Esophageal varices bleeding is accompanied with poor prognosis and decreases patient survival. Increase of portal vein diameter more than 13 mm represents portal hypertension with a specificity of 95-100% and a sensitivity of 42% (
15,
16). In our study, the mean of portal vein diameter in patients without EVs was 12.79, and 12.7 in those with varices, which did not have significant difference, and both were lower than the cutoff point (13 mm). This finding acknowledged the fact that with progression of portal hypertension, new collaterals appear, and diameter of present collaterals increase, so the portal blood flow diverts and portal vein diameter decreases (
14).
In a half of patients with portal hypertension, the splenic vein diameter increases to more than 10 mm (
15). The mean diameter of splenic vein in our patients without EVs was 9.4 and 10.8 in those with EVs, but the difference was not significant. The reasons could be first the splenic vein diameter changes only in 50% of patients, and the second one of the main parameters for splenic vein hypertension is gastric varices, especially in fundus; in our study only six patients had gastric varices. It seems that in our patients most of collaterals had formed in other sites, so we did not observe statistically significant difference between the two groups.
The mean diameter of the left gastric vein in our patients without EVs was 4.05 mm, and was 4.71 in those with EVs , but the difference was not significant. In one study increasing left coronary vein diameter of more than 5 mm (
17), and in another more than 6 mm (
18) were considered as a sign of portal hypertension with 80% sensitivity. This dissimilarity between our results and reported results may be due to the fact that evaluation of left gastric vein is not very easy in Doppler US, because of its small diameter and place, as we could not find it in 7 of our patients, and the fact that the left coronary vein is in direct relation with port, and when collaterals are sufficient to reduced portal dimension like our patients, the pressure decreases in the left coronary vein as well.
In healthy persons, the diameter of splenic and portal veins increase 50-100% during respiration, in patients with portal hypertension these reduce to less than 50% (
15,
16). In our study most of the patients had respiratory changes less than 50%, and the difference between patients with and without EVs was not significant. It seems that these changes happened in early stages of portal hypertension even before gastric-esophageal varices development, therefore cannot differentiate between the two groups of patients (with and without EVs).
Splenic index is spleen length multiply by its width (cm), by dividing splenic index on blood velocity in port vein the splenoportal index (SPI) is calculated. In the present study, SPI was 4.61 in patients without EVs, and 5.28 in those with it. Using the Roc method, the cutoff point of SPI was 4.15 with sensitivity and specificity of 33.3% and 31.5%, respectfully. The low sensitivity and specificity of this index make it invaluable for diagnosing esophageal varices.
With progressing of hepatic fibrosis and portal hypertension, the splenic vein diameter increases and consequently platelet number decreases, therefore platelet count/spleen diameter ratio is an index for evaluating varices. Giannini from Italy considered cutoff point of 909 as a reliable index for diagnosing esophageal varices (
20). Other studies also reported a cutoff point between 160-1014 (
20-
22), however, Saewar in his recent study did not find any significant association between platelet count/ spleen diameter ratio and EVs (
23).
In the present study, the mentioned ratio was 773.11 in patients without EVs, and 676.65 in those with EVs, but the difference was not significant (P = 0.495). Based on the Roc cure diagram the cutoff point of 759.01 had the highest sensitivity and specificity of 68.8% and 25%, respectively, the low sensitivity and specificity of this index, make it unsuitable to differentiate patients with and without EVs.
In this study we also evaluated some other indices including spleen diameter, frequency of gastric varices, presence of ascites, and two variable indices including splenic vein diameter and blood velocity, portal vein diameter and blood velocity, left gastric vein and blood velocity, blood velocity to spleen diameter, and blood velocity to SPI.
Although, we did not find any statistically significant difference between patients with and without EVs for these variables, however the blood velocity in portal vein to splenic vein diameter (P = 0.056) and blood velocity in portal vein to spleen diameter (P = 0.07) worth further evaluation in other studies with larger sample size.
Liu et al. conducted a study on 383 cirrhotic patients with Child score A for diagnosing EVs with Doppler US. His results indicated that cutoff value of 3 for SPI have a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 93%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 91%, and Negative predictive value (NPV) of 94% for diagnosing EVs. He concluded that this cut off had capability of diagnosing EVs in 92% of patients who did not have endoscopy, and therefore is a reliable index (
19).
Dib et al. from France stated that although using noninvasive method for diagnosing EVs is logical and rational, but still endoscopy is the preferable and the most reliable method compared with other diagnostic methods, however we have to expect more studies on capsule endoscopy (
24).
5.1. Limitations
The limitations of this study were low number of cases and controls, variability of the velocity, and differences in diameter and pressure of the veins in different times of day.
In the present study, neither of studied variables was perfect to differentiate between cirrhotic patients with and without EVs. Further studies with larger sample size may indicate value of two variable indices; blood velocity to splenic vein diameter, and blood velocity to spleen diameter. Endoscopy is still the gold standard and accurate diagnostic method to diagnose gastric-esophageal varices.