The natural history of CMA is favorable and determining the individual timing of tolerance acquisition is critical for clinicians and anxious parents. This study found that about one half of infants and children with immediate type of CMA grew out of their allergy over 18 months of follow up. A wide range of CMA resolution rates has been reported from studies examining the natural history of CMA in different countries (
6,
9,
13). In 9 European countries, 69% of children with CMA tolerated cow’s milk one year after diagnosis, and all children with non IgE-mediated CMA and 57% of those with IgE-mediated CMA did so (
14). A large cohort of 512 infants and children with CMA ranging from 3 to 15 months of age at 5 areas of the USA demonstrated a resolution rate of about 50% by age 5 (
15). A natural course of CMA in 115 Korean children < 24 months of age with atopic dermatitis showed 50% tolerance at 67 months of age (
16). It is, therefore, nearly similar with other studies although the study design, age of infants and children, unselected group of children with immediate type CMA, and the time of follow up were different.
Variables such as sex, age, birth weight and birth month were not predictors of developing tolerance to cow’s milk in the present study.
Age of first reaction to CM in our children was not related to the course of CMA. In contrast to our finding, Elizur et al showed that 54 infants and children with CMA who developed their first reaction to milk in the first month of life were at highly increased risk for persistence of allergy (
17).
Goldberg et al revealed no relationship between atopic status of parents in infants and children with IgE-mediated CMA and the control group (
18). Parental allergy remained a strong predictor of developing tolerance in our patients. It is noticeable that self-reporting of atopy by parents may be biased.
Similar to our result, several studies found a relationship between atopic dermatitis and intolerance to cow’s milk in CMA infants and children; however, moderate to severe type of atopic dermatitis was associated with a lower likelihood of developing tolerance (
15,
16). History of sensitization to certain foods such as egg has been reported with a worse prognosis in early life, but no significant association with intolerance to cow’s milk was observed in this study (
9).
Children with IgE-mediated CMA have a greater risk for other atopic diseases than those with non IgE-mediated CMA (
5). In this study, 73.4% of the children suffered from eczema, while 50% had at least 1 other food sensitization, 20.4% had gastrointestinal manifestations, and 10.2% respiratory symptoms, although these rates of gastrointestinal manifestations and respiratory symptoms are lower than those reported in previous studies (
6,
9).
The baseline SPT wheal size to milk was not effective in prediction of resolution to milk in the present study (P value = 0.3); this is different from the study by Wood et al who found SPT wheal size to milk as the most important factor in predicting resolution of milk allergy (
15).
A Greek study reported that the negative result of pre-challenge SPT to milk could properly predict a negative challenge outcome in agreement with our study (
19).
Liao et al. compared exclusive breastfeeding in infants and children < 4 months with those ≥ 4 months and showed a decreased risk of sensitization toward CMA up to the age of 2 years in long time breast feeding (
20). A high rate (96%) of exclusive breast feeding in this study was the result of the government’s effort in the past few years to promote breast feeding.
This analysis also revealed no significant trend toward higher rates of resolution in patients with highly educated parents, mode of delivery, consanguinity between parents, father smoking, and age of introduction of solid food.
The limitations of this study include the small sample size of the infants and children, absence of measuring the cow’s milk-specific IgE levels at baseline, and follow-up of the infants and children. Atopic dermatitis was considered as a predictive factor, but we could not determine the index of severity of skin symptoms. Prospective studies will be needed to follow all patients for growing out of CMA in longer period.
In conclusion, about one half of the infants and children with IgE-mediated cow’s milk allergy developed tolerance by 18 months of follow up. Parental allergy and atopic dermatitis were important predictor factors for the persistence of CMA. Follow-up of CMA patients is important in appropriate timing of re-introduction of cow’s milk to the diet.