Recurrence poses a significant challenge in the treatment of GM. Studies have reported recurrence rates of GM ranging from 11.7% up to 47.5% (
7,
10-
14). In the study, the recurrence rate of GM was 33%, placing it within the mid-range. This underscores the fact that a considerable proportion of GM cases experience one or more recurrences, even after initial treatment. Recurrence complicates the long-term management of the disease and the achievement of remission, putting patients at risk of ongoing symptoms, complications, and the need for continuous surveillance. Various factors may influence the recurrence of GM, including patient-related, disease-related, and treatment-related factors. In this survey, an evaluation of multiple available factors based on previous studies and collective experience that might potentially contribute to GM recurrence was conducted.
In our study regarding demographic and patient-related factors, the level of education and occupation were not significantly related to GM recurrence, which is following the results of the study by Basim et al. (
9). The studies of The other studies (n = 60) with rather a large series in the literature were those, in which some demographic characteristics could be related to IGM (
18). This is because our study was conducted between the same race and all were Iranian from the same geographical regions only age while education and occupation were not significantly related to recurrence.
However, a significant association between higher BMI and a higher recurrence rate was discovered when assessing the effect of BMI on recurrence. In the study, the average BMI for the non-recurrent group was 26.05 kg/m
2, while for the recurrent group, it was 28.31 kg/m
2 (P = 0.023), although BMI does not show the breast volume and fat tissue extent but this may be because of the faster spread of inflammation in adipose tissue (
19). This contradicts Basim et al.’s (
9) findings but aligns with two other studies by Yilmaz et al. (
20) and Huang and Wu (
10), which concluded that BMI is associated with GM recurrence. Various gynecological and obstetric factors that were supposed to influence GM recurrence, including the number of pregnancies, history of abortion, history, and duration of breastfeeding, and intervals between disease onset and the last pregnancy or lactation, were examined. Among these factors, only the duration of lactation was significantly associated with GM recurrence, with an average time of 16.95 months for the non-recurrent group and 22.44 months for the recurrent group (P = 0.000). This contrasts with the results of a systematic review involving 4 735 patients, which suggested that both lactation history and pregnancy history were related to GM recurrence (
7). Yilmaz et al. (
20) and Basim et al. (
9) reported conflicting findings on this matter, possibly due to variations in sample size or other underlying serological disturbances, such as high serum prolactin levels, which have been implicated in GM recurrence in some studies (
10,
21). It should be mentioned that breast lobules secret milk (protein-rich liquid) during lactation, due to prolactin stimulation, and the ducts remain dilated. Moreover, prolonged breastfeeding would lead to long-term distention of acini and ducts, facilitating rupture and injury of these structures as well as resulting in a granulomatous inflammatory response (
22).
Granulomatous mastitis is classified among autoimmune diseases, so its relationship with and co-occurrence with rheumatologic diseases like rheumatoid arthritis and diabetes mellitus could yield valuable insights into GM recurrence. Consistent with similar studies, rheumatologic and thyroidal diseases were more prevalent among GM recurrence cases, with P-values of 0.000 and 0.040, respectively. However, aftfer logistic regression analysis, the thyroidal disease could not significantly predict GM recurrence (P = 0.281) (
Table 6) (
9). A recent review article by Parperis et al. (
23) concluded that GM is associated with various autoimmune rheumatologic diseases (ARDs), including sarcoidosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, granulomatosis with polyangiitis, psoriasis/psoriatic arthritis, familial Mediterranean fever, ankylosing spondylitis, Sjogren's syndrome, rheumatoid arthritis, and erythema nodosum, with the most common being granulomatous mastitis-erythema nodosum-arthritis syndrome (GMENA), granulomatosis with polyangiitis (Wegener's), and sarcoidosis (
23). This finding may prompt healthcare providers to more closely monitor patients with a history of ARDs to detect GM recurrence.
Regarding disease signs and symptoms, neither pain nor nipple discharge were related to GM recurrence, consistent with the findings of a study conducted by Basim et al. (
9). Instead, cutaneous manifestations, including GMENA, were more prevalent in recurrent cases, in line with several other studies (
8,
9,
14,
20). This may be because of no differentiation by nipple discharge.
There were conflicting results in various studies regarding the role of treatment modality (medical, surgical, combination, or observation) in GM recurrence. While some studies suggested that surgical intervention could result in a higher recurrence rate, others indicated that surgical and combination therapies led to better outcomes, including a lower recurrence rate (
11,
14,
24,
25). Although not statistically significant, it was observed that patients undergoing combination treatment experienced more recurrence than other groups. This observation could be attributed to the small sample size of each group and the inherently more aggressive nature of primary GM in patients, who received combination therapies, which is a limitation of retrospective observational studies. A recent review article by Fattahi et al. (
7) with a large sample size concluded that the choice between surgery or immunosuppression should be based on disease severity, patient preferences, and treatment complications. They also suggested that antibiotic therapy and observation could be sufficient for primary GM with fewer symptoms.
Finally, a logistic regression model was designed to predict GM recurrence, with an accuracy of 84.4% for recurrent patients and 83.3% for all patients. In this study, we used factors including abortion history, breastfeeding and its duration, combined treatment, pain, erythema nodusom, hypertension, thyroid or rheumatologic disease, dermatologic or joint signs, and BMI to design the prediction model. Basim et al. (
9) also developed a predictive model, finding that factors such as serum vitamin B12 levels, accompanying rheumatologic disease, fistula, number of complaints, erythema nodosum, multicentricity of GM, and treatment modality could be utilized to predict GM recurrence with an accuracy of 85%, similar to the conclusion reached here. Yilmaz et al. (
20) introduced a scoring system based on data from 53 patients, which included the number of births, duration of lactation, BMI, luminal inflammation, presence of fistula, and abscess collection to predict GM recurrence accurately.
5.1. Conclusions
Granulomatous mastitis is a chronic inflammatory disorder affecting breast tissue and its recurrence rate of GM is reported to range between 11.7% and 47.5. Regarding this impotence, this paper aims at employing a retrospective approach to compile an extensive dataset of clinical information to identify potential risk factors associated with GM recurrence. For this purpose, data on pathologically confirmed cases of GM are retrospectively collected from the medical archives of the Shahid Beheshti Cancer Research Center from March 2020 to February 2023. Then, the descriptive statistics are utilized to analyze demographic information, disease-related variables, patient-related variables, and details regarding treatment modalities. Given the rarity of GM, we could conduct this study with a sample size of 100, which was quite great. We concluded that abortion history, breastfeeding, and duration, combined treatment, pain, erythema nodusom, hypertension, thyroid or rheumatologic disease, dermatologic or joint signs, and BMI could be significant factors related to the recurrence of GM. On the contrary, single modality treatment, occupation or level of education, nipple discharge, smoking, and history of breast cancer were unrelated to GM recurrence. Future studies especially systematic review articles with larger sample sizes over multiple centers as well as longer follow may lead to obtaining improved prediction models.