In the current study, the results of unadjusted regression analysis showed a significant difference in terms of the CRP levels on the 3rd day between the two groups of patients who died or survived and in patients with and without complications (P = 0.016 and P = 0.005, respectively).
There were significant differences between the two groups of patients with CRP levels on 3rd day with a cutoff point of 25 in terms of mortality and disease severity (P = 0.004 and P = 0.021, respectively).
Several studies investigated the role of CRP in the prognosis of CAP and almost all reported similar results. In a study by Hoenthal U in Finland, CRP level was assessed in CAP, with a particular focus on the severity of illness (the pneumonia severity index). Results showed a positive correlation between high levels of CRP and the severity of the disease. A higher CRP levels on admission was associated with ICU stay. A significant difference was seen on the 1st day CRP level of patients in term of tobacco and alcohol consumption and history of antibiotic use (
28).
In the current study, elevated level of CRP on admission was associated with higher complications as well as disease outcomes and clinical condition, but 1st and 3rd days CRP levels were not associated with smoking.
In a study by Menendez et al. (
20), the role of biomarkers was investigated in the prognosis of death in patients with CAP. The 30-day mortality was 7.9% and 31 patients died during hospitalization. In their study, the patients who died were older, had more neurological disorders, and higher initial severity. The 1st day CPR level in the patients who died was higher than that of the survived ones. In the current study, 1st day CPR level had no significant relationship with the age and mortality rate, but higher levels of CRP on admission and presence of comorbidities increased mortality rate and ICU stay. Also, the results of regression analysis based on the CURB-65 criteria showed a significant difference in the 3rd day CRP levels with a cutoff point of 25, although the difference in the 1st day CRP level was not significant.
In another study in Spain, the relationship of systemic inflammatory response of cytokines, CRP, and PCT was investigated with treatment failure. Treatment failure occurred in 84 patients (18%) and 38 patients experienced early treatment failure. The mean interleukin-6, PCT, and CRP levels on the 1st and 3rd days and the mean IL-8 levels on the 1st day of admission were significantly higher in patients with treatment failure. Results of logistic regression showed that the CPR levels cutoff point of 21.9 mg/dL on admission was independently effective in treatment failure (odds ratio (OR): 2.6). In the study, elevated levels of CRP on admission independently predicted early and late treatment failure (
29). In the current study, higher 3rd day CRP level was associated with incidence of complications. Also, the results of regression analysis showed that 3rd day CRP level at the cutoff point of 25 had a significant relationship with the incidence of complications and the exacerbation of conditions in the future days, and can be a prognostic factor, especially for death.
In a prospective cohort study, different patterns of CRP ratio in response to antibiotic therapy were evaluated in patients with severe CAP who admitted to ICU. CRP ratio was calculated on the basis of the CRP level measured on admission. In patients who survived, CRP level decreased from the 1st day to the 7th day (P = 0.01) (
26). In the present study, the elevated CRP level on the 1st day and its high level until the 3rd day were associated with increased incidence of complications and outcomes.
In the study by Chalmers, the role of CRP level on admission and 4 days after admission was investigated in the prognosis of CAP severity. Overall, 20.7% of the patients were discharged within the first 24 hours of admission of which 13.5% were in need of mechanical ventilation and/or inotropic support. Complicated pneumonia was observed in 7.3% of the patients and 30-day mortality rate was 9.6%. CRP < 100 mg/L was independently associated with reduced risk of 30-day mortality (OR = 0.18; P = 0.03). In addition, it was associated with a reduction in the need for mechanical ventilation or inotropic support (OR = 0.21; P = 0.002). CRP < 100 mg/L was associated with reduced risk of pneumonia complications (OR = 0.05; P = 0.003). Their study also showed that if CRP level did not reduce within 1st four days of admission by 50% or more, it was independently associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality (OR = 24.5; P = 0.0001) (
21). In the current study, mortality rate was lower than that of the latter study; however, the incidence of complications was higher. Considering a cutoff point of 25 mg/dL for CRP, no significant changes was observed in mortality rate (P = 0.091); however, the incidence of complications and patient outcomes were significantly different (P = 0.005 and P = 0.017, respectively).
The study by Gareth Walters HSL investigated the role of CRP level on admission in the prognosis of bacterial pneumonia complications. According to the findings of his study, the frequency of lung abscess, pulmonary effusion, empyema, admission to ICU, and 30-day mortality were 0%, 9.6%, 5.2%, 7.6%, and 12.2%, respectively. CRP ≥ 300 mg/L on admission was associated with increased risk of admission to ICU (P = 0.006; OR = 6.5), but it did not increase the risk of effusion, empyema, or death. CRP ≥ 100 mg/L on admission was not associated with a higher incidence of complications. Failure to reduce CRP level by 50% within four days or more after admission increased the mean length of hospital stay from 10 to 13 days, increased the risk of effusion (P = 0.03; OR = 5.83), and increased the OR of death (P = 0.02; OR = 4.82) (
38). In the current study, the incidence of complication was 20.5%, ICU admission 19.2%, need for mechanical ventilation 12.3%, pulmonary edema 4.1%, and severe sepsis 2.7%. The incidence of complications was associated with the CRP level on the 3rd day of admission (P = 0.005). Elevated CRP level on admission was associated with increased risk of ICU stay and elevated CRP level on the 1st and 3rd days were associated with prolonged hospital stay (P = 0.028 and P = 0.015, respectively).
The study by Makarevich was conducted on patients with severe CAP and CURB-65 risk classes III to V who were admitted to the ICU. Severity of CAP was associated with elevated CRP level (P < 0.05). As observed, the patients who died had a higher level of CRP in comparison with the survived ones (241 mg/mL vs. 11 mg/mL; P < 0.05) (
39). In the current study, there was no correlation between elevated CRP level on admission and death (P = 0.072) that might be due to differences in sample size and study method. However, considering a cutoff point of 25, the mean CRP levels were significantly different between patients with CURB-65 score ≤ 2 and > 2 and; thus, it can have a prognostic value for mortality and morbidity (P = 0.004).
The results of the current study showed no significant changes in CRP level of patients who developed complications or death. In addition, the controversy between the results can be attributed to applied research methods and sample size differences.
5.1. Limitations of the Study
Small sample size was one of the important limitations of the current study.
5.2. Recommendations
It is recommended to perform further studies with larger sample sizes using both qualitative and quantitative methods to measure CRP and cytokines levels, especially CRP, during the hospital stay (up to 30 days).
5.3. Conclusions
The results of the current study showed that elevated CRP level on the 3rd day of admission could be a sign of increased risk of complications, severity of the disease, and death. It can be used as a prognostic factor for CAP complications and outcomes.