Recently, kidney disease has drawn attention as a cardiac risk factor with the importance similar to diabetes and history of prior cardiac disease (
2). However, estimation of cardiac risk in asymptomatic predialysis CKD population remains challenging due to the high prevalence of traditional cardiac risk factors. If we could detect significant cardiac disease at an early stage, it would facilitate more aggressive and focused treatment of those at increased risk. Since the atherosclerotic changes in the carotid artery mirror general atherosclerosis (
21), ultrasound measurements of the intima media thickness (IMT) in the carotid arteries were used as an indicator of coronary atherosclerosis (
21). In fact, a close relationship exists between carotid artery wall morphology and CVD (
21). B mode Ultrasound measurements of the intima media thickness (IMT) in the carotid arteries predicts strongly for cardiovascular events in the general population and dialysis patients (
22). However, it is unclear whether carotid IMT is useful for the prediction of cardiovascular events in predialysis patients with CKD.
The present study enlightens the association of elevated cardiovascular biomarkers with the documented pathological states (increased carotid intima media thickness) in asymptomatic predialysis CKD patients. Among cardiovascular biomarkers, plasma NT-proBNP had maximum correlation (Spearman Rho correlation coefficient; r = 0.575 and P < 0.0001) with the carotid intima media thickness followed by serum cTnT (Spearman Rho correlation coefficient; r = 0.419 and P < 0.0001), spot urine albumin creatinine ratio (Spearman Rho correlation coefficient; r = 0.322 and P < 0.0001), and serum hs-CRP (Spearman Rho correlation coefficient; r = 0.246 and P = 0.007).
Previously, it was thought that role of plasma NT-proBNP has been restricted to diagnose heart failure in patients with symptoms of dyspnea (
23). However, there is evidence that NT-proBNP level increases in response to isolated ischemia and myocardial injury even in the absence of heart failure (
24). In our study, NT-proBNP levels were elevated in most patients with known coronary artery disease, which was consistent with previous work of DeFilippi et al. (
25). NT-proBNP levels appear to increase to a greater degree in patients with CKD with underlying coronary artery disease (
25). Patients with lower eGFR had high plasma NT-proBNP levels, which were consistent with a study done by Desai et al. (
26).
Levels of cardiac troponin are frequently elevated in the absence of acute coronary syndrome among patients with varying degrees of kidney disease (
27). For predialysis CKD patients, however, data are limited and conflicting. In our study, the prevalence of increased serum cTnT in predialysis CKD patients were 22.5%, 37.5%, and 60% in CKD stage 3, stage 4, and stage 5, respectively, which was consistent with the studied done by Abbas et al. and Landry et al. on CRIB (
27,
28). Serum cTnT was more likely to be increased in patients with diabetes (33 of 48), which was consistent with the study done by Abbas et al. (
27). Serum cTnT was more likely to be increased in patients with history of coronary artery disease (38 of 47). Serum cTnT correlated positively and significantly with the carotid intima media thickness (r = 0.419 and P value = 0.0001), which was consistent with the study done by Caliskan et al. (
29).
There are multiple associations between CRP levels and CVD outcomes in patients with CKD. It is associated with increased mortality across the full spectrum of CKD (
30). Also, an hs-CRP concentration > 3 mg/L is a strong risk factor for a coronary event (
10). Serum hs-CRP did not correlate with eGFR in our study, which was consistent with the study of Christopher et al. (
25). Serum hs-CRP was correlated positively and significantly with CIMT (r = 0.246 and P value = 0.007), which was consistent with the study of Szeto et al. (
31). Serum hs-CRP correlated positively and significantly with spot urine albumin creatinine ratio (r = 0.192 and P value = 0.035).
In general, albumin to creatinine ratio has been shown to have slightly better diagnostic accuracy than urine albumin concentration alone for detection of albuminuria in many populations (
32). In addition to predicting CKD progression, proteinuria is a well-established risk marker for cardiovascular disease (
33). In our study, spot urine albumin creatinine ratio was > 30 mg/g of creatinine in most predialysis CKD patients, which was consistent with the study done by Landry et al. (
28). Spot urine albumin creatinine ratio was correlated positively and significantly with the carotid intima media thickness (r = 0.332 and P = 0.0001). Among cardiovascular biomarkers, plasma NT-proBNP had maximum strength of positive correlation (Spearman Rho correlation coefficient; r = 0.610) with spot urine ACR (P = 0.0001). Spot urine albumin creatinine ratio was correlated positively and significantly with serum cTnT (r = 0.484 and P value = 0.0001), and with plasma NT-proBNP (r = 0.610 and P = 0.0001), which was consistent with the study done by Desai et al. (
26). Out of 120 predialysis CKD patients, 41 patients (34.16%) had spot urine albumin creatinine ratio greater than 1 g/g of creatinine. Out of 41 patients with urine ACR greater than 1g/g of creatinine, 28 patients (68%) had increased serum cTnT and 40 patients (97.6%) had increased plasma NT-proBNP level. Spot urine albumin creatinine ratio was correlated negatively and significantly with the hemoglobin (r = -0.507 and P value = .0001) and with eGFR (r = -0.641 and P = 0.0001), which was consistent with the study done by Desai et al. (
26).
