Although gestational diabetes is one of the well-known complications of pregnancy, its exact prevalence is unknown in Iran. In a review study on epidemiology of GDM in Iran, the prevalence of GDM was reported to be almost 4% in Tehran. In other parts of country, its incidence varied between 1.3% - 11.9% (
15). It seems, these differences arise from using the various methods for screening of GDM, different diagnostic criteria or the existence of different ethnic groups living in Iran, which make the comparison of prevalence of GDM in different parts of country difficult. In this study, 9.6% of participants had been affected by GDM. It is obvious that this number does not represent the true prevalence of GDM due to the fact that older and multiparous women were excluded from the study.
For years, the relationship between BMI and GDM has been proven. Having a BMI equal to or more than 30 kg/m
2 is a major risk factor of GDM, therefore, all women with a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m
2 in the first trimester of pregnancy, a diagnostic test (OGTT, using 75 g) at 24 - 28 weeks was recommended by national institute for health and clinical excellence (NICE) (
19). This study confirmed that women with BMI > 29 kg/m
2 in early pregnancy have a higher chance of being affected by GDM in the 2nd trimester of pregnancy.
Although, obese women are more exposed to Type 2 diabetes, most researchers have believed that abdominal obesity have a greater role in this regard. On the other hand, BMI cannot differentiate being overweight caused by increased in fat from that caused by increased in muscle mass (
20). In a study on Asian white women, it was shown that diabetes had a stronger relationship with WC (as a marker of central obesity) and WHR than BMI (
21), which had been found by Ford et al. (
22) previously. In a study in Iran, the WHtR was a better predictor of diabetes than BMI (
23). Although studies on the predictors of GDM is not as wide as diabetes, some researchers suggested that the risk factors of GDM and diabetes mellitus are the same and their prevalence are also similar (
24). Visceral adiposity, independently to BMI, is associated with an increase in insulin resistance (
25) and the risk of GDM (
26). Martin et al. measured the visceral and subcutaneous fat depth using the ultrasound machine at 11 - 14 weeks of gestation and studied their differences in having a positive GCT (50 g glucose challenge test) at 24 - 28 weeks. According to their findings, visceral adiposity was accompanied with a higher risk of GDM (
26). Ultrasound facilities and sonographer are not available in public mother’s health care centers in Iran; therefore, we used WC, WHtR, and WHR as abdominal obesity indices.
In the present study, logistic regression analysis revealed that WC, WHtR, WHR, and serum concentration of triglycerides before 10 weeks of gestation, independent of age, were predictors of GDM. Brisson and colleagues studied the association of WC and hypertriglyceridemia in the first trimester of pregnancy with GDM in 144 pregnant mothers. They concluded that women with WC greater than 85 cm accompanied by hypertriglyceridemia, known as “hypertriglyceridemic waist phenotype”, are more likely to be diagnosed with GDM (
27). Lipids metabolism in mothers alters during pregnancy and the serum concentration of triglycerides begins to arise after 10 weeks of pregnancy (
28), thus, its serum levels before 10 weeks can be considered as its concentration before pregnancy. According to our results, the serum levels of TG more than 200 mg in mothers planning for pregnancy can be a valid predictor of GDM. Although the maternal serum triglycerides do not apparently transfer via placenta, its higher levels have detrimental effects on insulin resistance, especially in women with GDM, which can result macrosomia in infants. It is shown that women with GDM in combination with hypertriglyceridemia have a higher chance to deliver an LGA newborn than others (
29). Therefore, it seems that hypertriglyceridemia can not only have a possible role in mechanism of GDM but can also be a predictor of some complications such a macrosomia, independent of maternal fasting plasma glucose levels (
29). Seemingly, screening of hypertriglyceridemia and early intervention to modify serum levels of TG, especially before pregnancy, can be a new research field in early and effective prevention of GDM. Increasing the prevalence of obesity and Type 2 diabetes (
30,
31) worldwide is a warning sign of rising in the frequency of GDM in future. In a period of 3 years, from 1999 to 2002, the prevalence of obesity among Iranian women increased 6% while the incidence of abdominal obesity increased 2 times among 20 - 29 year old women in the same time (
32). Currently, 53% of Iranian women are overweight or obese (
33). All of these accompanied with unfavorable lifestyle routines will lead to increasing in prevalence of GDM in next years among Iranian mothers; thus, there is a crucial need to develop some accessible and inexpensive approaches to early prediction of GDM and prevention of its complications.
We used the criteria of the IADPSG as a diagnostic tool for GDM due to its wide use around the world. It is worth noting that, according to the guideline of prenatal care, these criteria are used to diagnose GDM in public health care centers in Iran. Although age and parity are risk factors of GDM and the history of previous pregnancies provides valuable information about the likelihood of GDM in current pregnancy, for controlling the confounding variables, multiparous and older women were excluded from the study. All biochemical analyses were done in the same referral laboratory, however, due to the study plan, the measurement of other parameters including BMI, WC, WHtR, and WHR, by the same midwife, was impossibl; thus, we had to use 6 trained midwives in 6 health centers. The other limitation of this study was the racial homogeneity of the participants. On the other hand, the prevalence of GDM in Urmia is higher than the other parts of the country (
15), which may limit the generalization of our findings. However, we think it cannot be a major concern due to the fact that other studies have shown the effects of abdominal obesity and hypertriglyceridemia on impaired glucose tolerance on different population (
27).