To obtain epidemiological data of infant mortality and etiology, the present multicenter ten-year surveillance was conducted. The results showed that mortality in the post-newborn period was found to be significantly different from that in neonatal period and modified infant period from 2004 to 2013. Meanwhile, the three main causes of death were different among the three periods. Moreover, four major causes of death appearing simultaneously in the three periods also showed significant differences. The major diseases including PAD, pneumonia, SIDS and CHD which showed inverse “U” shape changes from the neonatal period to the modified infant period, and the highest mortality appeared in the post-newborn period. To our knowledge, this is the first study on epidemiological data supporting the new concept of the post-newborn period.
Infant mortality has gradually dropped down with an obvious imbalance in different countries and areas (
24-
26). Neonatal mortality in the United States in 2006 has dropped by nearly half as compared with that in 1980 (from 8.48% to 4.45%) (
27), whereas it has decreased by 70% in China in 2008 as compared with that in 1990 (from 34.0% to 10.2%) (
28). A study referring to 11-year provincial-level time-series analyses in Mozambique showed that neonatal mortality in different provinces ranged from 13.6% to 4.2%, and the differences might be most strongly associated with institutional birth attendance, maternal and child nurse density and overall health workforce density (
26). Infant mortality in developed areas including North America and Europe in 2002 dropped by half as compared with that in 1990 (from 14% to 7%), whereas it only dropped from 75% to 61% in developing areas. Meanwhile, the average mortality of the world was from 68% to 55% (
24). In the United States, The infant mortality rate in 2013 was 5.96%, which did not change significantly from the rate in 2012 (
29). In China, infant mortality has also obviously decreased in the past ten years. Compared with 24.1% in 2002, it accounted for 12.1% in 2012, and in 2013, it was down to 9.5%. In our cohort of 155463 infants, the neonatal and infant mortality decreased from 14% and 8.9% in 2004 to 8% and 4.9% in 2013, respectively. A survey enforced in 188 countries referring to 6.3 million children under 5 who died from 1970 to 2013 showed that compared with 33.4% in 1970 and 37.4% in 1990, neonatal deaths accounted for 41.6% of under-5 deaths, and would account for 44.9% in 2030 (
30), and the trend indicated that neonatal deaths would play more and more important role during childhood.
The most interesting finding in the present study was that there was a significant different mortality rate among neonatal, post-newborn, and modified infant periods, and these differences mainly appeared between post-newborn and modified infant periods. In other words, there was more intimate association of causes of death between neonatal and post-newborn periods. Actually, the etiology of infant deaths varied from different countries to areas (
31). In the worldwide, three main causes of 2.9 million annual neonatal deaths were attributed to preterm birth complications (34.5%), intrapartum conditions (24.1%) and infections (20.7%) (
22). In developed countries, the three main causes of death in infants were congenital abnormalities, perinatal disease and SIDS (
32-
34), whereas in developing countries, they were neonatal disease, infection and congenital abnormalities (
31,
35). In the United States, the most leading causes of infant deaths in 2013 were congenital abnormalities, low birth weight, maternal complications, and SIDS (
29), while in China, they were birth asphyxia, preterm birth complications, congenital abnormalities and pneumonia (
36). Data from 2007 - 2008 in Mozambique showed that 35% of deaths were attributable to bacterial sepsis, and 10% to complications of pregnancy, labor, and delivery during the neonatal period. Other major causes of death in neonates were fetal development disorders (6%), malaria (6%), hypoxia and asphyxia (6%), and pneumonia (4%) (
37). The present survey showed that the three main causes of death in neonatal infants were RDS, neonatal asphyxia and CHD. The leading causes of death in the post-newborn period were different but had an intimate association with those in the neonatal period. During the 10-year study period, the mortality of neonatal asphyxia gradually decreased, which on one hand induced a higher survival rate in neonates, but on the other hand, might lead to more infants dying from PAD in the post-newborn period.
