The observed high heterogeneity (I2 = 80.94%) in studies evaluating TDF efficacy based on HBV DNA levels is an inherent challenge in meta-analyses involving diverse study populations and methodologies. This variability is expected given differences in baseline HBV DNA levels, maternal demographics, timing and duration of TDF administration, and follow-up protocols across studies. Rather than being a limitation, this heterogeneity reflects the real-world complexity of HBV management in pregnancy and underscores the robustness of the findings across different settings. While a meta-regression analysis could provide insights into sources of variability, it requires a sufficiently large number of studies with detailed subgroup data, which may not always be available.
Furthermore, despite heterogeneity, the pooled OR (0.25, 95% CI: 0.18 - 0.36, P < 0.001) consistently demonstrates a significant reduction in MTCT, reinforcing the clinical relevance of TDF. The statistically significant effect across studies, combined with the absence of publication bias in funnel plot analysis, supports the validity of the findings. Additionally, while absolute risk reduction and NNT provide useful clinical interpretations, the use of ORs allows for standardized comparisons across diverse study designs, making the results applicable to global maternal health strategies. Therefore, rather than undermining the conclusions, the heterogeneity reflects the broad applicability of TDF in different patient populations, reinforcing its role in HBV prevention programs.
This study provides comprehensive insights into the effectiveness of TDF in preventing MTCT of HBV. By synthesizing data from a wide range of studies, our meta-analysis demonstrates that TDF significantly reduces the risk of vertical transmission. The findings reinforce the importance of antiviral therapy in HBV-positive pregnant women and provide critical insights into the clinical and policy implications of TDF use.
5.1. Effectiveness of Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Across Different Measures of Mother-to-Child Transmission
The pooled analysis of 43 studies revealed a marked reduction in HBV transmission with TDF treatment, with a pooled OR indicating a statistically significant decrease in MTCT risk. While moderate heterogeneity (I
2 = 52.48%) was observed, the overall findings remained consistent with previous systematic reviews, such as Pan et al., which similarly reported significant protective effects of TDF. These results provide strong evidence supporting the inclusion of TDF in maternal health programs to mitigate MTCT risks (
14).
5.2. Subgroup Analysis by Trimester of Initiation
A key aspect of our study was the evaluation of TDF's effectiveness across different trimesters of pregnancy. The subgroup analysis of 18 studies showed that TDF significantly reduces MTCT risk regardless of the trimester in which it is initiated, with no observed heterogeneity (I
2 = 0.00%). This aligns with findings from Jourdain et al., which suggest that TDF remains effective whether started in the first, second, or third trimester (
16). This consistency offers flexibility for healthcare providers in determining the optimal timing for treatment initiation, addressing potential concerns regarding delayed initiation due to late HBV diagnosis.
5.3. Heterogeneity in Hepatitis B Virus DNA-Based Analyses
A notable finding was the substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 80.94%) observed in the analysis of 98 studies evaluating TDF based on HBV DNA levels. This heterogeneity likely stems from variations in study populations, HBV DNA quantification techniques, maternal viral loads at baseline, and adherence to treatment protocols. Despite these differences, the consistent overall effect reinforces the well-documented antiviral properties of TDF in reducing HBV DNA levels and consequently minimizing transmission risk. Future studies should explore meta-regression techniques to identify specific sources of variability and refine treatment recommendations based on maternal viral load stratification.
5.4. Publication Bias and Study Quality
The symmetrical funnel plots and additional statistical tests, such as Egger’s test, indicated a low risk of publication bias, thereby enhancing confidence in the robustness of our findings. Furthermore, the use of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale ensured that only high-quality studies (scores ≥ 5) were included, strengthening the reliability of the conclusions. Nonetheless, the inclusion of newer studies and real-world data from diverse populations will further validate the effectiveness of TDF in different healthcare settings.
5.5. Clinical and Policy Implications
Our findings have substantial clinical and policy implications. Given the consistent effectiveness of TDF in reducing MTCT, global health guidelines should continue to advocate for its use in HBV-positive pregnant women. The WHO currently recommends antiviral therapy in pregnant women with high viral loads, but our findings suggest that a broader implementation strategy, encompassing all HBV-positive pregnant women, could enhance elimination efforts. Policymakers should consider these data when revising national guidelines, particularly in high-prevalence regions.
Moreover, the moderate to high heterogeneity observed in some analyses underscores the need for standardized protocols to optimize treatment regimens. Establishing uniform guidelines for HBV DNA monitoring, treatment initiation, and adherence support will improve clinical outcomes and reduce transmission variability across different populations.
5.6. Long-Term Safety Considerations
While the efficacy of TDF is well-documented, long-term safety remains an essential consideration. Postpartum hepatic flares and potential impacts on maternal renal function and bone mineral density warrant further investigation. Additionally, infant outcomes following in utero TDF exposure must be evaluated through longitudinal cohort studies. Emerging data suggest that TDF does not significantly impact neonatal growth or renal function, but continued monitoring is necessary to confirm long-term safety profiles.
