Early identification of renal injury can prevent progression to AKI and decrease subsequent morbidity, mortality, and additional costs (
21). Failure of most current pharmacological interventions for AKI may be partially due to the delay in the diagnosis of renal injury (
1). Individuals with initial normal serum creatinine may benefit more from early detection of renal dysfunction because they are generally overlooked compared with those with elevated creatinine levels at the baseline. Despite direct measurement of GFR by exogenous substances such as inulin or iothalamate -the gold standard method-, it is not practical in clinical settings (
16). Identifying an endogenous marker of renal function with appropriate accuracy is an urgent demand. The results of a meta-analysis on 13 studies demonstrated that serum cystatin C appears to be a good biomarker for prediction of AKI development both overall and across a range of subgroups (
22). In the current study, we examined the hypothesis that serum cystatin C is more accurate than serum creatinine for detection of early AKI, defined as GFR < 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2, in critically ill patients. Our preliminary findings suggested that serum cystatin C has no superiority and advantage over serum creatinine in early detection of AKI in ICU patients.
The inverse correlation between serum creatinine (1/serum creatinine) and measured Ccr in our survey was statistically significant (P < 0.001) and the correlation coefficient (R = 0.51) was within the range (R = 0.5-0.89) reported from other studies (
23-
27). The mean correlation coefficient for the inverse of serum cystatin C (1/serum cystatin C) from 36 data sets (R = 0.816, 95% CI = 0.804-0.826) (
28) was much higher than that from the current study (R = 0.25). Similarly, Khorgami et al. demonstrated the statistically significant correlation (P < 0.001) between serum cystatin C and simplified MDRD as well as cystatin C-based formula in chronic hemodialysis individuals with correlation coefficients of -0.46 and -0.87, respectively (
29). This difference can be partially explained by the characteristics of patients. Studies assessed in the meta-analysis by Dharnidharka et al. (
28) as well as Khorgami et al. study (
29) were predominantly conducted in individuals with generally stable clinical condition while our study population were critically ill. Despite the fact that only hemodynamically stable subjects were selected, it seems impossible to detect and control occasional alterations in kidney perfusion and GFR that are associated with transient fluctuations in blood pressure or changes in the rate of fluid administration.
Our study showed that 93.33% of patients with normal serum creatinine had Ccr < 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2. The false negative rate of serum creatinine in the detection of renal dysfunction reported from similar studies in ICU patients varies from 42% up to 80% (
30-
33). The low sensitivity of creatinine in the detection of renal dysfunction in critically ill patients might be due to the lower creatinine production. Muscle loss due to the primary illness can be considered as the most plausible explanation for the depressed creatinine production. The other possible factors are inadequate dietary intake of creatine (the major source of creatinine) and impaired liver function, which is often present in ICU patients. In line with our results, Delanaye et al. (
30) and Villa et al. (
33) found that the false negative rate of serum cystatin C in the detection of renal dysfunction (Ccr < 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2) in critically ill patients was significantly lower than that of serum creatinine.
The results of ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the accuracy of serum cystatin C in detection of renal dysfunction (Ccr < 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2) was comparable to serum creatinine (AUC = 0.711 vs. 0.607, P = 0.222). The results of the studies comparing serum cystatin C and creatinine as markers of renal function in ICU patients are inconclusive. One study on 202 adult ICU patients in Finland reported that serum cystatin C rises as quickly as serum creatinine. In other words, serum cystatin C performed as well as serum creatinine in the detection of AKI in critically ill patients (
34). Mazul-Sunko et al. found no statistically significant correlation between cystatin C plasma level (obtained on the day of ICU admission) and development of AKI in 29 critically ill patients with sepsis (
35). The results of a study by Royakkers et al. in 151 heterogeneous ICU patients stated that serum and urine cystatin C were poor predictors of AKI as well as the need for renal replacement therapy (
36). In contrast to the aforementioned findings, the results of some other relevant studies showed the superiority of serum or urine cystatin C to creatinine in the early detection of renal dysfunction in critically ill patients (
30-
33,
37-
