This study investigated the impact of calyceal hydrostatic status on outcomes following PCNL. The principal finding is that accessing a hydronephrotic calyx was independently associated with a significantly higher risk of long-term (12-month) follow-up CKD progression, despite demonstrating equivalent safety and efficacy in all perioperative metrics, including SFRs, bleeding, and infective complications. Even after controlling for the significant difference in baseline renal function and other potential confounders through multivariable analysis, access through a hydronephrotic calyx was identified as an independent predictor for CKD progression, with patients having over four times the adjusted odds of functional decline.
The equivalence in perioperative outcomes between the two groups underscores the robustness of modern PCNL. The fact that factors such as operative time, hemoglobin drop, and SFR were comparable suggests that, with contemporary imaging and surgical expertise, accessing a dilated calyx does not present a greater technical challenge or immediate risk (
17,
18). This aligns with a growing body of evidence indicating that procedural success is more strongly influenced by surgeon experience and integrated surgical protocols than by specific anatomical variations like hydronephrosis (
4,
9). The high SFRs achieved in both cohorts further reinforce that the presence of hydronephrosis should not deter surgeons from selecting the most direct and efficient calyceal access for achieving complete stone-free status.
A particularly insightful finding was the lack of an increased bleeding risk in the hydronephrotic group. This contradicts the conventional surgical intuition that a thinned, dilated parenchyma might be more vulnerable to vascular injury. Our results, supported by multivariate analysis controlling for tract size and stone burden, suggest that the determinants of bleeding are multifactorial and may be more related to endophytic stone location, polar arterial anatomy, and the precision of puncture rather than the degree of calyceal dilation itself (
19,
20). This finding is reassuring and indicates that the fear of increased hemorrhage should not be a primary factor in avoiding a hydronephrotic calyx if it is the optimal access point.
The most critical finding of this study is the strong and independent association between hydronephrotic access and CKD progression. This is unlikely to be a consequence of the surgical act itself, but rather a reflection of the underlying renal pathology. A hydronephrotic calyx is often the end-result of chronic obstruction, which leads to irreversible parenchymal damage through mechanisms such as tubular atrophy, interstitial fibrosis, and apoptotic loss of nephrons (
15,
21,
22). Therefore, we posit that the hydronephrotic calyx serves as a macroscopic marker of a kidney that has already suffered a significant loss of its functional reserve. In such kidneys, even the well-controlled ischemic and inflammatory stress of a PCNL procedure may be sufficient to unmask this latent vulnerability and tip the scale towards measurable CKD progression (
23-
25). This hypothesis is further supported by the higher baseline prevalence of chronic kidney disease CKD in our hydronephrotic group, indicating a pre-existing susceptibility.
The primary clinical implication of our study is that the identification of a hydronephrotic calyx on preoperative imaging should trigger a more comprehensive renal functional assessment and a dedicated long-term follow-up plan. While PCNL remains the definitive treatment for removing the obstruction, it does not reverse the chronic damage already inflicted upon the renal parenchyma. Surgeons should manage these patients with the understanding that they are treating a pathologically distinct kidney with reduced functional reserve. Preoperative counseling should accordingly address not only the high likelihood of procedural success but also the importance of ongoing renal surveillance postoperatively. This is especially relevant in light of evolving technological advancements that improve perioperative safety but do not eliminate the renal vulnerability associated with chronic obstruction-related damage (
17-
20,
26).
These findings align with contemporary evidence demonstrating that improvements in imaging technology, tract dilation systems, and endoscopic instruments have standardized PCNL outcomes across diverse renal anatomies (
17,
18,
26). Recent studies on robot-assisted and 3D imaging guidance further show that enhanced procedural precision minimizes anatomical variability as a risk factor (
17,
18). Contemporary comparative studies of traditional versus mini-percutaneous nephrolithotomy similarly report that tract size, stone burden, and patient comorbidities — not hydronephrosis — are the dominant determinants of bleeding risk (
19,
20). Recent literature emphasizes that even with advances such as robotic platforms, enhanced 3D visualization, and improved endoscopic technology, long-term renal outcomes depend primarily on the patient’s baseline renal health rather than technical aspects of the procedure (
17,
18,
26).
5.1. Limitations
The interpretations of this study must be considered in the context of its inherent limitations. Firstly, the retrospective and single-center design introduces a potential for selection bias, as the choice of calyceal access was at the surgeon's discretion and may have been influenced by unmeasured patient or stone characteristics. Secondly, despite our efforts to use predefined criteria, measurement bias cannot be ruled out due to the non-blinded nature of data collection from medical records.
A significant limitation was the initial lack of a standardized, quantitative grading system for hydronephrosis. Although we have applied a post-hoc definition (APD ≥ 10 mm) to ensure group consistency for this analysis, the lack of a prospectively applied grading system, such as the Society for Fetal Urology (SFU) classification, is a limitation. Furthermore, the retrospective design precluded the standardized grading of postoperative complications using a system like Clavien-Dindo, as the granular data on intervention specifics required for accurate grading was not consistently available, limiting direct comparison with studies that use standardized complication grading systems (e.g., Clavien-Dindo).
In addition, our evaluation of long-term renal function, while demonstrating a significant association, was limited to serum creatinine and eGFR. We lacked more sensitive measures such as measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR), urinary biomarkers (e.g., proteinuria), or functional renal imaging (e.g., DMSA scan), which could provide a more nuanced understanding of the renal functional changes. Finally, as with any observational study, the presence of unmeasured confounding factors (e.g., subtle variations in surgical technique, patient adherence to follow-up) may persist despite multivariate adjustment.
5.2. Future Directions
Future research should aim for prospective, randomized designs that standardize access strategies and patient follow-up. Incorporating more sensitive measures of renal function, such as mGFR or functional imaging, could provide deeper insights into the subtleties of renal functional changes. Multicenter collaborations would be invaluable for achieving the sample size necessary to power investigations into rarer complications and to solidify the generalizability of these findings.
5.3. Conclusion
In conclusion, this study demonstrates that PCNL access through a hydronephrotic calyx is a safe and effective procedure, with perioperative outcomes comparable to those achieved with non-hydronephrotic access. The most significant finding is that access through a hydronephrotic calyx was identified as a strong and independent predictor for the progression of CKD, even after controlling for baseline renal function.
This finding suggests that a hydronephrotic calyx is more than a simple anatomical variant; it is a clinically significant marker of a kidney with diminished functional reserve and heightened vulnerability to functional decline. Therefore, its identification on preoperative imaging should prompt a comprehensive renal risk assessment, meticulous surgical planning, and mandatory long-term functional follow-up. Ultimately, while surgical expertise ensures procedural success, recognizing the prognostic implications of a hydronephrotic system is crucial for optimizing long-term renal outcomes in these patients.