5.7. Conclusions
This meta-analysis reaffirms the critical role of TDF in preventing MTCT of HBV, demonstrating a significant reduction in transmission risk across various study populations and pregnancy trimesters. Despite variations in study design and maternal HBV DNA levels, the overall findings align with global health recommendations advocating for antiviral therapy in HBV-positive pregnant women. While our statistical analyses provide robust evidence supporting TDF’s effectiveness, some methodological limitations must be acknowledged, including moderate to high heterogeneity in HBV DNA-based analyses and the absence of advanced statistical approaches such as meta-regression to further delineate confounding factors.
Future studies should integrate more refined methodologies, such as hierarchical modeling and real-world longitudinal analyses, to address variability and optimize treatment protocols. Additionally, long-term safety assessments for both mothers and infants remain a priority, particularly concerning potential impacts on renal function, bone mineral density, and neurodevelopmental outcomes. Policymakers should consider expanding access to TDF as part of comprehensive HBV elimination strategies, integrating it with immunoprophylaxis measures like HBIG and birth dose vaccination. Ultimately, continued research into the economic feasibility, safety profile, and comparative effectiveness of TDF in combination with other antiviral strategies will further enhance maternal and neonatal health outcomes, bringing global HBV eradication efforts closer to reality.
Overall, the current study confirms the efficacy of TDF in preventing MTCT of HBV, with consistent results across different measures and pregnancy stages. These findings support the integration of TDF into global maternal health programs and highlight the need for ongoing research to refine and enhance prevention strategies, ultimately contributing to the global effort to eliminate HBV as a public health threat.
5.8. Limitations
Despite the strengths of this meta-analysis, including the comprehensive evaluation of TDF in preventing MTCT of HBV, there are several limitations that should be acknowledged. First, although we conducted rigorous statistical analyses, including pooled OR, heterogeneity assessments, and publication bias evaluations, the methodological approaches used have inherent constraints. Specifically, while we assessed heterogeneity using the I² statistic and performed subgroup analyses to explore sources of variability, more advanced statistical methods such as meta-regression were not comprehensively applied due to data constraints across studies. Meta-regression could have provided deeper insights into potential confounding variables, such as maternal HBV genotype variations, adherence rates to TDF treatment, and differences in HBV DNA quantification techniques. In future studies, incorporating meta-regression models and network meta-analyses could further refine our understanding of treatment effects across different patient subgroups.
Second, while our analysis included publication bias assessments through funnel plots, additional statistical tests, such as Egger’s test and Begg’s test, could strengthen the robustness of our findings. Although funnel plot symmetry suggests a low risk of publication bias, these graphical methods have limitations in detecting small-study effects, particularly in meta-analyses with moderate to high heterogeneity. Future studies should systematically incorporate multiple statistical approaches, including trim-and-fill methods, to correct for potential biases and further validate the reliability of pooled estimates. Third, the variability in study designs and populations introduces another challenge. While we conducted subgroup analyses to explore differences across trimesters and HBV DNA levels, factors such as geographic differences, healthcare settings, and variations in antiviral treatment protocols were not fully accounted for. These factors may influence treatment outcomes and should be explored in future meta-analyses using hierarchical models or Bayesian approaches to provide more precise effect estimates. Additionally, long-term follow-up data on infant outcomes post-TDF exposure remain limited in our study. While we referenced existing cohort studies, future research should prioritize longitudinal investigations to assess potential delayed effects of prenatal TDF exposure on infant development, bone mineral density, and renal function. Lastly, while our study focused on TDF monotherapy, combination strategies — including the concurrent use of TDF with HBIG and early birth-dose vaccination — were not systematically evaluated. Future meta-analyses should assess the relative efficacy of these combined interventions to determine the most effective strategies for HBV MTCT prevention.
5.9. Future Directions
Future research should focus on several key areas:
1. Long-term infant outcomes: Studies should assess neurodevelopmental and metabolic outcomes in children exposed to TDF in utero.
2. Combination therapies: Exploring the impact of TDF alongside other preventive measures, such as HBIG and birth dose vaccination, may provide enhanced protection against MTCT. Studies such as Hyun et al. suggest that combination approaches may be more effective than TDF alone (
13).
3. Cost-effectiveness analysis: Evaluating the economic feasibility of universal TDF administration versus targeted high-risk treatment will inform global and regional health policy decisions.
This meta-analysis underscores the strong protective effect of TDF in preventing MTCT of HBV and highlights its role in global HBV elimination strategies. Despite some variability across studies, the overall findings support the integration of TDF into maternal health programs, with considerations for standardizing treatment protocols and ensuring long-term safety monitoring. Further research addressing heterogeneity, combination therapies, and infant outcomes will refine future clinical guidelines and enhance HBV prevention efforts worldwide.