A total of 122 patients with suspected scaphoid fracture who were referred for wrist radiography from 2008 till 2010 were included in the study. The mean age of the patients was 33.63±14.8 years with a range of 10 to 69 years. Sixty-six of the patients (54.1%) were men and 56 (45.9%) were women. The results of the three techniques of diagnosis of scaphoid fracture including conventional radiography, panoramic radiography and diagnosis of the treating specialist on the basis of results of surgery, radiographies and follow up till the final result that was considered as the final diagnosis in the study were determined for all of the acute cases, but the results of the cases with chronic scaphoid fractures were followed in only 37 cases with regards to healing of fractures.
Totally, 81 cases (66.4%) had scaphoid fractures, 41 cases (33.6%) did not have a scaphoid fracture and 28 cases (75.7%) had healed fractures while the rest (24.3%) had nonunion fractures. The results of conventional radiographies and panoramic radiographies and their comparison with the final diagnosis are shown in
Table 1. All the results were reported with a 95% Confidence Interval.
| Â | TP | FN | TN | FP | Sen. [95% CI] | Spec. [95% CI] | PPV [95% CI] | NPV [95% CI] | Accuracy [95% CI] | Kappa [95% CI] | P-Value |
|---|
| Conventional Radiography | 60 | 21 | 7 | 34 | 74.1% [64.6- 83.6] | 17.1% [5.6- 28.6] | 63.8% [54.1- 73.5] | 25% [9- 41] | 54.9%. [46.1-63.7] | -0.096 [-0.26-0.066] | 0.272 |
| Panoramic Radiography | 78 | 3 | 36 | 5 | 96.3% [92.2- 100] | 87.8% [77.8- 97.8] | 94% [88.9- 99.1] | 92.3% [84- 100] | 93.4% [89-97.8] | 0.84 [0.75- 0.95] | <0.0001 |
Abbreviations: TP, True positive; FN, False negative; TN, True negative; FP, False positive; Sen., Sensitivity; Spec., Specificity; PPV, Positive predictive value; NPV, Negative predictive value; CI, Confidence interval
The relation between the results of conventional radiography and the gold standard was studied by Kappa test and a Kappa coefficient of -0.096 was obtained (P-value = 0.272). There was no significant relationship between the conventional radiography and the gold standard. Conventional radiography diagnosed only 74% of the wrist scaphoid fractures and was not able to confirm all cases without fractures.
The relation between the results of panoramic radiography and the gold standard was studied by Kappa test and a coefficient of 0.851 was obtained (P-value<0.001). In order to compare the sensitivity between the two methods of conventional and panoramic radiography in diagnosis of scaphoid fractures, Z-test was used and with a P value of 0.01, the sensitivity of conventional radiography was significantly lower than that of panoramic radiography. Similarly, the specificity of panoramic radiography were significantly better than that of conventional radiography (P value < 0.001). Besides, the positive and negative predictive values and accuracy of panoramic radiography was significantly better than that of conventional radiography (P < 0.001 in all of the cases).
The calculated diagnostic values in both genders was approximately the same and similar to the overall diagnostic values. The relation between the results of conventional radiography and the final diagnosis in both men and women with P-values of 0.727 and 0.22 was not significant.
All the diagnostic indices of panoramic radiography in both genders were higher than 85% that depicts the high diagnostic value of the technique in comparison to the final diagnosis. The diagnostic value of panoramic radiography was higher in women than that in men. The agreement between the panoramic radiography and the gold standard was studied by Kappa test and in both genders, this agreement was significant (both P-values<0.001). The results of conventional radiography in the diagnosis of scaphoid fractures on the basis of age are shown in
Table 2.
| Â | Â | TP a | FN a | TN a | FP a | Sen. a [95% CI a] | Spec. a [95% CI] | PPV a [95% CI] | NPV a [95% CI] | Accuracy [95% CI] | Kappa [95% CI] | P-Value |
|---|
| Conventional Radiography | 10-34 (y) | 35 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 79.5% [67.6 – 91.4] | 13% [<1- 26.7) | 63.6% [50.9-76.3] | 25% [0.5- 49.5] | 56.7% [44.9- 68.5] | -0.08 [-0.28-0.12] | 0.453 |
| 35-69 (y) | 25 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 67.6% [52.5 – 82.7] | 22.2% [31-41.4] | 64.1% [49.1-79.1] | 25% [3.8-46.2] | 52.7% [39.5- 65.9] | -0.11 [-0.36-0.15] | 0.434 |
| Panoramic Radiography | 10-34 (y) | 44 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 100% [91-100] | 91.3% [79.8-100] | 95.7% [89.9-100] | 100% [83-100] | 97% [92.7- 100] | 0.93 [0.84-1] | <0.0001 |
| 35-69 (y) | 34 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 91.9% [83.1- 100] | 83.3% [66.1- 100] | 91.9% [83.1-100] | 83.3% [66.1- 100] | 89.1% [80.9- 97.3] | 0.75 [0.57- 0.94] | <0.0001 |
Abbreviations: TP, True positive; FN, False negative; TN, True negative; FP, False positive; Sen., Sensitivity; Spec., Specificity; PPV, Positive predictive value; NPV, Negative predictive value; CI, Confidence interval
The calculated diagnostic value in both age groups was approximately the same, while the relation between the conventional radiographical findings and final diagnosis in both groups was not significant (P > 0.5).
