4.1. BCG Vaccination
The
Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) is a live attenuated vaccine consisted of the bacteria causing bovine tuberculosis (
Mycobacterium bovis). It was produced approximately 100 years ago and when administered under the skin (intradermally) to a newborn child, it protects them from the severe and disseminating disease manifestations of human tuberculosis (caused by
Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection). Amazingly,
BCG vaccination seems to not only protect children against severe tuberculosis, but offers non-specific protective effects against other respiratory tract infections approved by
in-vitro and
in-vivo studies, and thus this vaccine is being repurposed to ensure if it can reduce morbidity and mortality rates associated with COVID-19 infection (
47-
50).
Numerous studies have been undertaken to discover a link between
BCG vaccination and susceptibility to COVID-19 infection. Previous studies have shown
BCG vaccine, a weakened type of
Mycobacterium bovis, can increase
CD4+ cells, IFN-γ, and interleukin-3 (
47). In addition, the vaccine reduced infant mortality, independent of reducing the incidence of tuberculosis (
51).
Among several studies, examining the hypothesis of
BCG vaccination on decreasing COVID-19 was a critical debate, some have supported this hypothesis (
47,
50,
52,
53) meanwhile others rejected it (
54,
55).
Miller et al. (2020) reported that along with the
BCG vaccination plan, the starting time of universal
BCG policy also imparts a critical role in the intensity of COVID-19 disease in different countries. Countries such as the United States, Italy, and the Netherlands that have never had a public vaccination program and
BCG vaccination was limited to high-risk groups, experienced a large number of severe conditions considering COVID-19 epidemic. However, countries such as Iran have experienced a high mortality rate despite the public vaccination policy as the starting time of universal
BCG policy was late (1984) having their elderly population not being vaccinated (
50).
In a comprehensive study, Shet et al. (2020) examined the effect of
BCG vaccination on COVID-19 mortality. In this study, they tried to eliminate other factors affecting the mortality rate of COVID-19. Therefore, to overcome the pervasive challenge of differential epidemic time on the mortality rate of this disease, the time of examination is considered since the observation time of the 100th case of infection in each country. To eradicate the age average and economic status of countries, they categorized the studied countries in terms of per capita
GDP and population over 65 years of age. Statistics showed that COVID-19 mortality in low-income countries that typically have a younger population has the lowest rate (
51).
In another study, Hines investigated the effect of
BCG vaccination policy on the mortality rate of COVID-19 by employing a simple linear regression model. Correspondingly, countries were divided into three groups based on the vaccination policy: current national
BCG vaccination policy, past national
BCG vaccination policy, and vaccination of specific groups or none. Consequently, it was observed that the COVID-19 mortality rate was lower in countries with the current national
BCG vaccination policy compared to the other policies (
52).
Dayal and Gupta prepared a brief report and declared that among countries with high COVID-19 restrictions including China, Italy, the United States, Iran, Spain, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Germany and France, the case fatality rates (
CFR) of COVID-19 was lower in countries executing universal
BCG vaccination policy (
56). Akiyama and Ishida analyzed the effect of
BCG vaccination on COVID-19 mortality in groups of 30 years of age. Moreover, they applied death doubling time (
DT) instead of
CFR to minimize the effect of the epidemic stage on mortality. The final results revealed that
DT in the vaccinated group was higher than the unvaccinated group. Furthermore, they reported that
DT in countries using Tokyo 172-1 strain was lower than the receivers of other strains (
53).
All of these studies have approved the effect of BCG vaccination on reducing COVID-19 mortality and morbidity although it is suggested to categorize countries in terms of their BCG vaccination coverage instead of BCG vaccination policy.
Contrary to the aforementioned studies which are in agreement with
BCG vaccination effect on COVID-19 incidence reduction, another study indicated that countries with less than 89%
BCG vaccination coverage (such as Finland, Sweden, South Africa, Greenland, Iceland, Iran) did seem to have a higher corona-related fatality. The study found that deaths from COVID-19 were more correlated with tuberculosis incidence than with
BCG vaccination (negative correlation), therefore, the author examined
LTBI (latent
TB infection) and concluded that countries with higher
LTBI have lower
CFR. Moreover, it was reported that this correlation does not prove any effects of
LTBI on COVID-19 as countries with a high burden of the disease have high economic relationships and tourist exchanges with China (
55). Another study came to a completely contradictory result considering other studies in the effect of
BCG vaccination on reducing COVID-19 incidence and mortality. The author expressed that although protestants avoided any vaccination due to their religious beliefs in the Netherlands, the disease reflected a lower incidence in protestants than catholic.
Besides, Denmark with 63 percent protestant individuals, was reported to have fewer COVID-19 cases in comparison to other countries. These results were completely inconsistent with previous results concerning
BCG vaccination on reducing COVID-19 mortality. The low incidence of disease in protestants was attributed to the prohibition of participation in carnivals, thus it is necessary to consider the socio-structural together with cultural factors in such studies (
55).
Hensel et al. (2020) confirmed a lower incidence of COVID-19 in countries with current universal
BCG vaccination policy even though the policies of these countries were not different and the countries that never had a universal
BCG policy or those countries with a
BCG vaccination policy in the past (
54).
Even if this hypothesis is correct, will vaccination of the elderly, who are among the most vulnerable people, protect them against COVID-19? Shet et al. reported that three times of injections during a month significantly reduced upper respiratory infections in people over 65 years of age as well as viremia in adults. Given this fact and considering that the
BCG vaccine has been administered more and bears safer profile among other vaccines (
51), it makes sense to design a clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy of this vaccine concerning the current COVID-19 crisis. Last but not least, it is recommended to consider other factors such as vaccine brand, virus strain used in a vaccine, etc. in future studies.
4.2. MMR (Measles, Mumps, and Rubella) Vaccination
Measles, mumps, and rubella are all viral diseases that can lead to serious consequences. The measles-mumps-rubella (
MMR) vaccine is comprised of live-attenuated strains of these viruses, considered as a safe and effective way to prevent these diseases, especially in young children. Interestingly, young children do not seem to be overly susceptible to COVID-19 while they are infected by other diseases. One hypothesis to elaborate on this phenomenon is related to the formed antibodies against measles (due to the
MMR vaccine) acting as cross-reactive agents concerning
SARS-CoV-2 (
57). Thus,
MMR vaccination may be an effective action against COVID-19. The homology between amino acid sequences of COVID-19 macrodomain and rubella virus has led to the design of a study to investigate the effect of
MMR vaccination on COVID-19 incidence and mortality. In this regard, Young et al. designed a study to analyze
MMR vaccination protection against COVID-19. In this study,
MMR vaccination policies in three countries with high COVID-19 burden, namely, Germany, Italy and Spain were explored. The study reported that age groups without
MMR vaccination coverage had the lowest levels of immunity against COVID-19. Besides, the macrodomain of the new Coronavirus could be detected by antibodies generated against rubella virus. In COVID-19-infected cases, rubella specific IgG level increased as much as a secondary rubella infection. Ultimately, the results of this study indicated that although
MMR vaccination may not prevent COVID-19 infection, it can improve the immunity of individuals against the disease. To ensure the accuracy of this hypothesis, it is necessary to design a study to prepare individual-based data in the targeted population (
57).