CHD was another important cause of death during the infant period, which accounted for nearly 28% of all major congenital anomalies (
38). A meta-analysis in 2011 reported total CHD birth prevalence increased with significant geographical differences from 0.6 per 1,000 live births in 1930 to 9.1 per 1,000 live births after 1995. Among these infants with CHD, about 1% to 2% babies needed early treatment as soon as possible (
39). In the present study, CHD-induced infant mortality was 0.8%, which was obviously higher than 0.12% in 2013 in the United States (
29), and high death proportion of CHD in both neonatal (11.3%) and post-newborn (33.0%) periods indicated that these infants might not accept early detection and effective intervention (
40). In this sense, pulse oximetry plus clinical assessment for detection of major CHD, especially critical CHD, might be feasible and reliable all over the world (
41).
SIDS is defined as the sudden unexplained death of an infant younger than one year of age. SIDS usually occurs in a previously healthy infant with a thorough post mortem examination failing to demonstrate adequate causes of death (
42). Overall, the rate of SIDS has decreased from 1.2 deaths per 1,000 live births in 1994 to 0.57 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2002 (
43). In the United States, SIDS was the fourth leading cause of death in infancy, and it was about 0.43 per 1,000 infants in 2012, which showed a decrease with 0.40 per 1,000 infants in 2013 (
29). Moreover, SIDS has been indicated to have a peak incidence at 2 to 4 months of age (
44) In our survey, SIDS also showed inverse “U” shape changes in infancy, and the highest mortality appeared in the post-newborn period. Additionally, there were similar trends in PAD, pneumonia and CHD. The results strongly suggested that much attention should be paid to the newly proposed concept of post-newborn period in early life.
As is known, growth and development are the most important characteristics of infants and sensitive markers of their health, disease status and adequate nutrition (
45), and breastfeeding is the most important nutritional factor in early life. Hence, to further verify the effects of a new concept on the mortality of the three periods, we also assessed the relations between the four diseases and breastfeeding. Our study demonstrated that, except for pneumonia, there were obvious associations between mortality of PAD, CHD and SIDS and breastfeeding among the three periods. We concluded that lower rate of breastfeeding might induce these differences. In 2013, an investigation referring to 90 Chinese cities showed that the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding was 15.66%. Another report from the World Bank in 2008 indicated that the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding was 67% in 1998, but decreased rapidly to 27.6% in 2008, with only 16% in big cities (
46). These studies suggested a low rate and reduced trend of breastfeeding in China. Chung et al. reviewed the global breastfeeding rate as follows (
47): In the USA, breastfeeding rate showed an increased trend from 2003 to 2009, and they were 36.0% and 16.3% at the ages of 3 and 6 months, respectively in 2009. In the same year in Korea, they were 50.0% and 11.4% at the two time points, respectively. In England, they were 17% and 12% in 2010. The highest rate appeared in Hungary with 95%. On average, almost 50% infants less than 3 months are breastfed. But, by 6 months, less than 25% are breastfed. In the present study, the prevalence of breastfeeding was 27.3%, with 20.0% in the neonatal period, 44.5% in the post-newborn period and 28.4% in the modified infant period. Our report of breastfeeding rate ranked in the middle and demonstrated an obvious reduction of breastfeeding rate in the modified infant period, which indicated the duration of breastfeeding was less than six months as recommended by the World Health Organization.
There is a total trend that more and more preterm newborns survive, and the gestational age of the survivors is also becoming smaller and smaller. Hence, neonatal asphyxia might lose the importance as the first cause of death. In addition to CHD or other congenital diseases, PAD would become the most common cause of death in the newborn and post-newborn periods in developing countries. A few survived infants suffered neurologic impairment and metabolic diseases in childhood and/or adulthood (
48-
50). These complications and sequelae would induce increased medical and social burdens and constitute a challenge for both public health organizations and healthcare providers. This survey might provide a new important insight into understanding the importance of early life in health and disease.
There are some limitations in the present study. Firstly, the selection of hospitals did not consider the difference of economy in different areas. Secondly, limited number of involved hospitals might mean some potential bias. These problems can be overcome by a national survey in the future. Given the potential limitations, future trials are needed.
In summary, the difference in mortality and etiology of the neonatal, post-newborn, and modified infant periods supports the concept of the post-newborn period. Further research is needed to better understand its clinical significance.