptoms seen in all of the patients (
14).
Eighty-two probable cases were reported in an epidemiological study of CCHF in Fars province during 1999 - 2011, leading to the deaths of 18 patients. Of all patients, 31 were detected as confirmed cases, with nine deaths. Men had the most cases, and the highest-risk occupational groups were farmers, butchers, and slaughterhouse workers. The most cases were reported in summer and spring, which is the ticks’ growing season (
15). Two peaks of CCHF were observed in Khuzestan province during 1999 - 2015 (in 2003 and 2010), confirming the probability of re-emergence of the disease. The increased numbers of disease cases in Khuzestan in 2010 were attributed to smuggling of cattle and bufflehead, followed by drought in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Sistan- Baluchestan. In the last few decades, CCHF has emerged or re-emerged in various countries due to climate and anthropogenic factors, such as land-use changes, agricultural practices, and movement of livestock, which may influence host-tick-virus dynamics (
16). Climate changes, unhealthy and illegal slaughter, and smuggling of livestock could also lead to the emergence or re-emergence of the disease, as occurred in many provinces of Iran, including Khuzestan, in 2010.
Finally, considering that the highest-risk occupational groups for CCHF infections are farmers and housewives, and the riskiest age group is 10 - 39 years, these individuals should be instructed and trained with regard to transmission modes, prevention, symptoms, and treatment of CCHF. Particular inspections of veterinary organizations with regard to livestock slaughter and trade, treatment of tick-infested livestock, and training of high-risk groups can help reduce the prevalence of CCHF in Iran.