Peripheral ill-defined opacity was retained at both penalty levels and in 95.1% of bootstrap resamples, whereas CT-ECV was retained at lambda-min and in 76.5% of resamples but not at lambda-1se, indicating greater stability of the morphologic sign. Internal validation showed modest and uncertain discrimination (out-of-fold AUC, 0.632; 95% CI, 0.522 - 0.737), with the lower confidence bound close to chance. A calibration slope of 0.645 and a Brier score only marginally better than the prevalence-only benchmark provided direct evidence of residual overfitting. Although repeated nested cross-validation limits within-cohort optimism, it does not establish transportability across institutions, scanners, or acquisition protocols. Given the small number of outcomes relative to the number of candidate parameters (
13), the model should not be used for individual risk estimation or surgical decision-making before larger-scale external validation.
Peripheral ill-defined opacity may reflect microscopic alveolar involvement, local inflammation, or early extension along air-containing spaces. Prior CT studies have reported associations between STAS and tumor morphology or peritumoral abnormalities (
9). Clinicoradiologic models have also shown that conventional CT features can contribute to preoperative assessment (
14,
15). In the present study, high selection stability was accompanied by almost perfect interobserver agreement, supporting reproducibility under the study conditions. Nevertheless, external reader and multicenter validation remain necessary. The greater stability of this visually assessed but highly reproducible morphologic sign, relative to CT-ECV, supports cautious, staged validation of the quantitative biomarker before it is combined with morphology in any composite clinical score.
Preoperative STAS research now spans semantic CT, PET/CT, radiomics, and deep learning, but reviews emphasize heterogeneity in methods and validation (
16,
17). Quantitative spectral and dual-energy CT parameters have also been associated with STAS (
18,
19). PET/CT nomograms and automated deep-learning models have reported promising discrimination, although their complexity and transportability remain concerns (
20,
21). Multicenter radiomics-deep-learning and validated clinicoradiologic models further support imaging-based assessment, but independent validation remains essential (
22,
23). Against this background, the modest performance of our CT morphology and CT-ECV approach should be interpreted cautiously rather than as evidence of clinical readiness.
Evidence for CT-ECV was less consistent. Both unadjusted analyses were borderline, CT-ECV was retained only at lambda-min, and the adjusted odds ratio should therefore be considered exploratory. STAS has been associated with higher International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer grade and aggressive histologic patterns (
24). Preoperative histopathologic studies have likewise linked STAS with micropapillary or solid components (
25), while epithelial-mesenchymal transition and stromal-cell alterations may contribute to cell detachment and air-space dissemination (
26,
27). Higher CT-ECV could therefore reflect stromal expansion, desmoplasia, inflammation, or extracellular-matrix remodeling rather than STAS itself. Because histologic subtype and quantitative stromal markers were unavailable, the study cannot determine whether CT-ECV is an independent correlate, surrogate, confounder, or mediator.
Measurement location may also influence the relationship between CT-ECV and STAS. Central tumor ROIs were used to reduce contamination from aerated lung and edge partial-volume effects, but STAS occurs beyond the tumor border. Future studies should compare central, peripheral-rim, and immediately peritumoral CT-ECV using co-registered unenhanced and venous-phase images, standardized spatial ROIs, and volumetric or voxel-wise methods. ROI-based CT-ECV remeasurement showed good relative reproducibility but limited absolute agreement: the ICC was 0.890, yet the Bland-Altman limits of -8.62% to 8.91% were wide relative to the cohort median. These findings reflect repeated ROI placement and attenuation measurement on the same CT examinations rather than true scan-rescan reliability. For future clinical implementation, standardized ROI placement, same-day hematocrit measurement, acquisition timing, and prospective scan-rescan or volumetric assessments should be evaluated.
The weak correlation between lymphovascular invasion and STAS suggests shared malignant potential but incomplete overlap between alveolar and lymphovascular dissemination. A meta-analysis has suggested a possible benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in resected stage I STAS-positive disease (
28). Real-world multicenter data also reinforce the adverse prognostic relevance of STAS (
29). Because recurrence and survival were not evaluated according to combined pathologic findings in this cohort, our correlation results remain hypothesis-generating.
This study has several limitations. The surgically selected cohort represents a narrow clinical and radiologic spectrum. Patients managed without surgery, those with medically inoperable or unresectable disease, and those with pure ground-glass or part-solid nodules were not represented; therefore, the observed STAS prevalence and imaging associations should not be generalized to screening populations. Other limitations include the small sample (4.42 STAS-positive outcomes per candidate parameter), single-center design, absence of external validation, and residual instability despite penalization. Histologic subtype and quantitative stromal or cell-adhesion markers were unavailable, and reader agreement was assessed within one institution. CT-ECV was measured using a single-slice central ROI; peripheral or peritumoral CT-ECV could not be assessed. Nonsimultaneous hematocrit measurement and use of a single scanner and protocol further limit precision and transportability. Multicenter studies should standardize acquisition and ROI methods and consider cross-calibration before pooling CT-ECV values across systems.
In conclusion, peripheral ill-defined opacity was the most stable imaging contributor to STAS assessment in surgically resected 1 - 3 cm CT-solid lung adenocarcinoma, whereas CT-ECV showed a less consistent association. Given modest discrimination, limited calibration, and measurement variability, these findings remain exploratory and require validation in substantially larger multicenter cohorts before clinical use.