Panoramic radiography results in the diagnosis of wrist scaphoid fractures on the basis of age are shown in
Table 2. The relation of panoramic radiography findings with the final results in the diagnosis of acute wrist scaphoid fractures in both age groups was significant (P < 0.001).
Conventional and panoramic radiography results in the diagnosis of chronic phase healing of scaphoid fractures are shown in
Tables 3 and
4.
| Â | Final Results |
|---|
| Non Healed No.[%] | Healed No.[%] | Total No.[%] |
|---|
| Conventional Radiography Results   | Non Healed No.[%] | 0[0] | 12[42.9] | 12[32.4] |
| Healed No.[%] | 0[0] | 16[57.1] | 16[43.2] |
| Suspected Healed No.[%] | 9[100] | 0[0] | 9[24.4] |
| Total No.[%] | 9[24.3] | 28[75.7] | 37[100] |
| Â | TP a | FN a | TN a | FP a | Sen. a [95% CI a] | Spec. a [95% CI] | PPV a [95% CI] | NPV a [95% CI] | Accuracy [95% CI] | Kappa [95% CI] | P-Value |
|---|
| Panoramic Radiography | 9 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 100% [66-100] | 57.1% [38.8-75.4] | 42.8 [21.7-63.9] | 100% [79-100] | 67.6% [52.5– 82.7] | 0.39 [0.17- 0.62] | 0.002 |
Abbreviations: TP, True positive; FN, False negative; TN, True negative; FP, False positive; Sen., Sensitivity; Spec., Specificity; PPV, Positive predictive value; NPV, Negative predictive value; CI, Confidence interval
We had 9 cases of suspected healed patients on the conventional radiographs (Non healed on the table 4). On the whole, a total of 37 cases were followed in the chronic phase and the final results of healed scaphoid fractures were recorded.
Panoramic radiography did not have any suspicious or inappropriate results and was therefore better than conventional radiography. In this phase, the other diagnostic criteria of panoramic radiography were good and acceptable. The relation of the panoramic radiography results and final diagnosis was examined by Kappa test and with a P value of less than 0.001, the relation was meaningful, which means that panoramic radiography can be used in the follow up of scaphoid fracture healing.
In the chronic phase too, the results of conventional and panoramic radiography were compared with the final diagnosis based on age and gender. In contrast to panoramic radiography, conventional radiography did not have a significant relationship with the final diagnosis in different age and gender groups. The diagnostic values were calculated as follows: for men, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and accuracy was 75%, 100%, 100%, 62.2% and 82.4%, respectively. These measures were 75%, 100%, 100%, 50% and 80% for women, respectively.
There was significant relationship between the results of panoramic radiography and final results in both genders (P < 0.001). The diagnostic value of panoramic radiography was the same in both genders.
The diagnostic values in the two age groups were calculated as follows: the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy for 10 to 34-year-old patients was 66.7%, 100%, 100%, 40% and 72.7%, respectively. These measures were 90%, 100%, 100%, 83.3% and 93.3% for 35 to 69 year-old patients, respectively.
There was a significant relationship between the results of panoramic and final diagnosis in the diagnosis of scaphoid fracture union (P-value=0.015, P-value=0.001). Considering the high diagnostic value of panoramic radiography, it may be concluded that panoramic radiography can be used for the follow-up of healing of wrist scaphoid fractures in both age groups (
Figures 1,
2, and
3).
A 21-year-old man with wrist trauma. Conventional and panoramic radiographs were performed 10 weeks after injury because of the doubtful union of scaphoid fracture. A, Initial conventional radiograph shows doubtful scaphoid union. B, Panoramic radiograph shows the fracture partially united. C, Conventional radiograph obtained four months after trauma shows the fracture partially united, as seen in B.
A 49-year-old woman with acute trauma of the wrist. Conventional and panoramic radiography were performed 1 week after injury. A, Conventional radiograph shows no evidence of fracture. B, Panoramic radiograph shows fracture line.
A 19-year-old man with wrist trauma. Conventional and panoramic radiography was performed 4 months after injury. A, Conventional radiograph shows doubtful union. B, Panoramic radiograph shows delayed union.
The agreement of conventional and panoramic radiographies in diagnosis of fracture in the acute setting has been mentioned in table 5. In addition, the agreement of these two radiographies in the chronic setting for diagnosis of non healing has been mentioned in this table (
Table 5).
| Â | Both Conventional and Panoramic Positive | Conventional Positive, Panoramic Negative | Conventional Negative, Panoramic Positive | Both Conventional and Panoramic Negative | Kappa [95% CI a] | P-Value | Accuracy |
|---|
| Diagnosis of Fracture | 62 | 32 | 21 | 7 | -0.0795 [-0.24-0.08] | 0.368 | 56.5% |
| Diagnosis of Non Healing | 5 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0.615 [0.21 -0.85] | <0.001 | 82.1% |
Abbreviation: CI, Confidence interval