The frequency of HCV genotypes in different geographic regions is variable and changes over time, depending on the study population, the route of infection and virus mutation (
3,
11). Considering countries around Iran, the predominant HCV subtype is 1b in Turkey, Russia, Moldova and Uzbekistan (
10), 4 in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Yemen (
12), and 6a in China (
3). The predominant subtype is 3a in Pakistan (
6) and India (
33). Despite the high number of visitors from and to Arab countries (Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait) with predominant genotype 4, and visitors from north neighboring countries such as Tajikistan and Turkmenistan with the predominant subtype 1b; subtype 1a is dominant in Iran. It is probable that differences in the population, routes of transmission, and socioeconomic factors may explain this variation.
The prevalence of genotype 4 in Iran is lower compared to the majority of Middle Eastern countries including the neighboring Arabic countries. In Iran genotype 4 is prevalent in patients on hemodialysis and this is related to communication with neighboring countries such as Iraq and Saudi Arabia during the pilgrims and Hajj ceremony. There are no reliable reports about HCV genotypes in Afghanistan, the eastern neighbor of Iran. During the past few years, due to the political situation of Afghanistan, a considerable number of immigrants came to Iran. These immigrants usually do many trips between Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan (
11).
Only one study has reported HCV genotype 5 (3.4%) in their study population (
25), which can be a result of genotyping mistake and should be confirmed by DNA sequencing. Genotype 6 was reported only in one study with a prevalence rate of 1/ 142 (0.7%) with subtype 6a in one patient who had referred to the Gastroenterology Department of Taleghani Hospital (Tehran, Iran) between June 2007 and June 2012 (
60). It seems that this patient was infected by HCV in a country other than Iran.
In one study that was performed recently on 11561 chronic HCV infected patients in Iran, the results revealed that, 1a was common (44.9%) followed by 3a (39.6%) and 1b (11.3%) (
12). Distribution of HCV genotypes in our population is similar to the pattern on HCV in northern Europe, where genotypes 1, 2 and 3 are more frequent (
25,
33).
In the last decade, an increase in HCV genotype distribution has been reported in many countries, for example there has been an increase in the prevalence of the 3a, 1a, and 4 (
12). Documents have indicated that HCV infection has risen dramatically in the recent years in the Middle East region. This might be related to changes in the main route of transmission (
61). Subtype 1a and 1b are the dominant genotypes in older and 3a in young patients in Iran (
25). The high prevalence of subtype 3a in young patients suggests an increased number of IVDU as the main route of HCV transmission. In addition, recent studies have indicated that there is an increase in the frequency of 3a in the younger population of Iran, Germany, Serbia, Montenegro, and Slovenia; this is because the main route for transmission of HCV is IVDU, due to sharing of unsterilized needles and syringes. Therefore, young male individuals are more susceptible to acquire HCV infection (
12).
Considering forest plots in
Figure 3, our results showed that trend of hepatitis C virus genotypes 1a and 1b was fluctuating from 1999 to 2013, with a sinus shape, reaching maximum levels in 2012 and minimum levels in 2013; the reasons of these fluctuations are unknown. The overall trend of genotypes 2 and 4 was decreasing yet there was an increase for genotype 2 in 2012 and genotype 4 in 2011. The overall trend of subtype 3a decreased from 2001 to 2003 yet increased from 2004 to 2011, while it suddenly decreased in 2012 followed by a sharp increase to maximum levels in 2013. The reasons of these fluctuations is unknown. It must be noted that changes in the route of transmission and easy travelling in the recent years are the probable cause. Further researches are needed to find definitive answers.
Mixed HCV infection with more than one genotype is possible. Numerous reports suggest that HCV infection with one genotype does not prevent becoming infected with other HCV genotypes. Multiple exposures to HCV may occur from time to time. Mixed infections may lead to severe disease, poor response to antiviral therapy or relapse after treatment. Studies have reported that mixed infection with two genotypes of HCV occurs in approximately 1% of HCV infected patients, and 1.6 to 31% of patients with multi-transfused hemophilia. In one study multiple HCV subtypes (1a and 3a) were detected in 2.5% of the patients (
12). In the present study the prevalence of mixed HCV infection was 1.96%, which is compatible with previous reports.
A funnel plot is helpful for detecting biases around the line of identity in the meta-analysis. In our study the bias assessment plot was symmetric for subtypes 1a, 1b, 3a and genotype 4, yet asymmetric for genotype 2 in papers reporting HCV genotypes in Iranian cities (
Figure 4). Research insufficiency may be the reason of bias for genotype 2. Also, according to study periods, bias assessment plots were symmetric for genotypes or subtypes 1a, 1b, 2, 4 and 3a (
Figure 5).
Forest plots of the present study indicated heterogeneity in the published papers (
Figures 2 and
3). On the other hand, forest plots showed that, as the sample size increases confidence intervals of estimated prevalence become narrower. Thus, large sample sizes increase the precision of the study. In addition, samples collected from some parts of Iran were not adequate for obtaining firm conclusions.
A proportion of HCV in Iranian patients was reported untypeable. Presence of untypeable HCV samples in some studies indicates the inability of genotyping methods to discriminate HCV genotypes. To be able to identify untypeable HCV genotypes, sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of viral genome is needed for characterization. Thus, the future goal of researches should be to sequence genomes of untypeable samples. However, in some papers of the present study genotypes of HCV were detected by sequencing.
The transmission of HCV occurs mainly through infected blood, blood products, and contaminated devices, such as syringes and needles. Today, intravenous drug use is an important route of HCV transmission (
4,
61). Precise data about the pattern of HCV genotypes and continuous monitoring of the genetic diversity of virus isolates, especially among high-risk individuals (hemophilia, thalassemia, hemodialysis, multiply transfused patients and intravenous drug use) is essential for understanding HCV epidemiology (
33). The evaluation of HCV risk factors among patient populations is important. Most studies did not report on HCV genotypes in patient populations completely. Because of this defect in data, we were unable analyze the prevalence of HCV genotypes according to patient’s population.
Male gender was reported as an independent predictive factor for HCV infection in previous studies (
61). The findings of a recent study showed that there was no association between having a variety of HCV genotypes and gender, level of education, risk factors, job, income, HIV infection, HBV infection, IV drug abuse and presence of underlying diseases (
3). In our study most of the HCV infected patients were male (
Table 1). However, most studies have not reported prevalence of HCV genotypes according to gender and above-mentioned factors separately. Thus, we were unable analyze the prevalence of HCV genotypes according to gender and risk factors.
A range of studies on the prevalence of HCV genotypes in Iranian patients have been conducted. A meta-analysis of these prevalence data would be important for public health policy making and planning of clinical services addressing the needs of these infected people. The advantage of this meta-analysis is that it merges a large sample size and long study period, which help draw a reliable estimate of HCV genotypes distribution in Iran. Our study had a number of limitations that should be mentioned. First, different HCV genotyping methods were used by various studies and this may impact the obtained results of this meta-analysis. Second, although study populations were all Iranian patients, yet some populations were special patient groups and including them in a meta-analysis is somewhat challenging. Furthermore, data limitations of some studies did not allow their analysis.
In conclusion, our study showed that the most frequent subtypes of HCV in Iran were 1a, 3a and 1b, respectively. This frequency differs in cities and provinces of Iran and neighboring countries. Also, this meta-analysis reported on the overall estimate for distribution of HCV genotypes in Iran. Therefore, due to the possibility of changing dominant viral genotypes in communities based on migrations and viral genome mutations, it is important to determine distribution of HCV genotypes in different geographical areas and its trend with time for epidemiological and patient management purposes.