UTI is a common bacterial infection in infants. It causes irreversible renal damage when it progresses to APN. Timely medication administration and adequate antibiotic duration can considerably improve the disease outcome (
2,
3). In our study, patients in APN group had higher incidence rate of VUR. Wu et al reviewed 597 infants younger than 1 year old and revealed that a positive DMSA renal scan result was a good indicator for prediction of the possibility of VUR in UTI patients (
16). It is important to recognize among UTI patients those who have APN. Both renal ultrasonography and DMSA scans are useful tools to diagnose APN. Com-pared with renal ultrasonography, DMSA scan is a more sensitive method for assessing renal defects (
18). However, these two examinations cannot be performed immediately, even at medical centers. Moreover, the sedation and radiation risks to young infants should be considered during the DMSA scan. Although our patients who received DMSA had no obvious side effects immediately, young individuals who have higher sensitivity of growing tissues than adults may have a higher risk for long-term effects from ionizing radiation (
19). Because of that, several studies have tried to determine the relationship between APN and inflammation markers. From these studies, WBC count, CRP, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), PCT, NLR, and fever duration have all been ever proposed as a linkage to APN (
6,
7,
9,
11-
13,
20-
22).
DMSA scans are the gold standard tool for evaluation of renal parenchymal defects and permanent renal scarring (
3,
5). With DMSA alone it is difficult to differentiate renal scar from APN and renal scar might be the sequel of previous APN, instead of ongoing inflammatory process. So, our inclusion criteria enrolled first time febrile UTI infants to reduce the possibility of renal scar. Renal hypodysplasia is characterized by reduced kidney size and defective kidney formation. Between the ages of 1 ~ 3 months, the suggested limits of normal kidney size was 3.5 cm ~ 6.5 cm (
23).
Table 4 shows all renal sizes of the enrolled patients which were all within normal limits in the first time renal ultrasonography. Therefore, the diagnosis of renal hypodysplasia had the minor possibility at that time.
Several researchers have suggested a relationship between APN and CRP. Han et al. demonstrated that CRP was an independent predictor of positive DMSA results (P < 0.001), and that it had acceptable discrimination (AUC: 0.726, P < 0.001) to predict APN in the age group less than 36 months (
6). Shaikh et al. used a low CRP value (< 2 mg/dL) to rule out APN. It reduced the probability of APN diagnosis to less than 20% (
7). Huang et al. also indicated that CRP had the highest sensitivity and specificity for APN prediction in the mean age group of 16 months. If the CRP level was > 6.64 mg/dL with fever for > 2 days or > 2.73 mg/dL with fever for ≤ 2 days, patients with febrile UTI should be treated under the assumption that they have APN (
8). Zhang et al. reviewed 21 studies focusing on age groups less than 16 years and illustrated that CRP had moderate accuracy to diagnose APN resulting from UTI (sensitivity: 82.6%, specificity: 66.9%, AUC: 0.81) (
12). Soylu et al. disclosed fever ≥ 38ºC and CRP > 5 mg/dL might be the predictors of VUR and high-grade VUR (
24). In our study, the CRP level was higher in the APN group, and it was also an independent risk factor predicting APN. Compared with NLR, only CRP had acceptable discrimination for APN pre-diction in the age group less than 4 months (AUC: 0.774, P < 0.001).
NLR is associated with a systemic bacterial infection in several studies (
25-
27). In various severe infections, the initial WBC count indicates an elevated neutrophil count and a decreased lymphocyte count (
27). Han et al revealed that NLR was higher in the APN group than in the group with simple UTI (P < 0.001) among the age group less than 36 months (
6). Other report also indicated higher blood neutrophil percentage and higher NLR are associated with high grade VUR (P < 0.001) (
28). In our study, NLR was predominant in the APN group (P ≤ 0.001) and was also an independent predictor for APN diagnosis (P = 0.003). However, NLR did not exhibit sufficient discrimination for APN prediction (AUC: 0.668, P ≤ 0.001).
In contrast to the non-APN group, prolonged fever with longer TDT and TRT were observed in the APN group (
8). Gilani et al. demonstrated the relevance of the fever pattern and abnormal DMSA scans for a median age group of 32.6 ± 30.8 months. Both TDT ≥ 48 h and TRT ≥ 24 h predicted an abnormal DMSA scan for the first episode of UTI. If patients had longer TDT and TRT, they were likely to exhibit positive DMSA results (
9). The same conclusion for TDT was reached by Fernandez‐Menendez et al. (
11). In our study, only TRT was an independent risk factor for APN (16.99 ± 17.00 h vs. 8.24 ± 13.95 h, P ≤ 0.001). TDT was not a significant predictor (1.15 ± 0.82 days vs. 1.03 ± 0.81 days, P = 0.284). In Taiwan, medical treatment is convenient and prompt owing to the compulsory National Health Insurance system. Few infants experienced fever for more than 2 days without receiving medical assistance, which was why TDT in the two groups was similar.
The WBC or leukocyte count can be predictors of APN in older children; they are also related with high-grade APN (
13). Ansari Gilani et al. found that a leukocyte count of more than 13,500/mm
3 predicted positive DMSA results in the mean age group of 32.6 ± 30.8 months (
9). However, in the young infantile period, the WBC range varies widely according to the age. For young infants during the period from birth to 3 months, a WBC count range of 5,000 - 21,000/mm
3 is normal (
29,
30). The WBC count and differential WBC might be influenced by various factors, including the gestational age, birth weight, and postconceptional age. It is difficult to predict neonatal sepsis other than through the WBC count and differential WBC (
26). Manroe et al. also described that if abnormal immature or total neutrophil count was detected, both infectious and noninfectious perinatal insults should be considered in neonates (
27). These results explained why the WBC count could not be used to predict APN resulting from febrile UTI in young infants.
PCT and ESR are also related with APN in several studies (
6,
10,
20). Leroy et al. reviewed 18 studies including infants with a median age of 10 months and indicated that PCT was a more robust predictor compared with CRP or WBC count for APN (
31). In our hospital, both PCT and ESR require a larger volume of blood samples. We usually acquire blood samples before acquiring urine samples. Because blood sampling is challenging in some young infants, we do not routinely perform these two examinations under an uncertain diagnosis of UTI. Few results were verified in our patients (16 patients in total; 9 in the non-APN group and 7 in the APN group). Now we are still persisting to collect the PCT and ESR data in young infants.
The limitations of our study are its limited study population and retrospective nature. Therefore, additional studies are warranted to evaluate the relationship between APN and inflammatory markers.
5.1. Conclusion
This is the first research on the prediction of APN resulting from febrile UTI specialized in the age group of less than 4 months. In this age group, some factors were influenced by perinatal and prenatal insults. CRP, NLR, and TRT were independent risk factors for APN in our study, but WBC was not related with APN. Only the CRP level had acceptable discrimination for predicting APN in infants less than 4 months old with febrile UTI. If the image survey can’t be arranged timely, CRP can be a parameter to predict the APN. In the age group less than 4 months, we should treat the APN patients longer with antibiotics if CRP exceeds 4.27 mg/dL.