The subjects included 121 individuals within the age range of 2 - 18 years. The number of male and female subjects was not significantly different (P = 0.804).
Among 121 cases, 40 subjects (33.1%) had positive pathologic results for CD and 81 (66.9%) had negative pathologic results. The lowest tTG-IgA titer was 19 mL/IU and the highest was 980 mL/IU (
Table 1).
| Variables | Suspected Group | High Risk Group |
|---|
| Gender | | |
| Female | 56 (58.33) | 13 (52.00) |
| Male | 40 (41.67) | 12 (48.00) |
| Age (mean ± SD) | 8.22 ± 3.82 | 9.16 ± 3.24 |
| Chronic diarrhea | | |
| No | 93 (96.88) | 25 (100.00) |
| Yes | 3 (3.13) | 0 (0) |
| Failure to gain weight | | |
| No | 44 (45.83) | 25 (100.00) |
| yes | 52 (54.17) | 0 (0) |
| Chronic abdominal pain | | |
| No | 93 (96.88) | 25 (100.00) |
| Yes | 3 (3.13) | 0 (0) |
| Short stature | | |
| No | 64 (66.67) | 25 (100.00) |
| Yes | 32 (33.33) | 0 (0) |
| Pathology result | | |
| Negative | 65 (61.71) | 16 (66.94) |
| Positive | 31 (32.29) | 9 (33.06) |
| Serology titer | 109.142 ± 133.217 | 183.524 ± 185.182 |
aValues are presented as frequency (%).
Among 121 patients, 25 cases were in the high-risk group, which included patients with diabetes mellitus (24 cases) and first-degree relatives of patients with CD (1 case). In the high-risk group, 9 patients had positive pathologic results, with mean serological level of 217I U/mL and standard deviation 129.6, while 16 subjects had negative pathologic results with mean serological level of 164.6I U/mL and SD 211. Despite the lowert TG-IgA titer in subjects with negative pathologic results, compared to those with positive pathology, the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.121).
The serological titer was higher in the high-risk group (mean = 183 and SD 185.1), compared to other subjects (mean = 109 and SD 133.2); also, the difference between the high-risk group and other patients was statistically significant (P = 0.007). In the high-risk group, by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the cut-off point for serological titer was 126 IU/mL (sensitivity 7% and specificity 75%).
According to ESPGHAN guidelines (
5), a serological titer of ≥ 3 upper limit normal (ULN) is considered for avoiding biopsy in the high-risk group. So with serology titer of 54 (≥ 3 ULN, normal: 18), sensitivity 88.9% and specificity 9% was concluded. The area under ROC curve was 0.694 and p value was estimated at 0.113.
Statistical Analysis in Patients With Symptoms Suggestive of Celiac Disease in ROC Curve.
A statistically significant relation was observed between serological titer and positive pathologic results in patients with suspected CD. In other words, patients with positive pathologic results had higher serological titers (mean = 190 IU/mL and SD 180.5) and P < 0.001.
According to ROC curve, the area under the curve was 0.073 (P < 0.001).
Maximum sensitivity and specificity were estimated at 65% and 65.4% with a serological titer of 81.9 IU/mL, respectively (serologic titers above and lower this titer (81.9 IU/mL) were not suitable for maximum sensitivity and specificity). Among patients with positive pathologic results (40 individuals), 26 (65%) cases had a serological titer of ≥ 81.95 IU/mL; if the titer was higher or equal to 81.95 IU/mL, pathologic results were considered positive.
Intestinal biopsy could be avoided in 21.48% of cases witha positive predictive value (PPV) of 48.15% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 79.10%.
According to ESPGHAN guidelines (
5), a serological titer equal to or higher than 10 ULN eliminates the need for biopsy in individuals suspected for CD. Therefore, based on a titer of 180, intestinal biopsy could be avoided in 14.4% of cases with PPV = 70.8 and NPV = 76.29; titer sensitivity was estimated at 42% and specificity was found to be 14%.
Diagonal segments are produced by ties.
On the other hand, a significant correlation was observed between failure to gain weight and serological titer in patients. In fact, subjects with failure to gain weight had lower serological titer (mean serological titer of 93.4 with SD 95), compared to subjects without problems in gaining weight (mean serological titer of 147.9 with SD 174.9) (P = 0.045).
Serological titer was not significantly correlated with chronic diarrhea or chronic abdominal pain in patients. Moreover, no significant relationship was observed between short stature of patients and serological titer.
However, serological titer in patients with diabetes mellitus (mean = 182.83 with SD 189) was higher than that reported in other subjects (mean = 110 with SD 132.8); this difference was statistically significant (P = 0.012).
Evaluation of serological titer in first-degree relatives of celiac patients did not indicate any significance, given the low number of these subjects.
No meaningful association was found between serological titer and type of pathology according to Kruskal-Wallis test; however, higher serological titer was correlated with higher pathologic grading.
The mean serological titer in patients with Marsh grade 2 (1 case) was 60.5 IU/mL and 174 - 182 IU/mL with SD 147 - 109.8 in patients with Marsh grade 3 (39 cases) (P = 0.722).
Moreover, serological titer and pathology grading were not significantly associated in patients with short stature, type 1 diabetes, or failure to gainweight.
Additionally, no statistically significant relation was observed between positive pathological results and short stature, chronic diarrhea, failure to gain weight, chronic abdominal pain, or type 1diabetes and first-degree relatives of patients with CD.