1. Context
2. Evidence Acquisition
2.1. Protocol Registration and Reporting
2.2. Eligibility Criteria
2.3. PICO Framework
2.4. Information Sources and Search Strategy
2.5. Study Selection
2.6. Data Extraction
| Study ID | Author (s), y | Country/Cohort | Design/Sample Size | Exposure(s) | Outcome(s) | Key Finding, as Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hughes et al., 2017 (10) | USA pooled cohorts (NHS, HPFS, CPS-II subsets) | Prospective pooled cohorts (> 100000 total participants) | Dairy: low-fat milk, cheese, yogurt | Incident PD confirmed by registry/physician | Higher low-fat milk intake was associated with modestly increased PD risk; cheese and yogurt were neutral. |
| 2 | Maraki et al., 2019 (6) | Greece clinic/community adults | Cross-sectional study (n ≈ 500) | Mediterranean diet score | Prodromal PD probability (MDS criteria) | Higher MeDi adherence was associated with a lower probability of prodromal PD features. |
| 3 | Olsson et al., 2020 (11) | Sweden multicohort registry linkage | Prospective national cohorts (exact N varies by cohort) | Milk vs fermented milk | Incident PD, registry-confirmed | Low-fat/skim milk was modestly associated with higher PD risk; fermented dairy was neutral. |
| 4 | Simon et al., 2015 (9) | USA trial-based cohort/clinical PD cohort | Prospective clinical cohort (~400 PD patients) | Caffeine intake | PD motor progression (UPDRS slope) | No clear overall disease-slowing association was reported; exploratory subgroup findings were described. |
| 5 | Tresserra-Rimbau et al., 2023 (14) | UK Biobank | Prospective cohort subset (~150000) | Plant-based/Diet Quality Index | Incident PD (registry/hospital linkage) | Higher plant-based diet adherence was associated with modestly lower PD incidence. |
| 6 | Hong et al., 2020 (8) | Multiple cohorts globally | Meta-analysis of observational cohorts (~1.5 million participants across 26 studies) | Caffeine/coffee | Incident PD and PD progression | A strong inverse association was reported for incident PD; progression evidence was inconsistent. |
a Sample sizes were extracted from published reports; approximate values are shown when pooled cohorts prevent single exact denominators. "Association" refers to adjusted relative effect estimates and does not imply causality. Exposure assessments were based on validated or semi-validated dietary tools unless noted. Abbreviations: PD, Parkinson's disease; NHS, Nurses' Health Study; HPFS, Health Professionals Follow-Up Study; CPS-II, Cancer Prevention Study II; UPDRS, Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale.
| Study ID | Author(s), Year | Databases/Coverage | Included Studies (Total N) | Exposure → Outcome | Main Pooled Result | Heterogeneity/Publication Bias | AMSTAR-2 Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-1 (= ID 6) | Hong et al., 2020 (8) | PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane (to March 2020) | 26 studies (~1.5 million participants) | Caffeine/coffee → incident PD; progression | RR = 0.75 (95% CI, 0.68 - 0.82) for highest vs lowest intake; Progression was not significant. | I2 = 58%; Egger P = 0.14, with no major publication bias detected | Low to moderate (no protocol preregistration; Incomplete exclusion justification) | Consistent inverse association for incident PD; Progression remains unclear. |
a The AMSTAR-2 rating was judged based on criteria reported in the manuscript; interpretation is limited by the absence of study preregistration. Abbreviations: RR = relative risk; CI = confidence interval; I2 = heterogeneity statistic.
2.7. Risk-of-Bias Assessment
2.8. Data Synthesis
2.9. Certainty of Evidence
3. Results
3.1. Study Selection and Verification
3.2. Study Characteristics
3.3. Risk of Bias
| Study ID | Confounding | Selection | Exposure Classification | Deviations From Intended Exposures | Missing Data | Outcome Measurement | Selective Reporting | Overall ROBINS-I | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moderate | Low | Low | Low | Low | Low | Low | Moderate | Large cohorts with covariate adjustment, but unmeasured confounders remain plausible. |
| 2 | Serious | Moderate | Moderate | Low | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate | Serious | Cross-sectional design, reverse causation risk, and clinic/community sampling. |
| 3 | Moderate | Low | Low | Low | Low | Low | Low | Moderate | Registry-confirmed PD reduces measurement error; residual confounding remains possible. |
| 4 | Serious | Serious | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate | Low | Moderate | Serious | Clinical PD selection, short follow-up, and confounding by indication/exposure misclassification. |
| 5 | Moderate | Low | Low | Low | Low | Moderate | Low | Moderate | Large cohort; health volunteer effect and socioeconomic confounding are possible. |
a Ratings follow ROBINS-I guidelines. "Serious" indicates likely important bias, and "Moderate" indicates that residual bias is possible but unlikely to substantially change conclusions. No study was rated "Low" because of inherent confounding risks in nutritional epidemiology.
3.4. Synthesis Approach and Sensitivity Analyses
3.5. Narrative Synthesis of Verified Evidence
| Exposure Theme | Included Studies (IDs) | Study Designs | Exposure Definition | Outcome Definition | Short Qualitative Synthesis, 2015 - 2025 Verified Evidence Only |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairy (low-fat milk/fermented dairy) | 1, 3 | Prospective pooled cohorts; national linked registry cohorts | Low-fat milk; Fermented dairy | Incident PD | Consistent modest increased PD risk was associated with low-fat milk in multiple prospective cohorts; Fermented dairy was neutral. |
| Caffeine/coffee | 4, 6 | Clinical cohort progression study and meta-analysis of prospective cohorts | Caffeine/coffee intake | Incident PD and PD progression | Strong inverse association with incident PD; No conclusive evidence for slower progression. |
| Mediterranean/plant-based diets | 2, 5 | Cross-sectional prodromal study; Large prospective cohort | MeDi score; Plant-based diet index | Prodromal PD markers; Incident PD | Higher adherence was associated with reduced prodromal probability and modestly lower incidence; Confounding and measurement error remain plausible. |
a Prodromal outcomes (ID 2) and incident PD outcomes (ID 5) are reported separately; thematic grouping reflects nutritional domain, not outcome equivalence.
