A total of 102 suspected COVID-19 cases were included in the study, comprising 48 (47.1%) males and 54 (52.9%) females. The mean age of the patients was 31.42 ± 28.378 months. Pharyngeal RT-PCR tests produced positive results in 83 patients (81.4%) and negative results in 19 patients (18.6%). In a subsequent round of testing, 86 positive results were obtained, with 75 of them being consistent with the first round.
Table 1 summarizes the demographic information of the population and the prevalence of COVID-19 based on different diagnostic methods.
| Variables | Values |
|---|
| Sex | |
| Male | 48 (47.1) |
| Female | 54 (52.9) |
| Age, mo | 31.42 ± 28.378 |
| Prevalence of COVID-19 | |
| Single nasopharyngeal swab | 83 (81.4) |
| Double nasopharyngeal swab | 94 (92.2) |
| Anal swab | 91 (89.2) |
| Saliva | 92 (90.2) |
a Values are expressed as mean ± SD or No. (%).
When considering twice-pharyngeal testing as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and negative predictive value for a single pharyngeal sample was 88.3% (95% CI: 80.0% - 94.0%), 100% (95% CI: 63.1% - 100%), 100% (95% CI: 95.7% - 100%), and 42.1% (95% CI: 20.3% - 66.5%), respectively, in a population with a prevalence of 92.2%. The Kappa measure of agreement was 0.542 (P < 0.001), indicating moderate agreement.
In the RT-PCR of anal swabs, 91 patients (89.2%) tested positive. When a single pharyngeal sample was considered the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for anal swabs were 94.0% (95% CI: 86.5% - 98.0%), 31.6% (95% CI: 12.6% - 56.6%), 85.7% (95% CI: 76.8% - 92.2%), and 54.5% (95% CI: 23.4% - 83.3%), respectively. The Kappa measure of agreement was 0.122 (P = 0.001), signifying a significant but weak agreement.
When two samples from the nasopharynx and/or oropharynx were set as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of anal swabs changed to 92.6% (95% CI: 85.3% - 97.0%), 50.0% (95% CI: 15.7% - 84.3%), 95.6% (95% CI: 89.1% - 98.8%), and 36.4% (95% CI: 10.9% - 69.2%), respectively. The Kappa measure of agreement was 0.151 (P < 0.001), statistically significant but clinically irrelevant. Saliva RT-PCR yielded positive results in 92 patients, with 78 having previously tested positive pharyngeally. Considering the first pharyngeal test as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of saliva RT-PCR were 94.0% (95% CI: 86.5% - 98.0%), 26.3% (95% CI: 9.1% - 51.2%), 84.8% (95% CI: 75.8% - 91.4%), and 50.0% (95% CI: 18.7% - 81.3%), respectively. The Kappa measure of agreement was 0.121 (P = 0.007), statistically significant but clinically irrelevant.
Changing the gold standard to two pharyngeal samples, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of saliva RT-PCR altered to 93.6% (95% CI: 86.6% - 97.6%), 50.0% (95% CI: 15.7% - 84.3%), 95.7% (95% CI: 89.2% - 98.8%), and 40.0% (95% CI: 12.2% - 73.8%), respectively. The Kappa measure of agreement for these tests was 0.155 (P < 0.001), clinically irrelevant but statistically significant.
Table 2 summarizes the comparison of different diagnostic methods in this study.
| Gold Standard Reference and Method | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value | Kappa | P-Value |
|---|
| At least one positive sample | | | | | | |
| Once nasopharyngeal | 88.3% (75.1% - 90.5%) | 100% (29.2% - 100%) | 100% (95.7% - 100%) | 21.45% (3.4% - 39.6%) | 0.234 | < 0.001 |
| Twice nasopharyngeal | 94.9% (88.6% - 98.3%) | 100% (29.2% - 100%) | 100% (96.2% - 100%) | 37.5% (8.5% - 75.5%) | 0.525 | < 0.001 |
| Anal | 91.9% (84.7% - 96.4%) | 100% (0.00% - 70.8%) | 100% (96.0% - 100%) | 27.3% (6.0% - 61.0%) | 0.163 | < 0.001 |
| Saliva | 92.9% (86.0% - 97.1%) | 100% (29.2% - 100%) | 100% (96.1% - 100%) | 30.0% (6.7% - 65.2%) | 0.436 | < 0.001 |
| Twice nasopharyngeal samples | | | | | | |
| Once nasopharyngeal | 88.3% (80.0% - 94.0%) | 100% (63.1% - 100%) | 100% (95.7% - 100%) | 42.1% (20.3% - 66.5%) | 0.542 | < 0.001 |
| Anal | 92.6% (85.3% - 97.0%) | 50.0% (15.7% - 84.3%) | 95.6% (89.1% - 98.8%) | 36.4% (10.9% - 69.2%) | 0.151 | < 0.001 |
| Saliva | 93.6% (86.6% - 97.6%) | 50.0% (15.7% - 84.3%) | 95.7% (89.2% - 98.8%) | 40.0% (12.2% - 73.8%) | 0.155 | < 0.001 |
| Once nasopharyngeal sample | | | | | | |
| Anal | 94.0% (86.5% - 98.0%) | 31.6% (12.6% - 56.6%) | 85.7% (76.8% - 92.2%) | 54.5% (23.4% - 83.3%) | 0.122 | 0.001 |
| Saliva | 94.0% (86.5% - 98.0%) | 26.3% (9.1% - 51.2%) | 84.8% (75.8% - 91.4%) | 50.0% (18.7% - 81.3%) | 0.121 | 0.007 |