The rate of preterm delivery has remained stable over the last decade, ranging from 6% to 8% in Europe and Australia and from 9.6% to 11.6% in North America (
11). Preterm deliveries are the main cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality (
1-
3). The understanding of pathogenic mechanisms leading to preterm delivery has improved greatly in the past several years (
1). A recent systematic review has shown that medical prophylactic therapies are effective in preventing PTL but may not alleviate neonatal adverse outcomes including respiratory distress syndrome (
12,
13). In this context, prostaglandin inhibitors and calcium channel blockers might delay delivery and improve neonatal outcomes. Thus, early identification of women at risk of preterm delivery is an important area for investigation (
5).
TVUS has been shown to be an objective, reproducible, and reliable method to assess the cervix and to predict the risk of preterm delivery (
6). TPUS has been introduced as an alternative method (
7) because of some advantages including no need for inserting the transducer probe into the vagina, no image impairment due to obstruction by fetal parts, no need for an additional transducer, and being favored by most women (
7,
8).
Some studies have confirmed feasibility of the TPUS (
14) and approved its results to be as valid as that of TVUS (
1,
15). Nevertheless, there are some restrictions to utilizing TPUS in clinical practice; for instance, a more experienced sonographer is needed (
7). The patients’ preference for one method over the other varies regarding the level of convenience and experienced pain during the procedures (
7,
14). In that regard, patient preference should be investigated further.
The TVUS might be associated with increased rate of prenatal infections because of entering the bacteria into upper parts of the vaginal; however, the complications of the TVUS are limited. Bennett et al. (
16) reported the complication rates following TVUS in a series of 2670 patients. They reported vaginal hemorrhage in 229 patients (8.6%) while pelvic infections were reported in 18 (0.6%). Out of these 18 patients, 9 (0.3%) developed severe pelvic infection with abscess formation. Interestingly, the most common route of pelvic infection was the direct inoculation of the bacteria through the vaginal by means of the vaginal probe (
16).
In our study, preterm delivery occurred at a rate of 8.2%, which was similar to the rate in European countries and Australia and lower than the rate in North America (
11). The percentage differences might be due to the sample size, eligibility criteria, or race (
17).
Our optimal cutoff value for CL measurements by TVUS to predict preterm delivery was 28 mm (sensitivity, 93.75%; and specificity, 92.74%), which was within the range reported in other studies (15-30 mm) (
18). Other investigators had reported different cutoff points in their studies on predicting preterm delivery. reported cutoff points by other investigators include Leung et al. at ≤ 27 mm (sensitivity, 36.8%; and specificity, 96.2%) (
19), Gramellini et al. at ≤ 15 mm (sensitivity, 24%; and specificity, 93.9%) (
20), Schmitz et al. at ≤ 30 mm (sensitivity, 95%; and specificity, 29%) (
21), Vendittelli et al. at < 30 mm (sensitivity, 83.4%; and specificity, 50.1%) (
22), Bagga et al. at ≤ 25 mm (sensitivity, 88.3%; and specificity, 60%) (
23), and Yazici et al. at 32.5 mm (sensitivity, 72.1%; and specificity, 81.8%) (
1). The wide range of CLs cutoff points in various studies might be due to their difference in eligibility criteria. Difference between our cutoff points and other studies might be due to small sample size. Some studies included women with PTL and gestation age ranging from 18 or 20 to 37 weeks (
22,
23). Moreover, various studies had different definition of PTL, with gestational age varying from 34 to 37 weeks cutoffs (
19,
20,
22,
24). Gramellini et al. reported the optimal cutoff point of ≤ 15 mm for CL to predict preterm delivery with gestational age ≤ 34 weeks at birth (
20) in comparison to compared to < 37 weeks in our study.
This might account for different cutoff points in predicting PTL in various studies (
19,
20,
22,
24). In our study, correlation between the TVUS and TPUS was very strong (r = 0.907 and P < 0.001). The estimated difference between the paired means was -0.7 mm (95% CI, -5.3 to 4.0 mm). Meijer-Hoogeveen et al., Kurtzman et al., Cicero et al., Yazici et al., and Owen et al. reported a strong correlation between TVUS and TPUS in measuring CL (r = 0.85, r = 0.95, r = 0.944, r = 0.83, and r = 0.38, respectively) (
1,
6,
7,
25,
26).
This study had some limitations. First, eight obstetrics and gynecology residents attended the labor ward during the study period as part of their rotations. Different residents and physicians examined the patients at presentation. Thus, interobserver variability was inevitable. Second, the study might be underpowered because of the low incidence of preterm delivery, which might have led to type II error. Along with these limitations, there are several strengths in this study. We included a large study population that increased the power of the statistical analysis. Previous reports had only included a limited number of patients. A trained perinatologist performed all the ultrasonographic examinations, which decreased the interobserver variability to zero and increased the accuracy of all examinations. Therefore, the results of this study should be referred to with high reliability and low variability.
In conclusion, TVUS is the gold standard for measurement of CL. However, our study indicates that it can be substituted for TPUS in limited cases, especially in preterm premature rupture of membranes, where insertion of the device into the vagina should be avoided, or according to patient preference. The accuracy of TPUS is dependent on the experience of the sonographer, which might restrict its application in clinical practice.