1. Context
2. Evidence Acquisition
3. Results
3.1. Rethinking Cancer-Associated Thrombosis
| Studies | Population | ICI Agent(s) | Sample Size | Follow-Up | Key Findings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sussman et al. (2025) (28) | Mixed cancers | PD-1 (76%), PD-L1 (13%), CTLA-4 (4%), CTLA-4/PD-1 combination (7%) | 10,638 | 25.1 months | 6-month cumulative VTE: 7.6% (95% CI 7.1 - 8.1%); 12-month: 11.1% (95% CI 10.5 - 11.8%); median time to VTE: 5.4 months; dual CTLA-4/PD-1 increased VTE risk vs. PD-1 (HR 1.43); PD-L1 reduced risk vs. PD-1 (HR 0.79); anticoagulation post-ICI (non-VTE indication) reduced VTE risk by 40% (HR 0.60) |
| Gong et al. (2021) (19) | Mixed cancers | Anti-PD-1 (75%), anti-PD-L1 (10%), anti-CTLA-4 (8%), combination (7%) | 2,854 | 194 days post-ICI | VTE incidence: 7.4% at 6 months, 13.8% at 1 year; VTE risk > 4-fold higher after ICI vs. pre-ICI (HR 4.98, 95% CI 3.65 - 6.79, p < 0.001); risk factors: age < 65, hypertension (HR 1.37), Khorana score ≥ 2 (HR 1.54); melanoma associated with lower VTE risk (HR 0.59) |
| van Lent et al. (2025) (3) | Mixed cancers | Nivolumab (30%), pembrolizumab (35%), ipilimumab (7%), combination (20%) | 663 | Variable | Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate vs. general population: venous thrombosis 22.7-fold higher (95% CI 16.6 - 31.0), MI 3.0-fold higher (95% CI 1.2 - 7.1), ischemic stroke 3.2-fold higher (95% CI 1.6 - 5.7); gynecologic malignancy associated with increased VTE risk (HR 6.7); VTE during follow-up associated with 2.3-fold increased mortality |
| Khorana et al. (2023) (33) | Advanced NSCLC (stage IV) | ICI-based (monotherapy or combination without chemo) | 2,299 | 9.1 months | VTE incidence rate per 100 person-years: 13.5 (ICI-based), 18.0 (chemo-based), 22.4 (ICI+chemo); 6-month cumulative VTE: 8.1% (ICI-based), 10.9% (chemo-based), 12.8% (ICI+chemo); ICI-based associated with 26% lower VTE risk vs. chemo (HR 0.74, p = 0.03); risk factors: prior radiation (HR 1.25) and severe obesity |
| Connors et al. (2023) (36) | Mixed cancers | Pembrolizumab (49.7%), nivolumab (31.8%), ipilimumab, atezolizumab, durvalumab | 10,638 | 25.1 months | Cumulative VTE incidence: 7.6% at 6 months, 11.1% at 1 year, 13.8% at 2 years; ipilimumab associated with highest VTE risk (HR 1.90 vs. pembrolizumab); durvalumab lowest risk (HR 0.59); anticoagulation post-ICI (non-VTE indication) associated with 41% VTE risk reduction (HR 0.59) |
| Roopkumar et al. (2021) (14) | Mixed cancers | Nivolumab (52%), pembrolizumab (27%), atezolizumab (10%), nivolumab+ipilimumab (6%) | 1,686 | 14.6 months | VTE incidence: 24% (404/1,686); 6-month cumulative VTE: 7.1%; 12-month: 10.9%; VTE associated with decreased OS (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06 - 1.41, p = 0.008); patients who developed VTE had higher pre-treatment levels of MDSCs (p = 0.0045), IL-8 (p = 0.016), and sVCAM-1 (p = 0.038) |
| Vladić et al. (2025) (11) | Mixed cancers | ICI monotherapy (15.4%), ICI+chemo (16.6%), ICI+targeted (1.6%) – 33.6% received ICI | 806 | 11.8 months | 6-month cumulative VTE incidence: 11.2% (95% CI 9.0 - 13.3); performance of VTE risk scores: CAT Score best (c-statistic 0.65), Khorana score poor (c-statistic 0.53), COMPASS-CAT worst (c-statistic 0.50); traditional Khorana parameters (Hb, platelets, WBC, BMI) not significantly associated with VTE |
| Icht et al. (2021) (32) | Advanced NSCLC | Single-agent ICI (nivolumab 67%, pembrolizumab 26%, ipilimumab+nivolumab 2%) | 345 | 6 months | 6-month cumulative VTE: 4.5% (ICI) vs. 7.1% (chemotherapy) (HR for chemo 1.6, 95% CI 0.66 - 3.9); Khorana score did not stratify VTE risk in ICI cohort (high-risk HR 0.17, 95% CI 0.02 - 1.36) but showed trend toward risk stratification in chemotherapy cohort (high-risk HR 3.04, 95% CI 0.82 - 11.22) |
a Abbreviations: CTLA-4, cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4; CTVPA, computed tomography venography and pulmonary angiography; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; GI, gastrointestinal; GU, genitourinary; HR, hazard ratio; ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor; IL-8, interleukin-8; irAE, immune-related adverse event; MDSC, myeloid-derived suppressor cell; MI, myocardial infarction; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; NSCLC, non-small cell lung cancer; OS, overall survival; PD-1, programmed cell death protein 1; PD-L1, programmed death-ligand 1; PE, pulmonary embolism; RCC, renal cell carcinoma; sVCAM-1, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1; VTE, venous thromboembolism. Unless otherwise specified, ICI exposure refers to monotherapy or combination therapy without concurrent chemotherapy. Effect sizes represent adjusted hazard ratios or odds ratios from multivariable analyses or cumulative incidence estimates with competing risk adjustment where specified.
