Malaria, caused by Plasmodium parasites, remains a major global health concern, especially affecting children and pregnant women in tropical and subtropical regions (
1). According to the World Health Organization’s (WHO) 2023 World Malaria Report, malaria remains a significant burden, with 249 million cases and 608,000 deaths across 85 endemic countries in 2022 (
2). Historically, malaria affected millions in Iran, but the 1951 anti-malaria campaign led to substantial reductions, and recent reports indicate a continuing decline (
3,
4). By 2009, Iran had entered the pre-elimination phase, aiming to stop local transmission by 2025 (
5). Iran has made remarkable progress in malaria control and is now in the pre-elimination phase, with a national goal to eliminate indigenous transmission by 2025 (
6). However, this achievement is fragile. The country now faces a critical challenge: Imported malaria cases from endemic neighboring countries, primarily Afghanistan and Pakistan, threaten to undermine elimination efforts by potentially re-establishing local transmission where competent Anopheles vectors exist.
However, regional instability has influenced malaria dynamics. The recent political change in Afghanistan in 2021, coupled with ongoing economic insecurity, has prompted a significant influx of migrants and refugees into Iran, many originating from malaria-endemic regions within Afghanistan (
7,
8). There is a steady flow of Afghan laborers into Iran, particularly young men seeking work, who often have limited access to healthcare and may carry asymptomatic malaria infections (
7,
9). Migrants often settle in specific urban and peri-urban areas, creating focal points of potential transmission risk if local vectors are present (
9). Qazvin Province, in northern Iran, hosts a significant Afghan refugee population on the city outskirts (
10). Qazvin Province illustrates this vulnerability: A 2008 – 2023 retrospective study showed that all malaria cases were imported, predominantly from Afghanistan (
9). This pattern reflects a national trend and underscores the need for targeted policies to prevent reintroduction.