Mean carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) was 0.78 ± 0.15 mm in our predialysis CKD patients, which was consistent with the study done by Szeto et al. In predialysis Chinese CKD patients, CIMT was 0.80 ± 0.19 mm (
31). Modi et al. showed that CIMT higher than 0.75 mm was a strong predictor of CAD in Indian patients with end stage renal disease and can be used as a noninvasive screening test for pretransplant cardiac evaluation with high sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value (
20). Prevalence of CIMT (> 0.75 mm) was 50% (60/120) in our predialysis CKD patients. Prevalence of increased CIMT was 47.5%, 50%, and 52.5% in CKD stage 3, stage 4 and stage 5, respectively. Prevalence of increased CIMT was not statistically significant among three CKD stages. Carotid intima media thickness did not correlate significantly with eGFR, which was consistent with Szeto et al. study in predialysis Chinese CKD patients (
31). Out of 48 patients who were diabetic, 33 patients (68.8%) had increased CIMT (> 0.75 mm), which was statistically significant (P ≤ 0.0001) and consistent with the study done by Modi et al. (
20). The Szeto et al. study in predialysis Chinese CKD patients also showed that carotid IMT was significantly higher in patients with diabetes (
31). Out of 47 patients with the history of coronary artery disease, 37 patients (78.7%) had increased CIMT, which was statistically significant (P ≤ 0.0001), and was consistent with the study done by Modi et al. in end stage renal disease Indian patients (
20). Carotid intima media thickness correlated negatively and significantly with the hemoglobin concentration (P = 0.0001). Carotid intima media thickness correlated positively and significantly with the age, duration of CKD, and systolic blood pressure. In our study, carotid intima media thickness did not correlate significantly with sex, history of smoking, lipid profile, serum albumin, serum calcium, serum alkaline phosphatase, serum PO4, serum i-PTH, and body surface area. Previous studies did not find a relation between carotid IMT and blood pressure or serum calcium-phosphate product in long-term hemodialysis patients (
17,
34). The absolute values of CIMT in our patients were smaller than those reported by Kato et al., Benedetto et al. and Nishizawa et al. (
17,
18,
35). It is important to note that these studies examined patients with long-term dialysis, whereas our study had enrolled only predialysis CKD patients. Taken together, our results indicate that increase in CIMT occurs early in the course of CKD (stage 3 in our study). Although it is commonly believed that atherosclerosis is less severe in Asian patients, previous studies in Japanese patients did not show a lower IMT compared to white population (
15,
18,
34,
35). In this study, carotid intima media thickness also correlates with diabetic status, duration of CKD, and history of coronary artery disease, which are not unexpected findings.
Our present work showed that declining kidney function causes elevation of cardiovascular biomarkers early (CKD stage 3 in our study) and there is a significant association of nontraditional cardiovascular biomarkers with the carotid intima media thickness. These biomarkers might be used to estimate cardiovascular risk in a predialysis CKD population with expected high cardiac morbidity and mortality.
Patients at CKD stages 1 and 2 were not included in the study. Relatively a small number of predialysis CKD patients were enrolled in the study because of the budget limitations and study design. Role of other novel cardiovascular biomarkers like FGF-23 (Fibroblast growth factor-23) and risk factors of premature atherosclerosis, such as serum homocysteine and lipoprotein were not studied because of budget limitations too. Serial monitoring of novel cardiovascular biomarkers with long follow up will better stratify and predict the cardiovascular risk in predialysis CKD patients. Most patients were under regular treatment on diuretics, antihypertensive drugs, statins, vitamin D, phosphate binders, and antiproteinuric drugs. Thus, medication might have confounded some results. Larger prospective multicenter trials should be conducted in predialysis patients to confirm the results of the present study.