In the present study, we assessed the applicability of common non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis in predicting hepatic fibrotic stages in children with chronic hepatitis of different etiologies. APRI, AAR, and FIB-4 showed some extent of predictive capacity for the diagnosis of fibrosis in these patients. APRI and AAR showed the highest AUC values for detecting minimal and advanced fibrosis, respectively. However, individual analysis showed that the FIB-4 index might be a more appropriate parameter for detecting advanced fibrosis. Identifying reliable non-invasive markers for liver fibrosis is of critical importance in the management of various hepatic disorders. Non-invasive tests of livers fibrosis have been noted as appropriate alternatives for liver biopsy procedure (
4,
11-
13).
The validity of APRI has been established in predicting liver fibrosis of various etiologies (
14,
15). In our study, APRI rendered AUCs 0.541, 0.355, and 0.540 for detecting minimal fibrosis (Stages 0, 1, and 2), advanced fibrosis (Stage 3), and cirrhosis (Stage 4), respectively. APRI also correlated with fibrosis stage (r = 0.1). In a study on patients with viral and autoimmune hepatitis, APRI correlated (r = 0.24) with fibrosis, which was in line with our results (
16). In another report, however, APRI has not been associated with liver fibrosis in patients with immune hepatitis (
17). In other studies, APRI has provided an AUC = 0.78 for detecting high-grade fibrosis (
9).
We noticed that optimum thresholds of APRI for the diagnosis of fibrotic stages 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 0.66, 1.2, 1.37, 0.92, and 0.81, respectively. Overall, the values for detecting minimal and advanced fibrosis were 1.13 and 0.72, respectively. The highest sensitivity (70%) of APRI was reached the cut-off = 0.81 for detecting cirrhosis (stage 4). This is while the highest specificities that were related to cut-off values 0.66 (68%) and 1.37 (68%) for detecting fibrosis stages 0 and 2, respectively. The desirable cut-off values of APRI for detecting fibrotic transformation in the liver could be highly variable considering the underlying etiologies of the liver fibrosis (
8,
18). Although the optimum value of 0.93 has been noted in patients with hepatocellular, cholestatic liver disease, this value has been 2.35 in patients with hepatic biliary disease (
19). In children with biliary atresia, optimal cut-off values for APRI were obtained at 1.01 and 1.41 for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively (
20). Generally, a cut-off value of 0.7 for APRI has been suggested as an indicator for predicting significant liver fibrosis (
21). On the other hand, using cut-off values of ≤ 0.5 or ≤ 0.3 for ARPI may reliably rule out any fibrotic changes (
8,
22). On the other hand, a value of ≥ 1.5 has been proposed as a strong indicator of severe fibrosis (
8). In general, sensitivity and specificity of APRI are comparable to some high-resolution methods such as MR elastography and transient elastography-Fibro-Scan (
7,
22-
26).
Here, FIB-4 showed the highest AUC (0.592) for detecting cirrhosis. In correlation analysis, FIB-4 also correlated with fibrosis stage (r = 0.2). At the cut-off value of 0.21, FIB-4 showed the highest sensitivity and specificity (70% and 60%) for detecting cirrhosis. In line with these, FIB-4 has been described in association with fibrosis stages in immune hepatitis (
17,
23) and HBV patients (
15). In patients with HBV, FIB-4 yielded an AUC range of 0.750-1 for the diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis (
24,
27). FIB-4 is a sensitive index with comparable results with other sensitive methods such as fibro scan for fibrosis diagnosis (
28). Nevertheless, the clinical application of FIB-4 needs to be validated for the etiology and stages of fibrosis, especially in pediatric populations.
In our study, the highest AUC for AAR was related to fibrosis stage = 1 (AUC = 0.713, 95% CI: 0.532 - 0.895). We noticed that the highest specificity for AAR was related to the cut-off value of 0.59 (90%) for detecting no fibrosis (stage = 0). On the other hand, AAR rendered the highest sensitivity (78%) for advanced fibrosis (stages 3 and 4) at the threshold of 0.71. In previous reports, AAR significantly correlated with hepatic fibrosis in HBV patients with an AUC of 0.586 for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis (
15). A cut-off value of ≥ 0.7 has been proposed for detecting advanced fibrosis with sensitivity and specificity of 87% and 39% in patients with HCV (
9). In contrast, the value of ≥ 1.2 was proposed by Fouad et al. as the optimum level for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in HCV patients (
10). One reason for these discrepancies may be the effects of some covariates such as age, obesity, metabolic disturbances, and viral load in infectious hepatitis that influence these factors (
6,
25). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report in children. One limitation of our study was the relatively low number of patients limiting the power of the study and reaching a significant level.
5.1. Conclusion
Our study assessed the applicability of non-invasive markers of APRI, AAR, and FIB-4 for detecting liver fibrosis in a childhood population with chronic hepatic diseases. Nevertheless, APRI, FIB-4, and AAR may be useful markers in predicting fibrotic transformation in children with various etiologies of hepatitis. In particular, APRI and AAR may be more applicable in detecting minimal fibrosis, while FIB-4 was more accurate in detecting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis.