To our knowledge, this study is the first attempt to follow PWUM from the general population in Iran. Several studies have investigated the associated consequences of methamphetamine and other amphetamines in different countries. A recent systematic review concluded that use of amphetamines is associated with higher odds of psychosis, depression, violence, and suicidality (
3). Consistently, data from an Australian cohort study showed that people who use drugs had an odds ratio (OR) of 8.2 to commit a violent crime in months in which they use methamphetamine (
5). Another systematic review that included data from 23 cohort studies found that people with different amphetamines use disorders (including methamphetamine) are experiencing significantly higher all-cause mortality rates with a pooled crude mortality rate of 1.1 per 100 person-years (
7). Similarly, the result of a meta-analysis of 8 studies showed that the use of amphetamines would result in a 5.6-fold increase in the chance of having a fatal road accident (
17).
We recorded one death among 29 eligible individuals. Other studies have reported higher mortality rates in PWUM compared to the general population; a higher odds of mortality (6.8 folds) for PWUM was estimated in a systematic review (
7). Follow-up studies in a large case dimension are needed to determine the odds of mortality among PWUM in Iran.
In our study, more than two-thirds of participants experienced at least 1 adverse event, of which more than half reported facing 2 or more adverse events. Violence and incarceration were the most common adverse events in our sample. A systematic review reported that violent behavior could be up to 2.2 times higher in PWUM and 6.2 times higher in those with methamphetamine use disorder compared to the general population (
3). Other studies have concluded that violent and non-violent crimes and recidivism are more prevalent in PWUM compared to the general population (
5,
6).
Suicide attempts, overdoses, and traffic accidents reported in our sample. According to available evidence, these events contribute to higher rates of injuries seen in PWUM (
4). A systematic review estimated that any use of methamphetamine was associated with a 3.6-fold increase in the risk of committing suicide (
3). Another study reported an increased odds of 6.2 for traffic accidents that resulted in injury in PWUM (
17). These findings suggest that incorporating injury-prevention programs in substance use treatment packages is necessary.
With only 1 exception, all our participants reported abstinence or decreased frequency of methamphetamine use. Although other published studies have observed the same decreasing pattern, the reported abstinence rates in these studies are lower than our sample. A systematic review published in 2010 reported an estimated annual remission rate of approximately 17% for those with methamphetamine use disorder (
13). A more recent 5-year follow-up study that recruited PWUM with and without use disorder from the general population reported a 20% 1-year abstinence (
12). We did not confirm the reported abstinence with urine tests; this may have caused an under-reporting of continuing drug use in our study.
Among individuals with methamphetamine use disorder, slightly over half received at least one substance use treatment service. All subjects who received treatment services had comorbid opioid use disorder. No one received specific health care services for methamphetamine use. This pattern is the same as the baseline study (
9). Although the overall proportion of subjects receiving any substance use treatment is comparable with developed countries (
18), not utilizing specific services for methamphetamine use disorder is noteworthy. Several packages of cognitive-behavioral treatment for stimulant use disorder have been introduced in the country, and planned to expand their integration into the services provided by outpatient drug treatment centers; however, the coverage is still low.
Psychiatric comorbidity was frequent in our sample. More than half of the participants were diagnosed with a mood disorder, which is a high rate compared to the general population (
19). Similarly, a recently published systematic review reported that any use of methamphetamine is associated with an OR of 1.6 for depression (
3). However, these results are only temporal associations, and causality should be addressed with further prospective research.
This study has some limitations, including a descriptive design, small sample size, and inevitable drop-out rate, which make it difficult to draw general conclusions. Moreover, the female subgroup of PWUM was absent in our sample. Also, the high concurrence of other substance use disorders makes it difficult to determine to what extent the observed events are associated solely with methamphetamine use.
In summary, we presented the 6-year follow-up outcomes of PWUM recruited from the general population. Our sample experienced a high rate of adverse events. No individual with methamphetamine use disorder received specific health care treatment. Future prospective studies on a representative sample of people who use only methamphetamine are needed to determine the causality and the effect size of methamphetamine use on the occurrence of adverse events.