39). A probable explanation of this controversy lies in the different methodology of studies as well as inclusion/exclusion criteria, methods, and AKI definition. For instance, Herget-Rosenthal et al. included just patients with several risk factors for developing AKI (e.g. age > 70 years, cardiogenic or hemorrhagic shock, decompensated liver cirrhosis, diabetes, and sepsis) in their study and excluded patients admitted to ICU with AKI (
37). In contrast to three studies that used the risk, injury, failure, loss, and end-stage (RIFLE) criteria for AKI identification (
34,
36,
37), the detection of AKI in four studies was based on a single GFR cut-off of 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2 (
30-
33). Mazul-Sunko et al. defined AKI in their study as plasma creatinine > 267 μmol/L or urine output < 30 mL/h (
35). In two subanalyses of EARLYARF trial by Nejat et al., AKI was defined by the acute kidney injury network (AKIN) criterion: an increase in plasma creatinine above baseline of at least 0.3 mg/dL (26.4 μmol/L) or 50% (
38,
39). Cystatin C was measured by the immunonephelometric assay in all relevant studies (
30-
39) except our work in which determination of serum cystatin C was performed by the ELISA method. Interestingly, Dharnidharka et al. meta-analysis revealed that immunonephelometric methods of cystatin C measurement produced significantly greater correlations than other methods such as immunoturbidimetry or ELISA (R = 0.846 vs. 0.784, P < 0.001) (
29). A jury of the international consensus conference in intensive care medicine held in 2007 concluded that although cystatin C is a promising marker of renal function in circumstances where alterations in the amount of creatinine tubular secretion may occur and where it is important to detect rapid changes in GFR, performing further clinical evaluations is necessary (
40).
Unlike Ccr, the accuracy of serum creatinine for detection of GFR < 80 mL/min/1.73 m
2 determined by the original and simplified MDRD formulas was statistically higher than that of serum cystatin C in our study. The MDRD equations were evaluated and validated primarily in non-ICU patients with chronic kidney disease and the data regarding the performance of MDRD formulas in ICU patients are limited. The results of Hoste et al. study questioned the applicability of MDRD formulas for the assessment of renal function in critically ill patients with normal serum creatinine (
5). Comparing MDRD, modified Jelliffe, Mayo-Clinic and CG equations with the measured Ccr in 307 ICU adult patients indicated that modified Jelliffe had higher agreement with Ccr than other studied equations like MDRD (
41). Two studies compared MDRD with a cystatin C-based formula in critically ill patients. A profound difference was found between the two GFR estimates. However, due to the absence of a gold standard method (an exogenous substance such as inulin or iothalamate) for GFR measurement in these two studies, it was not feasible to determine which formula was more appropriate for ICU patients (
42,
43).
The performance of cystatin C as a marker of renal function in critically ill patients has been questioned by Wulkan et al. (
44). A number of studies stated that overt as well as subclinical thyroid dysfunctions could significantly alter serum cystatin C level (
13,
14,
45). On the other hand, nonthyroidal illness, a disorder typically manifests with low free triiodothyronine (T3) and normal or decreased thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) values, is very common in patients with critical illness. Thus, Wulkan et al. claimed that cystatin C was not a suitable marker of renal function in critically ill patients (
44). However, Herget-Rosenthal et al. showed that neither low T3 nor T3/T4 syndromes markedly affected serum cystatin C in ICU patients (
37). Therefore, it seems that nonthyroidal illness cannot be considered as a confounding factor of cystatin C level. However, this issue was not assessed in the current study.
The current study has several limitations. First, the study was performed in three ICUs of a single center; hence, the results might be vulnerable to a center effect and may not be reproduced in other settings. Second, the study lacked using an exogenous substance such as inulin or radioisotope as a real gold standard for more accurate estimation of GFR. Third, the exclusion criteria such as hemodynamic instability or hospital and ICU stay for more than one week confined the study to less seriously ill patients. This issue is supported by the low mean ± SD APACHE II score of the patients (8.14 ± 5.24). Finally, the detection of AKI was based on a single GFR cut-off of 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 rather than the pattern of serum creatinine or GFR alterations during several days of ICU stay (such as RIFLE criteria).
In conclusion, we demonstrated that serum cystatin C was not superior to serum creatinine in the early detection of renal dysfunction in critically ill patients. Considering the current controversies and lack of adequate data, further multicenter studies in large populations with sequential measurement of serum creatinine, cystatin C, and Ccr are warranted to elucidate the value of serum cystatin C as a marker of renal function in ICU patients.