In this study, we assessed the predictive impact of CD34 expression on relapse in a cohort of pediatric patients with T-ALL who underwent treatment with a standardized, risk-adapted therapy protocol. The extended follow-up period enhances the reliability of the clinical outcomes.
CD34 is expressed on hematopoietic stem cells and thymic T-cell precursors, and its expression may indicate early T-cell maturation arrest in T-ALL (
22). According to the World Health Organization (WHO) classification criteria, CD34 is associated with a unique subtype of T-ALL, early T-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ETP-ALL) (
23), but not according to TCR criteria. Despite challenges in the diagnosis and management of ETP-ALL, evidence suggests that ETP cells share similarities with hematopoietic stem cells and myeloid progenitor cells in gene expression profiling. Previous studies have reported poor outcomes in both adult and pediatric patients with ETP-ALL compared to other T-ALL subtypes (
15,
24). However, the prognostic impact of the ETP-ALL phenotype alone is a subject of debate (
25,
26), as is the relationship between leukemia-associated immunophenotype and prognosis (
8,
27). Similarly, in a study of 493 T-ALL patients, the CD34 antigen was found to have no independent prognostic significance (
8), although an earlier study did show a correlation between CD34-positive T-ALL and worse outcomes (
28). Cox regression analysis in this study showed that CD34 positivity was not associated with the risk of recurrence, even after controlling for the most significant potential confounding factors. Additional competing risk regression analyses confirmed these results and marginally narrowed the confidence intervals. Our results are consistent with those published by Pui et al. (
22). Several factors, including heterogeneity in study populations, treatment regimens, and flow cytometry sensitivity, may explain these conflicting results.
Additionally, the therapy adapted according to MRD in our study might obscure an inverse relationship between CD34 and prognosis. Although there is no consensus on the optimal timing for MRD assessment, end-induction MRD has been widely recognized as a significant predictor for risk stratification and clinical outcomes (
29,
30). Moreover, the combined effect of CD34 and MRD status on EFS might not alter the prognostic significance of MRD, but the effect is too minimal to warrant statistical analysis. It is also noteworthy that molecular and genetic heterogeneity is prevalent in CD34-positive leukemias, potentially contributing to variations in the prognostic value of CD34 expression. Indeed, a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis revealed an overrepresentation of genes associated with the JAK-STAT signaling pathway in some CD34-positive leukemias (
12).
The prognosis for pediatric T-ALL has seen significant advancements due to the adoption of intensive therapeutic strategies. Our cohort study reports a 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of 69.3%, an indicator of progress that remains modestly lower than the rates reported by Vora et al. (
31) and Burns et al. (
30). There are two potential reasons for this. First, the study was conducted over a long period, and the medical technology and economic conditions during different periods might have influenced the study results. Second, the application of risk stratification and treatment protocols for T-ALL patients at our center, which were similar to those used for B-ALL, may have inadvertently contributed to the observed suboptimal prognosis. Furthermore, the 5-year EFS of 67.6% in this study was close to the OS, underscoring the limited likelihood of achieving a second remission upon relapse in pediatric T-ALL patients. The prognosis is poor regardless of the MRD level post-induction. Identifying HR patients and applying more intensive therapy, such as hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, may be beneficial.
Nevertheless, the retrospective design introduces the risk of patient selection bias, which is the most significant limitation of the present study. Additionally, the relatively small sample size in a single center, due to the low incidence of the disease, may limit the generalizability of these findings. Finally, it is worth mentioning the absence of a power analysis. Prospective power analysis is valuable at the trial planning stage but is not applicable here. Therefore, we did not conduct a post-hoc power analysis and instead used confidence intervals to understand and interpret the results, as reported previously (
32). Due to the wide CI in our study, we cautiously accept the hypothesis that CD34 expression is not predictive of relapse in this cohort of pediatric patients with T-ALL. Nonetheless, further multicenter studies are needed to evaluate the significance of immunophenotype in the future.
Despite these limitations, we found that CD34 expression is not associated with early treatment response and relapse. This single-institution study may not be adequately powered to detect a modest predictive effect of this immunophenotype. Thus, larger multicenter studies will be needed.