3.2. Immunothrombosis: A Plausible Mechanistic Link
3.3. Clinical Implications for Oncologists
| Clinical Domain | Practical Implication | Suggested Clinical Approach |
|---|---|---|
| Recognition of Thrombotic Risk | Thrombotic complications during ICI monotherapy may represent a distinct immune-mediated cardiovascular toxicity rather than only conventional cancer-associated thrombosis | Incorporate venous and arterial thrombosis into routine cardio-oncology surveillance during ICI therapy |
| Timing of Events | Many thrombotic events occur within the first 6 months of treatment | Increase vigilance and clinical monitoring during early treatment cycles |
| Spectrum of Complications | Both venous and arterial events may occur, including VTE, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke | Maintain broad differential diagnosis when new cardiopulmonary or neurologic symptoms arise |
| Association with irAEs | Thrombosis may overlap with other immune-related adverse events (e.g., pneumonitis, colitis, rash, hepatitis) | Consider thrombotic evaluation in patients entering a more inflammatory phase of treatment toxicity |
| Risk Assessment Limitations | Conventional CAT models may underestimate risk in patients receiving ICIs | Supplement standard risk tools with individualized clinical judgment and inflammatory assessment |
| Baseline Evaluation | Preexisting cardiovascular and thrombotic risk factors remain important | Assess prior thrombosis, cardiovascular disease, obesity, metastatic burden, platelet count, and cancer type before ICI initiation |
| Role of Biomarkers | Biomarkers such as CRP and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio may reflect immune-driven thrombotic risk | Consider serial inflammatory marker monitoring in selected high-risk patients, while recognizing current lack of validation |
| Diagnostic Vigilance | Symptoms may be misattributed to cancer progression or general treatment effects | Promptly investigate unexplained dyspnea, chest pain, syncope, neurologic deficits, tachycardia, or unilateral swelling |
| Multidisciplinary Management | Optimal care often requires collaboration across specialties | Coordinate management between oncology, cardiology, hematology, thrombosis, and emergency medicine teams |
| Anticoagulation Strategy | Evidence for universal prophylactic anticoagulation remains insufficient | Use individualized anticoagulation decisions based on thrombotic and bleeding risks |
| Immunotherapy Continuation | Stopping ICIs after thrombosis may not always be necessary | Make treatment continuation decisions through multidisciplinary discussion balancing oncologic benefit and vascular risk |
| Research Implications | Current evidence is largely retrospective and heterogeneous | Support development of prospective registries, biomarker-guided stratification, and randomized prophylaxis trials |
| Cardio-oncology Framework | ICI-associated thrombosis may warrant inclusion within irCVT definitions | Expand institutional cardio-oncology protocols to include thrombotic surveillance and management pathways |
a Abbreviations: ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor; VTE, venous thromboembolism; irAEs, immune-related adverse events; CAT, cancer-associated thrombosis; CRP, C-reactive protein; irCVT, immune-related cardiovascular toxicity.
3.4. Toward a Practical Risk-Adapted Strategy
Proposed risk-adapted approach to ICI-associated thrombosis. The framework integrates four components: (1) baseline risk assessment (prior thrombosis, cardiovascular risk factors, inflammatory biomarkers); (2) dynamic monitoring at 8- to 12-week intervals (assessment for new irAEs and thrombotic symptoms); (3) management of confirmed thrombotic events (anticoagulation, multidisciplinary cardio-oncology review, individualized ICI continuation); and (4) long-term follow-up with registry documentation. Abbreviations: ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor; irAE, immune-related adverse event; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; PE, pulmonary embolism.
